Credicorp Ltd. · BAP · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Credicorp: Strong Q1 Momentum, With Macro Risks Still in Focus

The quarter supports a constructive operating case: strong loan growth, lower cost of risk, and digital expansion drove record results. The key counterpoints are macro sensitivity, political uncertainty, and the need to sustain asset quality and digital profitability.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $30.62B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.65 Consensus $6.92
EPS surprise +10.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.73B Consensus $1.73B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.5% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -2.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.5% Up to 20 sessions
BAPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Credicorp created a unified neobank unit bringing together Yape, Tenpo, Eo, and Bolivia operations. Risk-adjusted revenue from innovation reached 9% of total, close to the 10% year-end target.

Guidance delta

Management maintained loan-book growth guidance of 8.5%–10.5% and Peru GDP growth guidance of 3.5%.

Key takeaways

  • Record net income and 21.1% ROE exceeded expectations.
  • Loan growth accelerated at BCP and Mibanco, while cost of risk fell below guidance.
  • Yape and Tenpo are expanding the digital ecosystem, which contributed about 8% of group revenue.
  • Election uncertainty, El Niño, and oil-price volatility remain key risks.

Management priorities

  • Grow the loan book through retail and microfinance.
  • Scale and integrate Yape, Tenpo, and Eo under the unified neobank unit.
  • Improve efficiency and leverage low-cost funding.
  • Reach 10% of risk-adjusted income from innovation initiatives by year-end.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BAP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $4.43 Q1 '24 actual $5.06, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4.75 Q2 '24 actual $4.49, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4.57 Q3 '24 actual $5.08, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.93 Q2 '25 actual $6.43, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.29 Q3 '25 actual $6.28, match Q4 '25 estimate $6.50 Q4 '25 actual $5.88, miss Q1 '26 estimate $6.92 Q1 '26 actual $7.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7.31 Q2 '26 actual $7.29, miss Q3 '26 estimate $24.70 Q4 '26 estimate $23.95 Q1 '27 estimate $26.37 Q2 '27 estimate $27.56
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy14 ratings
Bullish964.3%
Neutral535.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$383Current
$154Low
$323.71Average
$480High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 16, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeJun 17, 2026
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeMay 19, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 16, 2024
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeJul 7, 2023
Itau BBA Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 3, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform NeutralUpgradeJul 19, 2022
Santander Hold BuyDowngradeJun 23, 2020
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 7, 2020
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 15, 2016
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeMar 15, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $383. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSThiago Batista$473$368.98 +23.5%Aug 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyJorge Kuri$480$364.28 +25.3%Jun 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$412$342.85 +7.6%May 26, 2026
HSBCCarlos Gomez-Lopez$350$303.86 -8.6%May 19, 2026
UBSThiago Batista$408$340.01 +6.5%Apr 21, 2026
UBSThiago Batista$318$267.1 -17.0%Sep 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyJorge Kuri$195$185 -49.1%Sep 27, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesErnesto Gabilondo$190$185 -50.4%Sep 27, 2024
BradescoGustavo Schroden$207$161.88 -46.0%Apr 18, 2024
BTG PactualAlonso Aramburu$154$129.38 -59.8%Sep 9, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Credicorp Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services and products in Peru, Bermuda, Colombia, Bolivia, Panama, Chile, the United States, the Cayman Islands, and Mexico. It operates through Universal Banking; Insurance, Medical Services, and Pensions; Microfinance; and Investment Management and Advisory segments. The company grants various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities; and various deposits and current accounts. It also issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transport, marine vessels, automobiles, life, health, and pensions; provides medical and health services, as well as management services of private pension funds to the affiliates.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-17T18:03:52.013422+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T13:00:57.565989+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T13:00:57.563846+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.