Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold22 ratings
Bullish1045.5%
Neutral1150.0%
Bearish14.5%
DaVita Inc. · DVA · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
DaVita’s IKC profitability adds a new growth engine amid volume risks
The latest analysis supports a more constructive view of DaVita’s growth trajectory: IKC profitability, home-health expansion, clinical initiatives, and cost discipline provide potential support, but volume, policy, mortality, and execution risks remain material.
Reported After market closeNYSEHealthcare
$11.23B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$3.40
Consensus $3.24
EPS surprise
+4.9%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$3.62B
Consensus $3.51B
Revenue surprise
+3.2%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
event-close to next-session close
Stock move
+21.2%
Event window
SPY move
-0.8%
Same window
Abnormal move
+22.0%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
4.8×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+14.9%
Up to 20 sessions
DVASPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about DVA FY2025 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did DVA rise 21.2% after beating EPS estimates in FY2025 Q4?What changed in DVA's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for DVA after FY2025 Q4 earnings.
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the narrative moved from technology and AI investment toward evidence of IKC profitability, the Elara Caring partnership, and a clearer focus on clinical execution and treatment-volume recovery.
Guidance delta
Maintained; management reaffirmed its outlook while emphasizing volume recovery, IKC profitability, clinical initiatives, and cost discipline.
Key takeaways
- Management described IKC as a new source of profitability.
- The outlook depends on treatment-volume recovery and continued cost discipline.
- Clinical initiatives and the Elara Caring partnership are intended to support patient outcomes and reduce missed treatments.
- ACA policy, mortality, cyber effects, and international execution remain important risks.
- The prior quarter emphasized technology and AI investment; the current analysis shifts attention toward IKC profitability, home health, and clinical execution.
Management priorities
- Expand and improve the Integrated Kidney Care model.
- Integrate the Elara Caring partnership and advance home-health services.
- Pursue clinical initiatives including vaccination, GLP-1 adoption, and advanced dialysis technologies.
- Work toward treatment-volume growth while maintaining cost discipline.
- Continue share repurchases within leverage and liquidity targets.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$177.33Current
$81Low
$191.58Average
$270High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 6, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | May 15, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 23, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Oct 29, 2021 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 6, 2020 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 24, 2020 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 20, 2019 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 7, 2019 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 6, 2019 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 11, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 4, 2018 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 11, 2017 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 26, 2017 |
| Keybanc | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 17, 2014 |
| Atlantic Equities | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 10, 2013 |
| Feltl & Co. | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 31, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 5, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $177.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $215 | $179.92 | +21.2% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $180.67 | +24.1% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $180.67 | +24.1% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Pito Chickering | $265 | $185.52 | +49.4% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Andrew Mok | $224 | $227.99 | +26.3% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $235.58 | +41.0% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $270 | $229.48 | +52.3% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $218 | $234.31 | +22.9% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $194.38 | +15.6% | May 8, 2026 |
| Barclays | Andrew Mok | $194 | $193.88 | +9.4% | May 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Pito Chickering | $220 | $157.04 | +24.1% | May 6, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $158 | $144.42 | -10.9% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $190 | $134.73 | +7.1% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $158 | $111.19 | -10.9% | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $143 | $126.56 | -19.4% | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | David MacDonald | $140 | $123.36 | -21.1% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Barclays | Andrew Mok | $149 | $127.89 | -16.0% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | David MacDonald | $148 | $129.54 | -16.5% | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Lisa Bedell Clive | $184 | $142.4 | +3.8% | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Bank of America Securities | Kevin Fischbeck | $145 | $133.53 | -18.2% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Barclays | Andrew Mok | $150 | $134.45 | -15.4% | May 6, 2024 |
| Barclays | Sarah James | $81 | $70.54 | -54.3% | Oct 31, 2022 |
| UBS | Andrew Mok | $117 | $93.1 | -34.0% | Aug 19, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | David MacDonald | $90 | $79.44 | -49.2% | Jun 28, 2022 |
Track every rating change on DVA the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationDaVita Inc. specializes in delivering essential kidney dialysis treatments and comprehensive renal care to individuals grappling with chronic kidney failure. The company primarily operates an extensive network of outpatient dialysis centers, supplementing this with services provided in hospital inpatient settings and within patients' homes. Beyond direct patient treatment, DaVita manages its own diagnostic laboratories, performing routine tests vital for dialysis patients, alongside other physician-ordered laboratory analyses specifically for those with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). The firm also offers administrative and management support to various other outpatient dialysis facilities.…
Historical context
All DVA earningsHealthcare peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COO The Cooper Companies, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +2.7% | -14.7% | CooperCompanies beats expectations as inventory reduction weighs on vision revenue |
| MDT Medtronic plc | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +4.3% | +1.5% | Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
- FDSFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+3.9% EPS+3.8% move
- JBLFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+8.1% EPS-10.0% move
- MUFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+5.4% EPS+0.0% move
- CCLFY2026 Q3 · September 29, 2026+5.9% EPS+13.4% move
- COSTFY2026 Q4 · September 24, 2026+3.2% EPS+2.9% move
Get the DVA recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T18:16:10.379462+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T18:16:10.376483+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.