Alphabet Inc. · GOOG · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Alphabet's AI growth accelerates, while TPU buildup pressures cash flow

The quarter supports a constructive view of Alphabet's AI-led growth: revenue rose 25% year over year, Cloud more than doubled, and Gemini adoption accelerated. The principal counterweight is execution and financial pressure from TPU inventory, infrastructure spending, capacity constraints, FX, and regulation.

Reported After market closeNASDAQCommunication Services $3936.69B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.67 Consensus $3.01
EPS surprise -11.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $127.58B Consensus $127.97B
Revenue surprise -0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move +1.6% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
GOOGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied Q3 analysis highlighted faster Cloud growth, Gemini 4 adoption, agentic commerce rollout, and TPU system inventory buildup that weighed on operating cash flow and free cash flow. It also identified FX headwinds, regulatory exposure, and an unrealized SpaceX investment loss as additional developments.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was maintained versus the prior quarter; no new quantitative guidance change was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • Reported revenue grew 25% year over year to $127.6 billion, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Google Cloud revenue more than doubled, driven by AI workloads and TPU system sales.
  • Gemini 4 adoption, agentic experiences, and Universal Cart broaden the growth and monetization opportunity.
  • TPU inventory buildup created short-term operating cash-flow and free-cash-flow pressure.

Management priorities

  • Improve Gemini model efficiency, speed, and developer economics.
  • Scale agentic experiences from enterprise to consumer through the Gemini app.
  • Expand TPU availability through Oracle, Crux AI, and third-party data centers.
  • Broaden AI Mode advertising and multiturn ads globally.
  • Continue Waymo expansion across additional U.S. and international markets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GOOG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.84 Q2 '24 actual $1.89, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.85 Q3 '24 actual $2.12, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.18 Q2 '25 actual $2.31, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.30 Q3 '25 actual $2.87, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.63 Q4 '25 actual $2.82, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.68 Q1 '26 actual $5.11, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.87 Q2 '26 actual $9.11, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.01 Q3 '26 actual $2.67, miss Q4 '26 estimate $3.36 Q1 '27 estimate $3.43 Q2 '27 estimate $3.61 Q3 '27 estimate $3.92
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy77 ratings
Bullish6888.3%
Neutral810.4%
Bearish11.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$321.89Previous close
$115Low
$306.4Average
$515High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 14, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainApr 30, 2026
Show 72 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $321.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalBrian Pitz$480$339.27 +49.1%Oct 20, 2026
KeyBancJustin Patterson$410$342.27 +27.4%Oct 19, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$380$351 +18.1%Oct 14, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$485$348.61 +50.7%Oct 8, 2026
Wells FargoKen Gawrelski$417$343.83 +29.5%Oct 6, 2026
See 124 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Alphabet Inc. operates globally, providing a wide array of products and digital platforms to customers across the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific region, Canada, and Latin America. The company's business is organized into three primary segments: Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services division delivers a broad spectrum of consumer-facing offerings, which include its advertising products, the Android operating system, Chrome browser, various hardware devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search functionality, and YouTube.…

Historical context

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Communication Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T04:04:52.698253+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-29T01:23:20.584741+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-29T09:00:46.155891+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-29T09:00:46.153195+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.