Barrick Mining Corporation · B · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Barrick beats production guidance as Newmont deal reshapes growth plans

Barrick’s Q2 supports a constructive operating picture: production beat guidance, margins remained strong, and management maintained 2026 guidance while lowering attributable capex guidance. The Newmont agreement and planned IPO may simplify the portfolio, but the outlook still depends on execution across growth projects, safety, permitting, and the IPO process.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $72.50B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.82 Consensus $0.81
EPS surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.19B Consensus $5.10B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -6.4% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -6.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.9% Up to 20 sessions
BSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added a $4 billion Newmont settlement covering asset transfers and dispute resolution, lowered 2026 attributable capex guidance, and highlighted $90 million of safety technology investment. Management also reiterated that the North American pure-gold IPO and key growth projects remain on track.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026 guidance while reducing attributable capex guidance to $450-$500 million from $600-$700 million and setting total group capex at $3.8-$4.2 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Gold production was 3% above guidance and earnings doubled year over year.
  • The $4 billion Newmont agreement resolves joint-venture disputes and supports a planned North American pure-gold IPO.
  • Fourmile, Lumwana, and the Pueblo Viejo expansion remain on schedule and on budget, according to management.
  • Barrick highlighted a $90 million investment in safety technology, while reporting six lost-time incidents.
  • Capital allocation remains centered on growth investment, dividends, buybacks, and cost discipline.

Management priorities

  • Complete the North American pure-gold IPO by year-end.
  • Advance Fourmile drilling and permitting toward production.
  • Complete the Lumwana mill expansion and advance copper production.
  • Progress Pueblo Viejo expansion permitting and construction milestones.
  • Improve safety through technology and operational initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
B EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.35 Q1 '24 actual $0.38, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.39 Q2 '24 actual $0.37, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.39 Q3 '24 actual $0.09, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.47 Q2 '25 actual $0.47, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.57 Q3 '25 actual $0.58, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.85 Q4 '25 actual $1.04, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.74 Q1 '26 actual $0.98, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.81 Q2 '26 actual $0.82, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.96 Q4 '26 estimate $0.85 Q1 '27 estimate $1.18 Q2 '27 estimate $1.19
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish1666.7%
Neutral833.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$42.69Current
$38Low
$48.25Average
$57High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 9, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $42.69. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinBob Brackett$56.5$44.1 +32.3%Sep 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$42$41.24 -1.6%Aug 13, 2026
ScotiabankTanya Jakusconek$55$41.09 +28.8%Aug 12, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$57$41 +33.5%Aug 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$39$35.89 -8.6%Jul 15, 2026
See 33 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Barrick Mining Corporation primarily focuses on the entire lifecycle of mineral assets, from their initial discovery and subsequent development to their extraction and eventual sale. The company actively explores for a variety of commodities, including precious metals like gold and silver, industrial metals such as copper, and other materials used for energy production. Previously identified as Barrick Gold Corporation, the organization officially adopted its current name, Barrick Mining Corporation, in May 2025. The company was founded in 1983 and has its corporate headquarters situated in Toronto, Canada.

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 0.0% -6.2% Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-10T18:11:18.098019+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-15T01:23:15.305287+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T21:30:49.346858+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T21:30:49.344023+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.