Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. · APD · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026

Air Products closes FY2026 with growth, larger backlog and FY2027 plans

The call presents a constructive but execution-dependent outlook: management cited FY2026 revenue and adjusted EPS growth, a larger industrial-gas backlog and FY2027 EPS guidance. Whether pricing, productivity and new-asset ramp-ups deliver margin expansion will need to be weighed against inflation, helium-market effects and project execution risks.

Why did APD fall 2.9% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q4?

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Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $68.92B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.61 Consensus $3.61
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.56B Consensus $3.33B
Revenue surprise +6.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.9% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move +1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
APDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter's analysis, management now describes the industrial-gas backlog at $3.3 billion, versus about $3 billion previously, and highlights electronics and space demand. The current call also adds FY2027 EPS guidance of $14.15–$14.50 and a planned helium inventory-accounting change that is expected to create a modest non-cash headwind in FY2027.

Guidance delta

The analysis describes FY2027 EPS guidance of $14.15–$14.50 and capital expenditures of $3–$3.5 billion, focused on traditional industrial-gas projects. The prior quarter's analysis described raised FY2026 earnings guidance and capex of about $3.5 billion; these are different periods, not a directly comparable revision.

Key takeaways

  • FY2026 revenue grew 8% and adjusted EPS was $13.45, up 12% year over year, according to the call analysis.
  • The industrial-gas project backlog is reported at $3.3 billion, with electronics and space among the cited demand areas.
  • Management described FY2027 EPS guidance of $14.15–$14.50 and expects margin expansion from pricing, productivity and new-asset ramp-ups.
  • The analysis says FY2027 capital expenditures are expected at $3–$3.5 billion, focused on traditional industrial-gas projects.
  • Helium market challenges and a change to average-cost inventory accounting remain relevant to the FY2027 outlook.

Management priorities

  • Pursue pricing, productivity and portfolio optimization to improve operating margins.
  • Win industrial-gas projects in electronics and space and ramp new hydrogen and helium assets.
  • Prioritize traditional industrial-gas projects in FY2027 capital spending.
  • Advance NEOM and other energy-transition projects while managing their financial and execution exposure.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.00 Q1 '24 actual $2.82, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2.69 Q2 '24 actual $2.85, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.03 Q3 '24 actual $3.20, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3.48 Q4 '24 actual $3.56, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.99 Q3 '25 actual $3.09, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.38 Q4 '25 actual $3.39, match Q1 '26 estimate $3.04 Q1 '26 actual $3.16, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.06 Q2 '26 actual $3.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.34 Q3 '26 actual $3.47, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.61 Q4 '26 actual $3.61, match Q1 '27 estimate $3.42 Q2 '27 estimate $3.45
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2152.5%
Neutral1947.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$308.94Current
$257Low
$323.75Average
$373High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 9, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $308.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$346$295.63 +12.0%Oct 15, 2026
BarclaysAleksey Yefremov$353$283.87 +14.3%Oct 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$305$277.57 -1.3%Oct 5, 2026
Argus ResearchAlexandra Yates$329$297.71 +6.5%Sep 9, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$320$291.69 +3.6%Aug 3, 2026
See 49 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating globally, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD) is a prominent supplier of industrial gases, specialized equipment, and associated services. The company's diverse product range includes atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, and argon, as well as various process gases like hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and syngas. They also provide a selection of specialty gases. APD is involved in the fabrication of crucial machinery for gas production and handling, including air separation units and non-cryogenic generators.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-05T17:14:10.086321+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T14:40:45.587763+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T14:40:45.585137+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.