Dell Technologies Inc. · DELL · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2024
Dell’s AI server growth accelerates as margin and supply risks remain
The supplied analysis supports a constructive growth case for Dell centered on AI servers, storage, and an anticipated PC refresh, but the evidence is conditional: profitability, supply availability, and recovery in traditional businesses remain important tests.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, AI-server momentum strengthened: orders increased nearly 40% sequentially, shipments reached $800 million, and backlog nearly doubled to $2.9 billion. Management also broadened the AI roadmap across storage, PCs, services, and financing while maintaining guidance.
Guidance delta
Management’s FY25 outlook calls for $91–95 billion of revenue, mid-teens ISG growth, low-single-digit CSG growth, and about 100 basis points of gross-margin pressure.
Key takeaways
- AI-optimized server orders rose nearly 40% sequentially; backlog nearly doubled to $2.9 billion.
- Management highlighted AI storage, AI-enabled PCs, services, and financing as complementary growth opportunities.
- The outlook pairs expected growth with lower gross margin and continued uncertainty in traditional servers and PCs.
Management priorities
- Scale AI-optimized server and next-generation GPU offerings.
- Expand AI-focused storage, services, consulting, and financing.
- Maintain disciplined costs and continue shareholder returns.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 6, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Melius Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Neutral | Upgrade | May 29, 2026 |
| Loop Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 29, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 29, 2026 |
| Daiwa Capital | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 19, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 2, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 31, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Aug 26, 2022 |
| OTR Global | Positive | Mixed | Upgrade | Aug 5, 2021 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Aug 28, 2020 |
| Nomura Instinet | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 29, 2020 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 29, 2020 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Mar 4, 2019 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 9, 2019 |
| Gabelli & Co. | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 31, 2018 |
| Topeka | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 7, 2013 |
| FBN Securities | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Feb 20, 2013 |
| Brean Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 14, 2013 |
| Maxim Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 13, 2013 |
| Credit Agricole | Underperform | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 6, 2013 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 5, 2013 |
| Cross Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 5, 2013 |
| Argus Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 16, 2013 |
| Monness, Crespi, Hardt | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 15, 2013 |
| Monness Crespi Hardt | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 10, 2012 |
| Edward Jones | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Sep 7, 2012 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 22, 2012 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 17, 2012 |
| Oxen Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 14, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $455.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $574 | $572.63 | +26.0% | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $650 | $552.06 | +42.7% | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $511 | $570.04 | +12.2% | Sep 21, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | David Paige | $640 | $506.68 | +40.5% | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $650 | $533.27 | +42.7% | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Gianmarco Conti | $520 | $506.36 | +14.2% | Sep 3, 2026 |
| US Capital Advisors | Analyst unavailable | $625 | $492 | +37.2% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $575 | $450.5 | +26.3% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $650 | $424.68 | +42.7% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $500 | $424.68 | +9.8% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Katherine Murphy | $570 | $424.68 | +25.2% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $505 | $424.68 | +10.9% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $499 | $424.68 | +9.6% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $603 | $424.68 | +32.4% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $617 | $424.68 | +35.5% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $600 | $424.68 | +31.7% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Melius Research | Ben Reitzes | $735 | $424.68 | +61.4% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $558 | $424.68 | +22.5% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $575 | $424.68 | +26.3% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $480 | $457.39 | +5.4% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $505 | $455.85 | +10.9% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $455 | $451.02 | -0.1% | Aug 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $434 | $425.14 | -4.7% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $550 | $468.61 | +20.8% | Aug 19, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $545 | $494.46 | +19.7% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $430 | $453.78 | -5.6% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $500 | $416.98 | +9.8% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Matthew Niknam | $360 | $458.52 | -21.0% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $500 | $421.3 | +9.8% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $500 | $421.3 | +9.8% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $448 | $421.3 | -1.6% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Mark Newman | $500 | $421.3 | +9.8% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Jim Kelleher | $460 | $408.38 | +1.0% | May 29, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $700 | $408.84 | +53.7% | May 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $550 | $318.01 | +20.8% | May 29, 2026 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $440 | $318.01 | -3.4% | May 29, 2026 |
| Melius Research | Ben Reitzes | $565 | $318.01 | +24.1% | May 29, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $497 | $318.01 | +9.1% | May 29, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $305.02 | -23.2% | May 28, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $270 | $252.86 | -40.7% | May 22, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $170 | $242.97 | -62.7% | May 21, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Mark Newman | $280 | $235.38 | -38.5% | May 20, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $300 | $246.9 | -34.1% | May 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $243 | $260.31 | -46.6% | May 10, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $260 | $216.39 | -42.9% | May 6, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $215 | $177.33 | -52.8% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $175.82 | -55.0% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $116.78 | -64.9% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $101 | $113.53 | -77.8% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $111 | $120.53 | -75.6% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $165 | $120.44 | -63.8% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $167 | $125.92 | -63.3% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $113 | $125.92 | -75.2% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $175 | $131.63 | -61.6% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $148 | $126.21 | -67.5% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $180 | $160.11 | -60.5% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $172 | $149.43 | -62.2% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $161 | $147.87 | -64.6% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Jim Kelleher | $200 | $157.09 | -56.1% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $186 | $162.45 | -59.2% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $156.33 | -62.7% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Mark Newman | $180 | $150.87 | -60.5% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $180 | $150.87 | -60.5% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $151 | $150.87 | -66.8% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $133 | $130.34 | -70.8% | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Mark Newman | $175 | $126.8 | -61.6% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $134.05 | -66.0% | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $152 | $122.15 | -66.6% | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $131 | $134.05 | -71.2% | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $140 | $134.05 | -69.3% | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $144 | $127.83 | -68.4% | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Mehdi Hosseini | $125 | $139.41 | -72.6% | Aug 13, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $102.76 | -67.1% | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $116 | $102.76 | -74.5% | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $160 | $92.55 | -64.9% | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $135 | $115.4 | -70.4% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Mehdi Hosseini | $120 | $105.75 | -73.7% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $155 | $115.91 | -66.0% | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $140 | $110.74 | -69.3% | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Wamsi Mohan | $155 | $110.74 | -66.0% | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Asiya Merchant | $155 | $102.95 | -66.0% | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Amit Daryanani | $140 | $92.55 | -69.3% | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $155 | $169.92 | -66.0% | May 31, 2024 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $97 | $169.92 | -78.7% | May 31, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ananda Baruah | $185 | $160.18 | -59.4% | May 28, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Amit Daryanani | $165 | $149.16 | -63.8% | May 16, 2024 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $141 | $118.37 | -69.0% | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $82 | $93.97 | -82.0% | Feb 29, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $70 | $68.7 | -84.6% | Sep 1, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $55 | $43.82 | -87.9% | May 2, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $45 | $43.86 | -90.1% | Nov 22, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $52 | $43.62 | -88.6% | Nov 22, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $53 | $42.48 | -88.4% | Nov 22, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $41.7 | -87.9% | Nov 18, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $51 | $41.74 | -88.8% | Aug 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $60 | $44.16 | -86.8% | Aug 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $43.72 | -88.1% | Aug 26, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $44.08 | -87.9% | Aug 26, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $44.1 | -85.7% | Aug 26, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $49 | $47.9 | -89.2% | Aug 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $54 | $47.9 | -88.1% | Aug 26, 2022 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $54 | $50.73 | -88.1% | Jun 6, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $35 | $51.02 | -92.3% | Jun 1, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $56 | $50.09 | -87.7% | May 27, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $40.91 | -85.7% | May 23, 2022 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $53 | $49.38 | -88.4% | Apr 4, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | Wamsi Mohan | $76 | $51.46 | -83.3% | Feb 26, 2022 |
| Bernstein | Toni Sacconaghi | $72 | $60.53 | -84.2% | Jan 14, 2022 |
| Societe Generale | Richard Nguyen | $52 | $49.3 | -88.6% | Aug 31, 2021 |
| Deutsche Bank | Sidney Ho | $60 | $49.05 | -86.8% | Aug 18, 2021 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $55 | $50.04 | -87.9% | Apr 15, 2021 |
| RBC Capital | Robert Muller | $47.5 | $50.04 | -89.6% | Apr 15, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationDell Technologies Inc. is a worldwide technology leader that designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and provides support for a broad spectrum of information technology (IT) solutions, products, and services. The company's business activities are structured into three primary segments: the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), the Client Solutions Group (CSG), and VMware. The ISG division focuses on delivering enterprise-grade offerings, including both traditional and next-generation storage solutions, alongside various server configurations such as rack, blade, tower, and hyperscale models. This segment also provides networking products and related services aimed at helping corporate clients modernize their IT infrastructure, enrich end-user experiences, and accelerate critical business applications and processes. Complementary software, peripherals, and extensive support services—encompassing deployment, configuration, and extended warranties—are also part of its portfolio.…
Historical context
All DELL earningsTechnology peers this season
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| WIT Wipro Limited | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -25.0% | +3.9% | Wipro: AI pipeline expands as Q3 guidance stays narrow |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.4% | -1.8% | TSMC beats Q3 guidance as AI demand drives fab expansion |
| ERIC Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +28.6% | +11.8% | Ericsson Q3: 7% organic growth, resilient margins and AI-led demand |
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T22:00:42.154764+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T22:00:42.151985+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.