Exelon Corporation · EXC · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Exelon narrows 2026 guidance as transmission and storage plans expand

Exelon's Q3 analysis supports a constructive infrastructure-growth case: management paired a large capital plan and transmission and storage opportunities with maintained confidence, but execution depends on regulatory outcomes, project timing and funding needs.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $47.30B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.79
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $6.76B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.2% Event window
SPY move -2.1% Same window
Abnormal move +3.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
EXCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Exelon reported higher adjusted operating earnings, narrowed full-year guidance, completed planned 2026 debt financing, and added detail on a 1.5-3.5 GW pipeline of regulated storage opportunities beyond the current plan.

Guidance delta

Full-year operating earnings guidance was narrowed to $2.85-$2.91 per share from the prior quarter's reaffirmed range.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted operating earnings were reported at $0.87 per share, above expectations.
  • The $41.7 billion capital plan supports stated 7.9% rate-base growth, with transmission growth of 16%.
  • Management identified 1.5-3.5 GW of regulated storage opportunities beyond the current plan.
  • Rate-case progress continued, while PJM and FERC decisions remain pending.

Management priorities

  • Pursue additional transmission awards over the next decade.
  • Develop utility-owned battery storage projects in New Jersey, Maryland and Delaware, and seek approvals in other states.
  • Continue rate-case filings, including the new PECO filing in Pennsylvania.
  • Use build-own-transfer structures and flexible capital allocation to prioritize investments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.58 Q4 '23 actual $0.60, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.68, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.40 Q2 '24 actual $0.47, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.67 Q3 '24 actual $0.71, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.37 Q2 '25 actual $0.39, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.55 Q4 '25 actual $0.59, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.43, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.79 Q4 '26 estimate $0.66 Q1 '27 estimate $0.92
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1337.1%
Neutral2160.0%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$46.16Current
$39Low
$48.03Average
$63High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 21, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 19, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 16, 2026
Keybanc Sector Weight UnderweightUpgradeOct 13, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $46.16. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$44$43.5 -4.7%Oct 19, 2026
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$49$41.98 +6.2%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$50$42.1 +8.3%Sep 18, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$48$45.51 +4.0%Aug 13, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$49$45.6 +6.2%May 29, 2026
See 42 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Exelon Corporation, a utility holding company established in 1999 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, operates across the United States and Canada. The company primarily focuses on the generation, delivery, and marketing of energy. It maintains a diverse portfolio of power production facilities, utilizing nuclear, fossil fuel, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar technologies. Exelon engages in the sale of electricity to both wholesale and retail clients, while also providing natural gas, renewable energy solutions, and various other energy-related products and services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-30T19:05:22.552164+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T19:40:43.570790+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T19:40:43.568080+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.