DaVita Inc. · DVA · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

DaVita Holds Guidance as Supply and Policy Risks Persist

DaVita's operating trajectory remained supported by efficiency initiatives, integrated kidney care improvements, potential CMS-related reimbursement benefits, and international expansion. The case was balanced by supply disruption, mortality-related volume pressure, regulatory execution, and higher interest expense; management maintained full-year guidance rather than raising it.

Reported After market closeNYSEHealthcare $11.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.59 Consensus $2.72
EPS surprise -4.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.26B Consensus $3.27B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -10.8% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -10.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +17.3% Up to 20 sessions
DVASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added detail on Baxter-related supply disruption, including a temporary pause in new peritoneal-dialysis starts and an expected return toward normal supply by Q1 2025. Management also described limited hurricane impact in Q3 with a $10 million to $20 million operating-income headwind expected in Q4, while reaffirming full-year guidance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year 2024 operating-income, EPS, and free-cash-flow guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted operating income was $535 million and adjusted EPS was $2.59, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Management said hurricane effects were limited in Q3 but expected a $10 million to $20 million operating-income impact in Q4.
  • Baxter-related supply constraints temporarily paused new peritoneal-dialysis starts; normalization was expected by Q1 2025.
  • Management identified the CMS oral-drug bundle as a potential patient-access and reimbursement tailwind.
  • International expansion and operating efficiencies remained part of the growth plan.

Management priorities

  • Resume new peritoneal-dialysis starts as supply conditions improve.
  • Implement CMS 2025 final-rule changes.
  • Pursue international growth through acquisitions.
  • Continue capital allocation to share repurchases and strategic investments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DVA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, match Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold22 ratings
Bullish1045.5%
Neutral1150.0%
Bearish14.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$184.03Previous close
$81Low
$191.58Average
$270High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeAug 7, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 5, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeMay 6, 2026
Show 17 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $184.03. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$215$179.92 +16.8%Aug 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$220$180.67 +19.5%Aug 7, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$220$180.67 +19.5%Aug 7, 2026
Deutsche BankPito Chickering$265$185.52 +44.0%Aug 5, 2026
BarclaysAndrew Mok$224$227.99 +21.7%Aug 5, 2026
See 19 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DaVita Inc. specializes in delivering essential kidney dialysis treatments and comprehensive renal care to individuals grappling with chronic kidney failure. The company primarily operates an extensive network of outpatient dialysis centers, supplementing this with services provided in hospital inpatient settings and within patients' homes. Beyond direct patient treatment, DaVita manages its own diagnostic laboratories, performing routine tests vital for dialysis patients, alongside other physician-ordered laboratory analyses specifically for those with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). The firm also offers administrative and management support to various other outpatient dialysis facilities.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T06:30:44.226137+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T06:30:44.222291+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.