Celestica Inc. · CLS · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Celestica raises 2026 outlook as AI-networking demand drives record Q4

The supplied Q4 analysis supports a growth case built on AI-related data-center demand, hyperscaler programs and higher-speed networking, reinforced by raised 2026 guidance. The key test is whether growth can translate into durable margins and free cash flow as the company funds a substantial capacity build and remains exposed to large customers and supply constraints.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $33.49B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.89 Consensus $1.74
EPS surprise +8.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.61B Consensus $3.51B
Revenue surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -13.1% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -12.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.5% Up to 20 sessions
CLSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's outlook moved from a 2025 growth focus to a raised 2026 revenue and EPS outlook, alongside a $1 billion 2026 capex plan. The latest analysis emphasizes stronger CCS growth, hyperscaler programs and new design capacity, while also identifying greater execution and cash-flow demands. The supplied event reaction was sharply negative despite reported EPS and revenue exceeding estimates, underscoring a disconnect between reported results and the market response in this window.

Guidance delta

Management raised its 2026 outlook to $17 billion in revenue and $8.75 in EPS; the $500 million free-cash-flow target was unchanged. The analysis also notes a $1 billion 2026 capex plan.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 2025 revenue and adjusted EPS exceeded the high end of guidance, with adjusted operating margin at 7.7%, according to the supplied analysis.
  • CCS growth, including 800G switch programs and enterprise AI/ML compute ramps, was a central growth driver.
  • Management raised 2026 revenue and EPS outlook while maintaining its free-cash-flow target.
  • Capacity expansion and 1.6 Tbps networking programs are intended to support hyperscaler and data-center demand. The supplied event reaction was negative.

Management priorities

  • Expand manufacturing and design capacity across the locations identified in the supplied analysis.
  • Advance 1.6 Tbps networking programs and deepen hyperscaler relationships, including Google.
  • Fund the 2026 capacity plan while pursuing the stated free-cash-flow target.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CLS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $2B, match Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q3 '26 actual $6B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $7B Q2 '27 estimate $9B Q3 '27 estimate $11B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1970.4%
Neutral829.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$265.53Current
$58Low
$363.19Average
$520High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 28, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 28, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $265.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$414$276.07 +55.9%Oct 28, 2026
Goldman SachsMichael Ng$435$276.07 +63.8%Oct 28, 2026
BMO CapitalThanos Moschopoulos$400$263.23 +50.6%Oct 23, 2026
BernsteinDaniel Zhu$520$366.47 +95.8%Sep 30, 2026
FBN SecuritiesShebly Seyrafi$375$316.08 +41.2%Sep 15, 2026
See 43 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, and established in 1994, Celestica Inc. delivers comprehensive hardware platform and supply chain solutions to clients across North America, Europe, and Asia. The company operates through two key segments: Advanced Technology Solutions and Connectivity & Cloud Solutions. Celestica's extensive service portfolio encompasses the entire product lifecycle, from initial design and development, engineering, and supply chain management to new product introduction, component sourcing, electronic manufacturing and assembly, rigorous testing, complex mechanical integration, and systems integration.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T23:20:42.376350+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T23:20:42.373128+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.