Federal Realty Investment Trust · FRT · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Federal Realty raises 2026 FFO outlook as leasing stays strong

Federal Realty's Q3 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: strong leasing, high lease rates and occupancy, selective acquisitions, and development remain growth supports. The key counterweights are financing costs, consumer-spending sensitivity, and execution of planned dispositions and projects.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $9.57B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.74 Consensus $0.71
EPS surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $339.0M Consensus $336.6M
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.1% Event window
SPY move -1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
FRTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management raised 2026 Core FFO guidance to $7.54-$7.58 per share, following Q3 FFO per share of $1.87 and continued leasing momentum. The quarter also added The Summit acquisition and a clearer capital-allocation plan involving repurchases, dispositions, and development.

Guidance delta

Raised: 2026 Core FFO guidance moved to $7.54-$7.58 per share.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 2026 FFO per share was $1.87, up 6% year over year and above internal expectations.
  • Management raised 2026 Core FFO guidance to $7.54-$7.58 per share.
  • The Summit adds 870,000 square feet and is expected to deliver more than 5% CAGR and high mark-to-market spreads.
  • Lease rates reached 96.5%, with a pipeline of more than 130 new deals; occupancy was 93.8%.
  • Capital allocation includes share repurchases, more than $600 million of planned asset dispositions, and ongoing development.

Management priorities

  • Pursue further acquisitions in central regions and selective coastal markets.
  • Execute more than $600 million of asset dispositions through 2027.
  • Advance the Hoboken, Lot 12 at Santana Row, and Willow Grove development pipeline.
  • Explore densification and re-merchandising opportunities at The Summit.
  • Continue share repurchases when price dislocations arise.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FRT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.68 Q2 '24 actual $1.69, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.72 Q3 '24 actual $1.71, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.73 Q2 '25 actual $1.91, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.76 Q3 '25 actual $1.77, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.74 Q4 '25 actual $1.84, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.69 Q1 '26 actual $1.82, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.72 Q2 '26 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.71 Q3 '26 actual $0.74, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.76 Q1 '27 estimate $0.80
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy32 ratings
Bullish1753.1%
Neutral1443.8%
Bearish13.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$110.19Current
$105Low
$123.17Average
$149High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 24, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 4, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 29, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJun 8, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainFeb 13, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeDec 16, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 23, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeApr 22, 2024
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 9, 2023
Compass Point Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 30, 2023
Capital One Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeFeb 9, 2022
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeDec 1, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold BuyDowngradeJul 21, 2020
Odeon Capital Buy BuyMaintainApr 8, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainDec 24, 2019
Sandler O'Neill Hold BuyDowngradeNov 1, 2019
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2018
DA Davidson Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 25, 2018
Boenning & Scattergood Neutral OutperformDowngradeOct 3, 2016
BTIG Research Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 25, 2016
RBC Capital Underperform Sector PerformDowngradeMay 6, 2016
ISI Group Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 9, 2014
Imperial Capital In Line In LineMaintainMay 12, 2014
McNicoll Lewis Vlak Buy BuyMaintainNov 18, 2013
Evercore Partners Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMar 27, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $110.19. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoJames Feldman$119$108.88 +8.0%Oct 23, 2026
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$131$106.16 +18.9%Oct 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$115$105.44 +4.4%Oct 9, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$126$106.69 +14.3%Oct 5, 2026
Truist FinancialLinda Tsai$116$108.03 +5.3%Oct 1, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$118$110.52 +7.1%Sep 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$117$109.39 +6.2%Sep 24, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$123$110.64 +11.6%Sep 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$126$112.09 +14.3%Sep 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$123$118.39 +11.6%Aug 17, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$134$125.05 +21.6%Jul 23, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$149$125.59 +35.2%Jul 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$127$120.43 +15.3%Jul 9, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$143$121.68 +29.8%Jul 8, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$122$122.61 +10.7%Jul 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$135$125.02 +22.5%Jun 29, 2026
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$118$123.3 +7.1%Jun 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$130$119.63 +18.0%Jun 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$130$119.63 +18.0%Jun 1, 2026
Deutsche BankOmotayo Okusanya$135$121.02 +22.5%May 29, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$120$120.16 +8.9%May 27, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$129$119.75 +17.1%May 26, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$128$114.71 +16.2%May 19, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$118$114.6 +7.1%May 18, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$116$115.42 +5.3%May 12, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$110$115.02 -0.2%May 4, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$107$104.8 -2.9%Feb 17, 2026
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$127$104.8 +15.3%Feb 17, 2026
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$111$104.75 +0.7%Feb 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$113$101.68 +2.6%Jan 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$107$101.5 -2.9%Jan 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$105$102.8 -4.7%Jan 9, 2026
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$109.5$102.12 -0.6%Dec 18, 2025
JefferiesLinda Tsai$115$100.89 +4.4%Dec 15, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$109$98.32 -1.1%Dec 2, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$105$96.19 -4.7%Nov 3, 2025
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$104.5$96.68 -5.2%Oct 31, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$106$98.03 -3.8%Oct 17, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$105$98.74 -4.7%Oct 7, 2025
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$114$99.11 +3.5%Aug 28, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$106$94.92 -3.8%Jul 2, 2025
BMO CapitalJuan Sanabria$110$92.56 -0.2%May 26, 2025
Wells FargoDori Kesten$113$97.51 +2.6%Mar 26, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$117$104.71 +6.2%Feb 18, 2025
CitigroupNicholas Joseph$135$116.26 +22.5%Sep 12, 2024
CitigroupMichael Bilerman$120$114.42 +8.9%Sep 4, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$114.5$112.72 +3.9%Aug 2, 2024
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$135$112.68 +22.5%Aug 2, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$88$100.97 -20.1%Jun 28, 2024
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$115$101.01 +4.4%May 21, 2024
Deutsche BankOmotayo Okusanya$110$101.14 -0.2%Apr 22, 2024
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$117$101.9 +6.2%Jan 16, 2024
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$111$96.35 +0.7%Jun 29, 2023
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$120$104.41 +8.9%Jan 4, 2023
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$112$108.78 +1.6%Dec 15, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$129$107.01 +17.1%Dec 6, 2022
Raymond JamesCollin Mings$140$111.78 +27.1%May 12, 2022
BarclaysAnthony Powell$142$126.78 +28.9%Nov 17, 2021
Compass PointFloris van Dijkum$122$115.26 +10.7%Aug 16, 2021
UBSMichael Goldsmith$122$117.98 +10.7%Aug 5, 2021
JefferiesLinda Tsai$119$114.45 +8.0%Jul 15, 2021
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$131$114.2 +18.9%Jun 28, 2021
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$125$110.03 +13.4%May 6, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) stands out as a premier entity specializing in the acquisition, management, and redevelopment of high-quality retail properties. These assets are strategically situated primarily in prominent coastal metropolitan areas, spanning the Eastern Seaboard from Washington D.C. to Boston, and extending to key West Coast cities such as San Francisco and Los Angeles. Established in 1962, Federal Realty's core objective is to generate enduring, consistent growth by concentrating investments in communities where consumer demand for retail offerings significantly surpasses existing supply.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-31T15:06:48.017593+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-31T01:23:13.065444+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T15:10:40.975295+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T15:10:40.972400+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.