Coinbase Global, Inc. · COIN · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Coinbase Q1 2026: Revenue Misses as Crypto Volumes Fall, But Market Share and Derivatives Scale

Coinbase entered FY2026 facing a sharp pullback in crypto market activity, with overall volumes down more than 20% quarter-over-quarter. The company reported $1.41 billion in revenue (down 21% year-over-year) and a net loss of $394 million, missing both consensus revenue and EPS estimates. Despite the headline miss, management emphasized that Coinbase gained crypto trading market share, scaled derivatives and prediction markets to annualized revenues of $200 million and $100 million respectively, and saw USDC holdings reach a record $19 billion. The stock initially rose 4.2% on the report but has since drifted approximately 19% lower, reflecting sustained concerns about institutional revenue weakness, fee compression, and the macro environment for crypto trading. The pending Deribit acquisition and the CLARITY Act legislation represent two major catalysts that could reshape the…

Reported After market closeNASDAQFinancial Services $42.18B market cap
90quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Coinbase Global, Inc. delivers fundamental financial infrastructure and technological solutions to the expanding cryptoeconomy, operating across both the United States and international markets. The company provides a core financial gateway for individual consumers navigating the digital asset space. For institutional clients, it manages a dynamic trading venue that ensures abundant liquidity for cryptocurrency transactions. Moreover, Coinbase supplies developers with crucial technology and services, enabling them to build innovative crypto-based applications and seamlessly integrate secure digital asset payments. Founded in 2012, the firm is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-1.49 Consensus $0
EPS surprise -2436.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.41B Consensus $1.49B
Revenue surprise -4.9% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
COIN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $-1.04 Q4 '23 actual $1.04, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.15 Q1 '24 actual $1.65, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.95 Q2 '24 actual $1.07, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.45 Q3 '24 actual $0.62, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.25 Q2 '25 actual $0.12, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.20 Q3 '25 actual $1.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.99 Q4 '25 actual $-2.49, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.06 Q1 '26 actual $-1.49, miss Q2 '26 estimate $-0.41 Q3 '26 estimate $0.44 Q4 '26 estimate $0.77 Q1 '27 estimate $0.85

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold38 ratings
Bullish2155.3%
Neutral1334.2%
Bearish410.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$160.09Current
$33Low
$244.59Average
$600High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 15, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainJul 9, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 9, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJun 17, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 17, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainJun 17, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 5, 2026
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 1, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 12, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 8, 2026
HC Wainwright & Co. Buy BuyMaintainMay 8, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 30, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainMar 26, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainFeb 13, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 8, 2026
Compass Point Sell SellMaintainDec 15, 2025
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeNov 25, 2025
Monness, Crespi, Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 10, 2025
Rothschild & Co Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 3, 2025
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 4, 2025
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 29, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainJul 14, 2025
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 3, 2024
Raymond James Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeMar 12, 2024
Atlantic Equities Neutral OverweightDowngradeJul 12, 2023
Berenberg Hold HoldMaintainMay 16, 2023
Daiwa Capital Buy HoldUpgradeMay 8, 2023
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 5, 2023
TD Cowen Underperform Market PerformDowngradeMar 24, 2023
US Tiger Securities, Inc Buy HoldUpgradeMar 20, 2023
DA Davidson Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 16, 2023
Cowen & Co. Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 5, 2023
Redburn Partners Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 23, 2022
MoffettNathanson Buy BuyMaintainMay 24, 2022
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $160.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$235$166.12 +46.8%Jul 23, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$209$167.21 +30.6%Jul 16, 2026
Piper SandlerPatrick Moley$155$161.5 -3.2%Jul 15, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$260$159.07 +62.4%Jul 13, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$325$159.36 +103.0%Jul 9, 2026
US Tiger SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$200$167.26 +24.9%Jul 7, 2026
Coker PalmerMark Palmer$270$169.87 +68.7%Jun 17, 2026
Deutsche BankBrian Bedell$208$169.49 +29.9%Jun 17, 2026
Robert W. BairdRobert Bamberger$142$164.13 -11.3%Jun 5, 2026
B.Riley FinancialHal Goetsch$203$181.36 +26.8%Jun 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$200$216.6 +24.9%May 12, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$160$201.16 -0.1%May 11, 2026
H.C. WainwrightAnalyst unavailable$310$196.2 +93.6%May 8, 2026
MonnessAnalyst unavailable$110$189.92 -31.3%May 8, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$224$190.66 +39.9%May 8, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$170$192.96 +6.2%May 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$107$192.96 -33.2%May 8, 2026
Coker PalmerMark Palmer$260$193.74 +62.4%May 6, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$250$209.35 +56.2%Apr 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$170$164.32 +6.2%Feb 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$264$166.36 +64.9%Feb 13, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$165$165.38 +3.1%Feb 13, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$230$161.45 +43.7%Feb 13, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$250$159 +56.2%Feb 13, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$150$141.09 -6.3%Feb 13, 2026
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$300$141.09 +87.4%Feb 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$148$141.09 -7.6%Feb 13, 2026
BTIGAndrew Harte$280$141.09 +74.9%Feb 13, 2026
MonnessGus Gala$120$153.2 -25.0%Feb 12, 2026
H.C. WainwrightAnalyst unavailable$350$150.33 +118.6%Feb 11, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$340$168.62 +112.4%Feb 5, 2026
Robert W. BairdRobert Bamberger$240$210.83 +49.9%Jan 27, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$270$252.69 +68.7%Jan 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$258$245.93 +61.2%Jan 8, 2026
BernsteinGautam Chhugani$440$256.07 +174.8%Jan 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$303$236.53 +89.3%Jan 5, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$320$248.79 +99.9%Dec 18, 2025
Goldman SachsJames Yaro$294$244.19 +83.6%Dec 18, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$340$252.61 +112.4%Dec 17, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$340$252.61 +112.4%Dec 17, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$280$250.48 +74.9%Dec 16, 2025
Compass PointAnalyst unavailable$230$267.52 +43.7%Dec 15, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$291$269.02 +81.8%Dec 12, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$314$238.16 +96.1%Nov 21, 2025
MonnessGus Galá$375$317.21 +134.2%Nov 10, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$320$343.78 +99.9%Nov 3, 2025
Coker PalmerMark Palmer$421$348.88 +163.0%Oct 31, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$459$336.25 +186.7%Oct 31, 2025
BTIGAndrew Harte$420$328.51 +162.4%Oct 31, 2025
BarclaysBenjamin Budish$357$328.51 +123.0%Oct 31, 2025
H.C. WainwrightAnalyst unavailable$425$348.61 +165.5%Oct 30, 2025
JefferiesDaniel Fannon$384$355.22 +139.9%Oct 29, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$404$345.33 +152.4%Oct 24, 2025
Compass PointAnalyst unavailable$277$342.24 +73.0%Oct 20, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$361$375.78 +125.5%Oct 8, 2025
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$417$372.07 +160.5%Oct 3, 2025
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$410$337.49 +156.1%Oct 1, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$300$343.13 +87.4%Sep 18, 2025
Williams TradingTrevor Williams$405$381.1 +153.0%Jul 31, 2025
Argus ResearchKevin Heal$400$394.01 +149.9%Jul 14, 2025
BernsteinGautam Chhugani$510$355.37 +218.6%Jun 25, 2025
OppenheimerOwen Lau$293$244.44 +83.0%May 15, 2025
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$400$208.06 +149.9%May 8, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$217$191.69 +35.5%Mar 11, 2025
MonnessAnalyst unavailable$420$274.31 +162.4%Feb 18, 2025
NeedhamJohn Todaro$290$211.74 +81.1%Oct 31, 2024
H.C. WainwrightMike Colonnese$295$220.74 +84.3%Oct 29, 2024
MonnessGus Galá$245$214.17 +53.0%Oct 28, 2024
B.Riley FinancialHal Goetsch$185$210.72 +15.6%Oct 23, 2024
US Tiger SecuritiesBo Pei$380$210.48 +137.4%Oct 16, 2024
BarclaysBenjamin Budish$169$159.7 +5.6%Sep 6, 2024
JefferiesTrevor Williams$220$197.66 +37.4%Aug 21, 2024
Piper SandlerPatrick Moley$245$204.5 +53.0%Aug 2, 2024
CitigroupPeter Christiansen$345$267.19 +115.5%Jul 23, 2024
Deutsche BankLauren Silberman$295$257.79 +84.3%Jul 22, 2024
H.C. WainwrightMike Colonnese$315$219.55 +96.8%Jun 24, 2024
OppenheimerOwen Lau$282$228.85 +76.2%May 3, 2024
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$280$228.85 +74.9%May 3, 2024
Compass PointJoe Flynn$325$218.83 +103.0%Apr 17, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$145$263.01 -9.4%Apr 12, 2024
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$320$256.99 +99.9%Apr 9, 2024
BarclaysBenjamin Budish$179$240.9 +11.8%Apr 8, 2024
OppenheimerOwen Lau$276$251.58 +72.4%Apr 4, 2024
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$300$258.91 +87.4%Mar 22, 2024
Goldman SachsWill Nance$282$257.2 +76.2%Mar 8, 2024
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$11$180.31 -93.1%Feb 16, 2024
OppenheimerOwen Lau$160$125.2 -0.1%Jan 26, 2024
WedbushMoshe Katri$180$141.06 +12.4%Jan 11, 2024
NeedhamJohn Todaro$160$149.94 -0.1%Dec 13, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$31$92.92 -80.6%Nov 10, 2023
WedbushMoshe Katri$110$89 -31.3%Nov 7, 2023
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$107$75.56 -33.2%Aug 17, 2023
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$140$89.14 -12.5%Aug 4, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$27$54.25 -83.1%Jun 15, 2023
Atlantic EquitiesSimon Clinch$70$60.21 -56.3%May 30, 2023
DaiwaSteven Nie$65$56.85 -59.4%May 8, 2023
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$90$57.51 -43.8%May 5, 2023
OppenheimerOwen Lau$84$64.92 -47.5%Mar 23, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$30$59.79 -81.3%Mar 13, 2023
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$80$59.21 -50.0%Feb 22, 2023
Telsey AdvisoryJoseph Feldman$180$65.2 +12.4%Feb 22, 2023
Compass PointChris Allen$100$61.96 -37.5%Feb 17, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$45$44.2 -71.9%Jan 12, 2023
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$55$43.59 -65.6%Jan 11, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$33$38.53 -79.4%Jan 9, 2023
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$30$35.89 -81.3%Jan 9, 2023
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$35$33.26 -78.1%Jan 9, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$37$36.6 -76.9%Dec 19, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$75$36.6 -53.2%Dec 19, 2022
Atlantic EquitiesAnalyst unavailable$46$47.67 -71.3%Dec 5, 2022
NeedhamNeedham Needham$73$43.56 -54.4%Nov 29, 2022
BarclaysBenjamin Budish$44$43.06 -72.5%Nov 22, 2022
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$70$48.81 -56.3%Nov 16, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$41$54.12 -74.4%Nov 14, 2022
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$155$57.1 -3.2%Nov 4, 2022
Compass PointAnalyst unavailable$75$75.05 -53.2%Oct 26, 2022
Wells FargoJeff Cantwell$57$67.31 -64.4%Sep 29, 2022
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$195$91.3 +21.8%Aug 10, 2022
D.A. DavidsonChristopher Brendler$90$70.82 -43.8%Jul 25, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$42$53.42 -73.8%Jul 15, 2022
Atlantic EquitiesSimon Clinch$35$54.98 -78.1%Jul 6, 2022
Goldman SachsWill Nance$45$56.68 -71.9%Jun 27, 2022
Piper SandlerRichard Repetto$120$51.22 -25.0%Jun 21, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$60$66.15 -62.5%May 22, 2022
Goldman SachsWill Nance$80$70 -50.0%May 17, 2022
Piper SandlerRichard Repetto$180$72.61 +12.4%May 13, 2022
WedbushMoshe Katri$160$114.08 -0.1%May 5, 2022
DaiwaCarlton Lai$230$132.35 +43.7%Apr 22, 2022
OppenheimerOwen Lau$314$148.53 +96.1%Apr 19, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$150$147.29 -6.3%Apr 16, 2022
JMP SecuritiesDevin Ryan$394$160.94 +146.1%Apr 10, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$190$160.94 +18.7%Apr 9, 2022
CitigroupPeter Christiansen$275$201.41 +71.8%Mar 28, 2022
OppenheimerOwen Lau$377$177.22 +135.5%Mar 17, 2022
Compass PointChris Allen$200$165.75 +24.9%Mar 5, 2022
Goldman SachsWill Nance$250$176.83 +56.2%Feb 26, 2022
BTIGMark Palmer$500$176.83 +212.3%Feb 25, 2022
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$275$176.83 +71.8%Feb 25, 2022
Piper SandlerRichard Repetto$360$176.83 +124.9%Feb 25, 2022
Rosenblatt SecuritiesSean Horgan$262$176.83 +63.7%Feb 25, 2022
J.P. MorganKen Worthington$345$172.74 +115.5%Feb 23, 2022
D.A. DavidsonChris Brendler$275$172.74 +71.8%Feb 23, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$220$185.63 +37.4%Jan 25, 2022
CitigroupPeter Christiansen$300$191.97 +87.4%Jan 22, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesJason Kupferberg$340$234 +112.4%Jan 6, 2022
MoffettNathansonLisa Elis$600$328.6 +274.8%Nov 10, 2021
WedbushMoshe Katri$380$357.39 +137.4%Nov 9, 2021
Autonomous ResearchChristian Bolu$160$246.78 -0.1%Oct 13, 2021
KBWKyle Voigt$275$278.4 +71.8%Aug 11, 2021
Loop Capital MarketsKenneth Hill$398$258.37 +148.6%May 14, 2021
BernsteinHarshita Rawat$250$302 +56.2%Apr 27, 2021
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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.2% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +3.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -19.4% Up to 20 sessions
COINSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue fell to $1.41 billion (down 21% YoY) with a net loss of $394 million, as overall crypto trading volumes declined over 20% quarter-over-quarter. EPS came in at -$1.49 versus a consensus estimate of $0.06. Despite the top-line miss, Coinbase expanded its global crypto trading market share. Derivatives reached $200 million in annualized revenue and prediction markets $100 million. USDC holdings hit a record $19 billion with stablecoin transaction volume doubling quarter-over-quarter. Over 90% of on-chain agentic transaction volume now runs on Coinbase's Base chain, with the x402 protocol adopted by Cloudflare, AWS, Stripe, Shopify, and Google. The company announced a $50-60 million restructuring charge expected in Q2.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its expense guidance, supported by AI-driven efficiency gains in engineering and product development. No explicit revenue or earnings guidance was provided in the supplied analysis. The company signaled continued investment in the Deribit integration, the Everything Exchange expansion into non-crypto assets, and the x402 protocol ecosystem.

Key takeaways

  • Coinbase grew its global crypto trading market share despite a 20%+ decline in overall crypto volumes.
  • Derivatives and prediction markets are scaling rapidly, with annualized revenues of $200M and $100M respectively.
  • USDC holdings reached a record $19B, and stablecoin transaction volume doubled quarter-over-quarter.
  • AI-native development boosted engineering productivity, reducing costs and supporting expense guidance.
  • Regulatory progress on the CLARITY Act could provide significant clarity for stablecoin rewards and broader tokenization.

Management priorities

  • Full integration of Deribit to launch a unified crypto options platform in 2026.
  • Continued rollout of new asset classes under the Everything Exchange, including equities, commodities, and prediction markets.
  • Scaling the x402 protocol and broader agentic commerce ecosystem.
  • Further AI-native product development and cost-saving initiatives.
  • Ongoing expense reductions with a $50-60M restructuring charge expected in Q2.

Related earnings events

Financial Services

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-30T01:52:00.610553+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-30T01:52:00.607821+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.