Equinor ASA · EQNR · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
Equinor maintains guidance as production and cash flow remain strong
Equinor's latest call supports a constructive operating picture: production growth and strong cash generation underpin capital returns and reinvestment, while commodity, project, and cost risks remain material.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Quarterly production grew 3% and first-half production grew 6%; management highlighted a stronger outlook, increased buybacks, and a $1 billion reinvestment plan. A Johan Castberg disruption is expected to be resolved quickly.
Guidance delta
Maintained; management reported no change to production, capital-expenditure, or capital-distribution guidance.
Key takeaways
- Production growth exceeded the initial outlook, supported by new field startups.
- Management emphasized strong operating cash flow and a longer-term free-cash-flow ambition.
- Capital discipline combines dividends and buybacks with additional oil-and-gas investment.
- Johan Castberg's short-term production issue and European gas-market uncertainty remain active watchpoints.
Management priorities
- Execute the NCS 2035 operating model.
- Ramp new fields and advance high-impact drilling.
- Progress Greater PAJ toward a 2027 final investment decision.
- Maintain capital returns while investing in Norway and international oil and gas projects.
- Expand power-generation assets.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 28, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Underweight | Neutral | Downgrade | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | May 22, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Underperform | Sector Perform | Downgrade | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Redburn Atlantic | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 20, 2024 |
| UBS | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Aug 8, 2024 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 7, 2023 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 13, 2022 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 17, 2022 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Jan 7, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 16, 2021 |
| MKM Partners | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 25, 2021 |
| Kepler Cheuvreux | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 30, 2021 |
| Societe Generale | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 12, 2021 |
| DNB Markets | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 27, 2019 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Aug 2, 2019 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 14, 2019 |
| PiperJaffray | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Feb 11, 2019 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Feb 11, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 11, 2018 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 11, 2018 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $48.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $43.17 | +74.4% | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Redburn Partners | Analyst unavailable | $36.5 | $38.55 | -25.1% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | $82.5 | $31.6 | +69.2% | Dec 19, 2023 |
Track every rating change on EQNR the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationEquinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production Norway; Exploration & Production International; Exploration & Production USA; Marketing, Midstream & Processing; and Renewables segments. The company engages in the discovery and appraisal of new resources, as well as commercial development and operation of the oil and gas portfolios; oil and gas field development, well deliveries, and sourcing; research, technology development, specialist advisory services, digitalization, IT, improvement, innovation, and ventures and future business; and developing, exploring, investing in, and operating areas…
Historical context
All EQNR earningsEnergy peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX Chevron Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.4% | +1.8% | Chevron posts strong Q3 as production, cash flow and AI value rise |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.7% | +2.2% | ExxonMobil Highlights Refining, LNG and Cash Returns in Q3 |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +6.4% | +5.5% | Imperial Oil: downstream strength and low-carbon growth lead Q3 |
| CCJ Cameco Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -101.4% | -7.9% | Cameco keeps nuclear-growth thesis intact as Key Lake outage weighs |
| BP BP p.l.c. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +22.6% | +0.1% | BP Q3: Strong profit, lower debt, safety risks persist |
| FSLR First Solar, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +13.5% | -1.4% | First Solar: Margin gains offset lower volume outlook |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CHDFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+2.2% EPS+1.2% move
- AZNFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+7.3% EPS+7.0% move
- FRTFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+3.9% EPS-1.1% move
- CVXFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+8.4% EPS+1.8% move
- BTSGFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+14.2% EPS+11.1% move
- EXCFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+10.4% EPS+0.5% move
Missed on EPS
- GLPIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-11.5% EPS-1.3% move
- LYBFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-1.2% EPS+5.0% move
- CCJFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-101.4% EPS-7.9% move
- VALEFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-24.6% EPS+1.9% move
- DLR-PLFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
- DLR-PKFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
Get the EQNR recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-22T14:03:32.760941+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T21:50:39.817632+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T21:50:39.814780+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.