Equinor ASA · EQNR · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Equinor maintains guidance as production and cash flow remain strong

Equinor's latest call supports a constructive operating picture: production growth and strong cash generation underpin capital returns and reinvestment, while commodity, project, and cost risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $116.55B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.33 Consensus $1.39
EPS surprise -4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $34.52B Consensus $34.03B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.3% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +6.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.2% Up to 20 sessions
EQNRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Quarterly production grew 3% and first-half production grew 6%; management highlighted a stronger outlook, increased buybacks, and a $1 billion reinvestment plan. A Johan Castberg disruption is expected to be resolved quickly.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management reported no change to production, capital-expenditure, or capital-distribution guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Production growth exceeded the initial outlook, supported by new field startups.
  • Management emphasized strong operating cash flow and a longer-term free-cash-flow ambition.
  • Capital discipline combines dividends and buybacks with additional oil-and-gas investment.
  • Johan Castberg's short-term production issue and European gas-market uncertainty remain active watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Execute the NCS 2035 operating model.
  • Ramp new fields and advance high-impact drilling.
  • Progress Greater PAJ toward a 2027 final investment decision.
  • Maintain capital returns while investing in Norway and international oil and gas projects.
  • Expand power-generation assets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EQNR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $24B Q2 '24 actual $25B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $24B Q3 '24 actual $25B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $23B Q2 '25 actual $25B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $21B Q3 '25 actual $26B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $22B Q4 '25 actual $25B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $29B Q1 '26 actual $28B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $34B Q2 '26 actual $35B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $33B Q3 '26 actual $33B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $39B Q1 '27 estimate $35B Q2 '27 estimate $31B Q3 '27 estimate $31B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish730.4%
Neutral1356.5%
Bearish313.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$48.75Current
$36.5Low
$68Average
$85High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 28, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight NeutralDowngradeAug 12, 2025
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeMay 22, 2025
RBC Capital Underperform Sector PerformDowngradeApr 22, 2025
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 17, 2025
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $48.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$85$43.17 +74.4%Sep 25, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$36.5$38.55 -25.1%Apr 9, 2026
RBC CapitalSector Perform$82.5$31.6 +69.2%Dec 19, 2023

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production Norway; Exploration & Production International; Exploration & Production USA; Marketing, Midstream & Processing; and Renewables segments. The company engages in the discovery and appraisal of new resources, as well as commercial development and operation of the oil and gas portfolios; oil and gas field development, well deliveries, and sourcing; research, technology development, specialist advisory services, digitalization, IT, improvement, innovation, and ventures and future business; and developing, exploring, investing in, and operating areas…

Historical context

All EQNR earnings

Energy peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-22T14:03:32.760941+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T21:50:39.817632+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T21:50:39.814780+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.