Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. · APD · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026
Air Products closes FY2026 with growth, larger backlog and FY2027 plans
The call presents a constructive but execution-dependent outlook: management cited FY2026 revenue and adjusted EPS growth, a larger industrial-gas backlog and FY2027 EPS guidance. Whether pricing, productivity and new-asset ramp-ups deliver margin expansion will need to be weighed against inflation, helium-market effects and project execution risks.
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Earnings scorecard
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter's analysis, management now describes the industrial-gas backlog at $3.3 billion, versus about $3 billion previously, and highlights electronics and space demand. The current call also adds FY2027 EPS guidance of $14.15–$14.50 and a planned helium inventory-accounting change that is expected to create a modest non-cash headwind in FY2027.
Guidance delta
The analysis describes FY2027 EPS guidance of $14.15–$14.50 and capital expenditures of $3–$3.5 billion, focused on traditional industrial-gas projects. The prior quarter's analysis described raised FY2026 earnings guidance and capex of about $3.5 billion; these are different periods, not a directly comparable revision.
Key takeaways
- FY2026 revenue grew 8% and adjusted EPS was $13.45, up 12% year over year, according to the call analysis.
- The industrial-gas project backlog is reported at $3.3 billion, with electronics and space among the cited demand areas.
- Management described FY2027 EPS guidance of $14.15–$14.50 and expects margin expansion from pricing, productivity and new-asset ramp-ups.
- The analysis says FY2027 capital expenditures are expected at $3–$3.5 billion, focused on traditional industrial-gas projects.
- Helium market challenges and a change to average-cost inventory accounting remain relevant to the FY2027 outlook.
Management priorities
- Pursue pricing, productivity and portfolio optimization to improve operating margins.
- Win industrial-gas projects in electronics and space and ramp new hydrogen and helium assets.
- Prioritize traditional industrial-gas projects in FY2027 capital spending.
- Advance NEOM and other energy-transition projects while managing their financial and execution exposure.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 1, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 21, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 2, 2025 |
| Redburn Atlantic | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 22, 2024 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 1, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 6, 2024 |
| Societe Generale | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 12, 2023 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 12, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 19, 2022 |
| Atlantic Equities | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | May 25, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Dec 9, 2021 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 11, 2021 |
| HSBC | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 3, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 5, 2021 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 8, 2020 |
| KeyBanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 9, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Apr 25, 2019 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2018 |
| Baird | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 30, 2017 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Oct 31, 2014 |
| BGC Financial | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 20, 2014 |
| Monness, Crespi, Hardt | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 24, 2013 |
| Monness Crespi Hardt | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 24, 2013 |
| First Analysis | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Jul 16, 2013 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 14, 2013 |
| S&P Capital IQ | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 25, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $308.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $346 | $295.63 | +12.0% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Aleksey Yefremov | $353 | $283.87 | +14.3% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $305 | $277.57 | -1.2% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Alexandra Yates | $329 | $297.71 | +6.5% | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $320 | $291.69 | +3.6% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Vincent Andrews | $320 | $292.52 | +3.6% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bernstein | James Hooper | $373 | $293.66 | +20.8% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $300.2 | +13.3% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $358 | $301.31 | +15.9% | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $345 | $297.29 | +11.7% | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Eric Boyes | $342 | $298.92 | +10.8% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Bernstein | James Hooper | $344 | $302.18 | +11.4% | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Vincent Andrews | $310 | $301.07 | +0.4% | May 5, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $315 | $297.76 | +2.0% | May 4, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | John Roberts | $345 | $302.95 | +11.7% | May 1, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $360 | $300.05 | +16.6% | May 1, 2026 |
| Berenberg Bank | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $291.81 | +13.3% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Sison | $325 | $290.48 | +5.2% | Mar 13, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | John McNulty | $282 | $274.48 | -8.7% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $285 | $271.53 | -7.7% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bernstein | James Hooper | $315 | $272.02 | +2.0% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Sison | $270 | $272.5 | -12.6% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Sison | $250 | $243.75 | -19.0% | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $290 | $246.38 | -6.1% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $243.68 | -19.0% | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $265 | $239.96 | -14.2% | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $255 | $230.8 | -17.4% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Chris Parkinson | $315 | $241.4 | +2.0% | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $300 | $256.86 | -2.8% | Nov 7, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $272.95 | +13.3% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $335 | $272.72 | +8.5% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $324 | $277.62 | +4.9% | May 2, 2025 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $335 | $265.3 | +8.5% | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | John Roberts | $385 | $333.37 | +24.7% | Dec 2, 2024 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $375 | $278.23 | +21.4% | Nov 18, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | John McNulty | $350 | $313.8 | +13.3% | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Laurence Alexander | $364 | $285.5 | +17.9% | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Stephen Richardson | $365 | $285.5 | +18.2% | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Patrick Cunningham | $345 | $285.5 | +11.7% | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Barclays | Michael Leithead | $295 | $281.74 | -4.5% | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Vertical Research | Kevin McCarthy | $261 | $236.34 | -15.5% | May 1, 2024 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $295 | $262.64 | -4.5% | Aug 8, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $290 | $260.32 | -6.1% | Aug 5, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $243 | $227.58 | -21.3% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $286 | $238.06 | -7.4% | Jul 7, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $257 | $239.29 | -16.8% | Jun 16, 2022 |
| Vertical Research | Kevin McCarthy | $335 | $297.5 | +8.5% | Jan 4, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Josh Silverstein | $331 | $289.87 | +7.2% | Dec 9, 2021 |
| Evercore ISI | Stephen Richardson | $330 | $292.58 | +6.9% | Dec 7, 2021 |
| Berenberg Bank | Anthony Manning | $320 | $310.72 | +3.6% | Nov 10, 2021 |
| Societe Generale | Peter Clark | $334 | $291.42 | +8.2% | Jun 22, 2021 |
| Susquehanna | Sandy Klugman | $350 | $293.8 | +13.3% | Jun 11, 2021 |
| HSBC | Sriharsha Pappu | $269 | $297.38 | -12.9% | Jun 3, 2021 |
| Morgan Stanley | Vincent Andrews | $335 | $286.68 | +8.5% | May 12, 2021 |
Track every rating change on APD the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationOperating globally, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD) is a prominent supplier of industrial gases, specialized equipment, and associated services. The company's diverse product range includes atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, and argon, as well as various process gases like hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and syngas. They also provide a selection of specialty gases. APD is involved in the fabrication of crucial machinery for gas production and handling, including air separation units and non-cryogenic generators.…
Historical context
All APD earningsBasic Materials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALB Albemarle Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.0% | +3.6% | Albemarle’s Q3 gains reflect firmer lithium pricing and cost discipline |
| MT ArcelorMittal S.A. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +43.7% | -3.3% | ArcelorMittal sees stronger European shipments, with fuller TRQ benefits ahead |
| WMS Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.9% | -14.9% | Advanced Drainage Systems lowers revenue outlook as growth moderates |
| JHX James Hardie Industries plc | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +9.5% | -2.9% | James Hardie grows sales, expands margins, maintains FY2027 guidance |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- GMABFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+55.6% EPS-4.3% move
- STEFY2027 Q2 · November 4, 2026+9.7% EPS+2.5% move
- IRMFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+4.6% EPS-11.1% move
- AFRMFY2027 Q1 · November 5, 2026+23.8% EPS+1.9% move
- VRSKFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+2.1% EPS+6.9% move
- ABNBFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026+10.9% EPS-3.5% move
Missed on EPS
- VMRKFY2026 Q3 · November 4, 2026-425.6% EPS+2.4% move
- NTRAFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-49.3% EPS-15.2% move
- TIGOFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-40.8% EPS+2.6% move
- UHALFY2027 Q2 · November 4, 2026-15.4% EPS-3.2% move
- LAMRFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-3.6% EPS-0.8% move
- CMIFY2026 Q3 · November 5, 2026-6.0% EPS-4.9% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-05T17:14:10.086321+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T14:40:45.587763+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T14:40:45.585137+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.