APA Corporation · APA · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

APA maintains outlook while emphasizing cost cuts and capital discipline

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: APA has identifiable efficiency and production initiatives, but the case depends on executing cost reductions, managing leverage and liabilities, and converting development plans into cash flow.

Reported After market closeNASDAQEnergy $16.56B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.97
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.31B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.2% Event window
SPY move -1.6% Same window
Abnormal move -5.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.8% Up to 20 sessions
APASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shifts emphasis toward a maintained outlook, a smaller 2025 capital budget, the $350 million cost-reduction program, investment-grade status, and continued shareholder returns. The supplied analysis does not provide complete actual-versus-consensus results.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the supplied analysis does not identify a new guidance increase or reduction.

Key takeaways

  • Management emphasized a Permian- and Egypt-focused operating plan, with Suriname and Alaska as longer-term development areas.
  • The current analysis highlights investment-grade status, a $350 million annual cost-reduction target by 2027, and continued shareholder returns.
  • The main tension is balancing debt reduction, buybacks, dividends, commodity exposure, and field liabilities.

Management priorities

  • Execute the $350 million cost-reduction initiative.
  • Scale Egypt gas production and continue the eight-rig Permian program.
  • Advance Suriname and Alaska development while managing capital and liabilities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.90 Q1 '24 actual $0.78, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.94 Q2 '24 actual $1.17, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.01 Q3 '24 actual $1.00, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.45 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.79 Q3 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.64 Q4 '25 actual $0.91, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.11 Q1 '26 actual $1.38, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.90 Q2 '26 actual $1.89, match Q3 '26 estimate $1.46 Q4 '26 estimate $1.09 Q1 '27 estimate $1.01
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold51 ratings
Bullish2039.2%
Neutral2651.0%
Bearish59.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$46.84Previous close
$20Low
$37.56Average
$62High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 9, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 21, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $46.84. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$52$46.7 +11.0%Oct 12, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$45$45.88 -3.9%Oct 12, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$41$45.88 -12.5%Oct 11, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$44$44.87 -6.1%Sep 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$47$44.73 +0.3%Sep 14, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

APA Corporation operates in the upstream segment of the oil and natural gas industry, utilizing its various subsidiaries to explore for, develop, and produce hydrocarbon assets. The company maintains significant operational presences in the United States, Egypt, and the United Kingdom, while also conducting exploration activities offshore Suriname. Furthermore, APA Corporation manages critical gathering, processing, and transmission infrastructure within West Texas and holds ownership interests in four major pipelines connecting the Permian Basin to the Gulf Coast. Established in 1954, the company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Historical context

All APA earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-12T00:00:51.428704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T09:00:41.807848+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T09:00:41.805100+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.