American Water Works Company, Inc. · AWK · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

AWK outlines merger path and heavier capital investment

American Water’s Q3 discussion points to a growth plan built on the Essential Utilities merger, regulatory rate-base expansion, acquisitions and rising infrastructure investment. The outlook remains constructive, but execution depends on approvals, integration and funding.

Reported After market closeNYSEUtilities $27.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.00 Consensus $2.04
EPS surprise -2.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.51B Consensus $1.58B
Revenue surprise -4.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.1% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
AWKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted stronger merger progress, a planned $4.1 billion 2027 capital program and an $825 million California desalination project. The company also cited additional acquisitions and continued rate-case progress while maintaining its FY 2026 EPS guidance.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management said stand-alone 2027 EPS guidance is $6.53-$6.63 per share and positioned the company to reach the top half of its FY 2026 EPS guidance range of $6.07-$6.12.

Key takeaways

  • The Essential Utilities merger is expected to close by Q1 2027, with multiple state approvals secured and the HSR waiting period completed.
  • Capital investment is increasing, including $2.8 billion year to date in 2026, $4.1 billion planned for 2027 and more than $20 billion through 2030.
  • Rate cases, acquisitions and new projects in PFAS remediation and desalination are central to the growth plan.

Management priorities

  • Advance the Essential Utilities merger and prepare for integration.
  • Execute the expanded capital plan, including PFAS remediation, pipe replacement and desalination.
  • Pursue acquisitions, rate cases and long-term infrastructure funding while maintaining customer affordability.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AWK REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1344.8%
Neutral1448.3%
Bearish26.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$141.25Current
$124Low
$144.43Average
$181High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 4, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 8, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $141.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$127$134.94 -10.1%Oct 19, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$153$133.04 +8.3%Oct 16, 2026
UBSGregg Orrill$162$140.33 +14.7%Sep 10, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$139$131.3 -1.6%Aug 4, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$130$131.57 -8.0%Jul 15, 2026
See 25 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

American Water Works Company, Inc. operates across the United States, delivering essential water and wastewater solutions via its various subsidiary companies. Its operations extend to around 1,700 communities situated across 14 states, catering to an active customer base of roughly 3.4 million. The firm caters to a broad spectrum of clients. These include individual households, commercial enterprises (such as food and beverage suppliers, property developers, and energy companies), and both public and private fire service customers. Industrial clients, like large-scale manufacturers, mining, and production facilities, also utilize its services. Furthermore, American Water Works supports public authorities, encompassing government facilities, schools, and universities, alongside other utility providers and community water and wastewater infrastructure.…

Historical context

All AWK earnings

Utilities peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T16:06:05.025755+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-29T01:23:20.584741+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-29T16:30:51.759536+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-29T16:30:51.756822+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.