Dell Technologies Inc. · DELL · FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Dell: AI backlog expands as guidance rises again

The current analysis strengthens the case that AI infrastructure demand and data-center modernization can support Dell's growth trajectory: orders and backlog expanded, storage growth remained strong, and guidance was raised. The thesis is not conclusive because pricing, supply constraints, margin durability and demand sustainability remain unresolved.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $377.96B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.04 Consensus $4.91
EPS surprise +43.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $46.97B Consensus $44.89B
Revenue surprise +4.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +15.8% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +15.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 6.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +15.4% Up to 20 sessions
DELLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, AI orders and backlog increased further, Dell shipped its first NVIDIA Vera Rubin-based rack systems, storage growth continued, and management again raised full-year guidance. Supply constraints remain a central issue.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year revenue and EPS guidance; the supplied analysis does not provide the prior and current guidance figures needed to quantify the change.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue and EPS reached records, supported by AI servers and storage growth.
  • AI server orders reached an all-time high and the AI backlog expanded to $95 billion.
  • Dell IP storage has delivered six consecutive quarters of double-digit growth and is supporting mix and margins.
  • Demand continues to outpace supply, but DRAM, NAND and CPU constraints remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Scale the AI-server portfolio, including the 18G generation.
  • Expand Dell IP storage and accelerate the Lightning parallel file system.
  • Use engineering and deployment capabilities to pursue AI and non-AI workloads.
  • Optimize the supply chain to mitigate component shortages and improve shipments.
  • Maintain operating leverage with operating expenses at about 8% of revenue.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DELL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1.47 Q3 '24 actual $1.88, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.73 Q4 '24 actual $2.20, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.26 Q1 '25 actual $1.27, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.70 Q2 '25 actual $1.89, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.29 Q2 '26 actual $2.32, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.47 Q3 '26 actual $2.59, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.53 Q4 '26 actual $3.89, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2.96 Q1 '27 actual $4.86, beat Q2 '27 estimate $4.89 Q3 '27 estimate $4.46 Q4 '27 estimate $4.77

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish2555.6%
Neutral1840.0%
Bearish24.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$568.06Current
$47.5Low
$381.81Average
$735High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 9, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $568.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalDavid Paige$640$506.68 +12.7%Sep 10, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$650$533.27 +14.4%Sep 9, 2026
Deutsche BankGianmarco Conti$520$506.36 -8.5%Sep 3, 2026
US Capital AdvisorsAnalyst unavailable$625$492 +10.0%Sep 2, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$575$450.5 +1.2%Sep 2, 2026
See 104 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Dell Technologies Inc. is a worldwide technology leader that designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and provides support for a broad spectrum of information technology (IT) solutions, products, and services. The company's business activities are structured into three primary segments: the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), the Client Solutions Group (CSG), and VMware. The ISG division focuses on delivering enterprise-grade offerings, including both traditional and next-generation storage solutions, alongside various server configurations such as rack, blade, tower, and hyperscale models. This segment also provides networking products and related services aimed at helping corporate clients modernize their IT infrastructure, enrich end-user experiences, and accelerate critical business applications and processes. Complementary software, peripherals, and extensive support services—encompassing deployment, configuration, and extended warranties—are also part of its portfolio.…

Historical context

All DELL earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-02T04:17:30.944566+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T02:00:47.980303+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T02:00:47.977254+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.