Ball Corporation · BALL · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Ball Corporation Beats Q1 Estimates, Reaffirms Full-Year 10%+ EPS Growth

Ball Corporation delivered a solid fiscal Q1 2026, with comparable diluted EPS rising 22% on 10% operating earnings growth and approximately 1% volume growth globally. The company achieved its 2x operating leverage target and completed the Benepack acquisition, adding aluminum packaging capacity in Belgium and Hungary. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance for 10%+ EPS growth, over $900M in free cash flow, and $800M in total shareholder returns. Despite beating both EPS and revenue estimates, the stock declined 6.3% on the report session while the benchmark rose 0.8%, with volume at 2.1x the baseline. Shares subsequently drifted an additional 7.5% lower before recovering. The current price of $65.31 remains below the $71.50 consensus analyst target.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $17.39B market cap
90quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ball Corporation serves as a global provider of aluminum packaging solutions for a broad spectrum of industries, including beverages, personal care items, and household goods. Its extensive reach covers the United States, Brazil, and numerous international markets. The company's operations are strategically divided into four primary business segments: Beverage Packaging for North and Central America; Beverage Packaging for Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; Beverage Packaging for South America; and its dedicated Aerospace division. Within its packaging enterprise, Ball is a key manufacturer and supplier of aluminum beverage containers, catering to producers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other liquid products. Its product line also encompasses extruded aluminum aerosol containers, innovative reclosable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Beyond packaging, Ball Corporation maintains a substantial presence in the aerospace sector.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.94 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +11.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.60B Consensus $3.34B
Revenue surprise +7.8% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BALL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.77 Q4 '23 actual $0.78, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.55 Q1 '24 actual $0.68, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.70 Q2 '24 actual $0.74, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.87 Q3 '24 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.87 Q2 '25 actual $0.90, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.02, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.90 Q4 '25 actual $0.91, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.84 Q1 '26 actual $0.94, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.99 Q3 '26 estimate $1.07 Q4 '26 estimate $1.02 Q1 '27 estimate $1.02

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy22 ratings
Bullish1777.3%
Neutral522.7%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$65.31Previous close
$48Low
$69.79Average
$83High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 14, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 9, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeMay 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 6, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 6, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 15, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeApr 1, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 4, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainFeb 4, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 14, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2025
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 5, 2025
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 5, 2025
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeSep 13, 2023
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 10, 2022
Atlantic Equities Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 5, 2022
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 24, 2020
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainNov 2, 2018
KeyBanc Sector Weight UnderweightUpgradeFeb 12, 2018
Vertical Research Buy HoldUpgradeDec 15, 2017
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeNov 10, 2015
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 17, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $65.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$77$60.29 +17.9%Jul 9, 2026
Raymond JamesMatt Roberts$73$64.03 +11.8%Apr 21, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$75$63.26 +14.8%Feb 4, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$66$63.26 +1.1%Feb 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$66$63.12 +1.1%Feb 4, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$70$61.77 +7.2%Feb 4, 2026
Robert W. BairdGhansham Panjabi$75$62.75 +14.8%Feb 4, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$70$61.77 +7.2%Feb 4, 2026
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$67$56.03 +2.6%Jan 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$63$53.53 -3.5%Jan 8, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$69$53.91 +5.6%Jan 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$60$53.91 -8.1%Jan 6, 2026
Wells FargoGabe Hajde$48$47.58 -26.5%Oct 15, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$65$47.4 -0.5%Oct 13, 2025
UBSJoshua Spector$55$50.1 -15.8%Oct 6, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$61$50.48 -6.6%Oct 3, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAlton Stump$78$51.68 +19.4%May 7, 2025
UBSJoshua Spector$58$52.01 -11.2%Jan 10, 2025
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$75$67.29 +14.8%Oct 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyStefan Diaz$78$63.9 +19.4%Sep 4, 2024
Robert W. BairdGhansham Panjabi$70$62.2 +7.2%Aug 14, 2024
UBSJoshua Spector$56$62.3 -14.3%Jul 17, 2024
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$76$61.58 +16.4%Jun 25, 2024
Wells FargoGabe Hajde$64$62.26 -2.0%Jun 20, 2024
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$67$70.3 +2.6%Apr 29, 2024
JefferiesPhilip Ng$83$70.31 +27.1%Apr 29, 2024
BarclaysMichael Leithead$71$66.74 +8.7%Apr 4, 2024
CFRAMatthew Miller$78$67.84 +19.4%Apr 1, 2024
Morgan StanleyAngel Castillo$68$64.78 +4.1%Mar 18, 2024
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$74$61.88 +13.3%Feb 20, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesChristopher Parkinson$59$55.06 -9.7%Aug 18, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesChristopher Parkinson$74$56.36 +13.3%Aug 5, 2022
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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -6.3% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -7.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.5% Up to 20 sessions
BALLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q1 2026 comparable diluted EPS came in at $0.94 versus an estimated $0.845, an 11.2% surprise. Revenue of $3.60B exceeded the $3.34B consensus by 7.8%. Operating earnings grew 10% year over year, and the company achieved its 2x operating leverage target. Ball completed the Benepack acquisition, expanding EMEA capacity, and re-segmented its India and Myanmar plants into the EMEA segment for clearer reporting. The Millersburg, Oregon facility remains on track for full ramp-up in 2027 with $35M in start-up costs.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed all full-year guidance: 10%+ comparable EPS growth, over $900M free cash flow, and $800M in total shareholder returns. No changes to prior guidance. Capex outlook remains stable.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 2026 volumes up ~1% YoY; comparable diluted EPS up 22% driven by 10% operating earnings growth.
  • 2x operating leverage target achieved, supporting the 10%+ EPS growth outlook.
  • Benepack acquisition completed, adding European capacity in Belgium and Hungary.
  • Millersburg, Oregon facility on track for full ramp-up in 2027 with $35M start-up costs.
  • Full-year guidance reaffirmed: >$900M FCF, $800M shareholder returns, 10%+ EPS growth.

Management priorities

  • Ramping the Millersburg, Oregon plant toward full production by 2027.
  • Integrating the Benepack acquisition to strengthen the European footprint.
  • Expanding capacity in high-growth markets such as India.
  • Focusing on profit per can as a core operating metric.
  • Embedding EVA targets into plant-level incentive structures.

Related earnings events

Consumer Cyclical

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-31T07:02:23.719982+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-31T07:02:23.717029+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.