Exelon Corporation · EXC · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Exelon reaffirms guidance as storage and transmission plans advance

Exelon's Q2 call supports a constructive but conditional operating thesis: management sees transmission, storage, virtual power plants, and demand growth as avenues for expansion, while execution depends on regulatory progress, resource adequacy, and durable data-center demand.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $43.06B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.43 Consensus $0.44
EPS surprise -1.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.97B Consensus $5.44B
Revenue surprise +9.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.1% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.6% Up to 20 sessions
EXCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added detail on PJM stress and Exelon's response: management cited a 6.8-GW capacity shortfall in the latest auction, announced a 500-MW New Jersey battery project, and said the data-center pipeline had been revised down by 11 GW. Capital deployment and full-year guidance remained on track.

Guidance delta

Full-year EPS guidance was reaffirmed at $2.81-$2.91; no change was indicated.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 2026 adjusted operating earnings were $0.43 per share, matching expectations.
  • Management reaffirmed full-year EPS guidance of $2.81-$2.91.
  • About $10 billion of 2026 capital deployment and $41 billion through 2029 remain on track.
  • The strategy emphasizes transmission, battery storage, and virtual power plants as demand and supply constraints persist.
  • The data-center pipeline was revised down by 11 GW, with greater emphasis on durable, collateral-backed projects.

Management priorities

  • Commission the 500-MW New Jersey battery storage project and additional Maryland storage projects.
  • Pursue competitive transmission bids in MISO and other regional transmission organizations.
  • Expand virtual power plant programs across multiple jurisdictions.
  • Continue engagement with FERC, PJM, and state regulators on reliability and resource adequacy.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation of about $10 billion in 2026.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.68, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.40 Q2 '24 actual $0.47, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.67 Q3 '24 actual $0.71, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.37 Q2 '25 actual $0.39, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.55 Q4 '25 actual $0.59, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.43, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.80 Q4 '26 estimate $0.66 Q1 '27 estimate $0.92
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold36 ratings
Bullish1336.1%
Neutral2158.3%
Bearish25.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$40.72Current
$39Low
$48.17Average
$63High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainMay 15, 2026
Keybanc Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 13, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 20, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $40.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$49$41.98 +20.3%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$50$42.1 +22.8%Sep 18, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$48$45.51 +17.9%Aug 13, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$49$45.6 +20.3%May 29, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$41$44.98 +0.7%May 13, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Exelon Corporation, a utility holding company established in 1999 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, operates across the United States and Canada. The company primarily focuses on the generation, delivery, and marketing of energy. It maintains a diverse portfolio of power production facilities, utilizing nuclear, fossil fuel, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar technologies. Exelon engages in the sale of electricity to both wholesale and retail clients, while also providing natural gas, renewable energy solutions, and various other energy-related products and services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T17:10:32.386788+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T14:50:55.238537+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T14:50:55.234794+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.