Constellation Energy Corporation · CEG · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

CEG raised guidance as data-center power demand accelerated

The current analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: strong nuclear execution, higher guidance, and growing data-center demand provide evidence of earnings growth, while regulatory and project-execution risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $93.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.68 Consensus $1.71
EPS surprise -1.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.27B Consensus $5.55B
Revenue surprise -5.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.5% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +5.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.9% Up to 20 sessions
CEGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised. Management placed greater emphasis on data-center colocation following higher PJM capacity-market prices and reported additional share repurchases.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $7.60-$8.40 per share, with a midpoint equal to the prior range's top end.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 GAAP EPS was $2.58 and adjusted EPS was $1.68.
  • The nuclear fleet achieved a 95.4% capacity factor, above plan.
  • Data-center demand and PJM capacity auction results are supporting colocation opportunities.
  • The company reported $1 billion of year-to-date share repurchases, including $500 million in Q2.

Management priorities

  • Expand data-center colocation agreements
  • Scale the 24/7 carbon-free energy product suite
  • Invest in nuclear upgrades, relicensing, and additional clean capacity

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CEG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.30 Q1 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.71 Q2 '24 actual $1.68, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.66 Q3 '24 actual $2.74, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.84 Q2 '25 actual $1.91, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.11 Q3 '25 actual $3.04, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2.28 Q4 '25 actual $2.30, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.54 Q1 '26 actual $2.74, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.29 Q2 '26 actual $2.55, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.72 Q4 '26 estimate $2.89 Q1 '27 estimate $2.68
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy22 ratings
Bullish1672.7%
Neutral627.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$263.19Current
$69Low
$306.03Average
$460High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Show 17 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $263.19. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$350$258.92 +33.0%Oct 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$369$258.04 +40.2%Sep 18, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$374$271.24 +42.1%Aug 19, 2026
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$325$270.43 +23.5%Aug 11, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$379$261.1 +44.0%Aug 7, 2026
See 54 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Constellation Energy Corporation operates as a U.S.-based firm dedicated to producing and distributing electricity. Its activities are organized across five primary geographical segments: the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and various other power markets. In addition to electrical power, the company supplies natural gas, sustainable energy solutions, and an array of associated energy products and services. Possessing a significant generation capability of 32,400 megawatts, its power portfolio incorporates diverse sources such as nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric facilities. The company serves a wide spectrum of clients, including utility distributors, local government bodies, cooperatives, along with commercial, industrial, public sector, and household consumers. Founded in 2021, its corporate headquarters are situated in Baltimore, Maryland. Constellation Energy Corporation previously operated as a subsidiary of Exelon Corporation.

Historical context

All CEG earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T02:00:42.171675+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T02:00:42.168605+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.