Constellation Energy Corporation · CEG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Constellation raises guidance as nuclear contracts and co-location advance

The quarter strengthens the case that contracted nuclear demand, regulatory progress, and disciplined use of existing capacity can support Constellation's growth trajectory. The thesis remains dependent on contract economics, regulatory execution, outage timing, and ERCOT conditions.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $94.12B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.55 Consensus $2.29
EPS surprise +11.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.50B Consensus $7.73B
Revenue surprise -2.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.5% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.2% Up to 20 sessions
CEGSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, guidance moved from maintained at $11-$12 per share to raised at $11.50-$12.50 per share. The company also highlighted approximately 920 MW of new long-term nuclear contracts, NRC approval supporting the Crane restart, and additional strategic transactions including the Brazos Valley divestiture.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance to $11.50-$12.50 per share from the prior quarter's maintained outlook of $11-$12 per share.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 results beat expectations and management raised full-year guidance to $11.50-$12.50 per share.
  • Approximately 920 MW of long-term nuclear contracts were signed, covering about 30% of clean baseload output.
  • NRC approval for Crane and progress on FERC/PJM actions improve the path for future capacity and contracting opportunities.
  • The company is integrating Calpine, sold Brazos Valley Energy Center, and reported about $2.2 billion of share repurchases.
  • Management is focused on existing-capacity utilization, nuclear contract expansion, and data-center co-location.

Management priorities

  • Restart Crane nuclear plant in the second half of 2027.
  • Continue filing license renewals for Ginna and Nine Mile Point.
  • Pursue co-location solutions for large-load customers.
  • Explore new nuclear development opportunities in New York.
  • Maintain opportunistic share repurchases and integrate Calpine assets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CEG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.30 Q1 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.71 Q2 '24 actual $1.68, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.66 Q3 '24 actual $2.74, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.84 Q2 '25 actual $1.91, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.11 Q3 '25 actual $3.04, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2.28 Q4 '25 actual $2.30, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.54 Q1 '26 actual $2.74, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.29 Q2 '26 actual $2.55, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.73 Q4 '26 estimate $2.89 Q1 '27 estimate $2.87
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy21 ratings
Bullish1571.4%
Neutral628.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$261.12Current
$69Low
$304.57Average
$460High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 27, 2026
Show 16 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $261.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$369$258.04 +41.3%Sep 18, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$374$271.24 +43.2%Aug 19, 2026
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$325$270.43 +24.5%Aug 11, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$379$261.1 +45.1%Aug 7, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$376$273.71 +44.0%Aug 4, 2026
See 53 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Constellation Energy Corporation operates as a U.S.-based firm dedicated to producing and distributing electricity. Its activities are organized across five primary geographical segments: the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and various other power markets. In addition to electrical power, the company supplies natural gas, sustainable energy solutions, and an array of associated energy products and services. Possessing a significant generation capability of 32,400 megawatts, its power portfolio incorporates diverse sources such as nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric facilities. The company serves a wide spectrum of clients, including utility distributors, local government bodies, cooperatives, along with commercial, industrial, public sector, and household consumers. Founded in 2021, its corporate headquarters are situated in Baltimore, Maryland. Constellation Energy Corporation previously operated as a subsidiary of Exelon Corporation.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T19:14:17.797441+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T12:56:11.185301+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T12:56:11.182527+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.