APA Corporation · APA · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

APA Raises Permian Guidance as Cost Savings Support Q3

The call supports a constructive operating picture: production execution, cost savings and Egypt gas growth improved near-term support, while flexible capital allocation and commodity-price exposure remain important offsets.

Reported After market closeNASDAQEnergy $14.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.93 Consensus $0.79
EPS surprise +17.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.12B Consensus $2.06B
Revenue surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +9.1% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +10.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.6% Up to 20 sessions
APASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, management reported further cost-savings progress, raised Permian guidance, highlighted lower 2026 development capital and added detail on tax and North Sea decommissioning effects.

Guidance delta

Management raised Permian oil guidance and modestly increased Egypt gas guidance while keeping 2026 capital allocation flexible.

Key takeaways

  • Management said Q3 production exceeded guidance while capital spending and operating costs were below expectations.
  • Cost savings reached the 2025 run-rate target ahead of schedule, with further savings planned through 2026.
  • The balance sheet improved through debt reduction, while 2026 development and exploration spending remain flexible.

Management priorities

  • Maintain Permian production and execute the Egypt gas development program.
  • Advance Suriname Block 58 with lower development capital and pursue Egyptian exploration.
  • Extend cost-efficiency programs across general and administrative, lease operating and capital costs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.90 Q1 '24 actual $0.78, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.94 Q2 '24 actual $1.17, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.01 Q3 '24 actual $1.00, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.45 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.79 Q3 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.64 Q4 '25 actual $0.91, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.11 Q1 '26 actual $1.38, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.90 Q2 '26 actual $1.89, match Q3 '26 estimate $1.34 Q4 '26 estimate $1.09 Q1 '27 estimate $1.01
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold51 ratings
Bullish2039.2%
Neutral2651.0%
Bearish59.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$41.54Current
$20Low
$37.62Average
$62High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 21, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $41.54. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$44$44.87 +5.9%Sep 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$47$44.73 +13.1%Sep 14, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$62$44.84 +49.3%Sep 9, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$43$42.77 +3.5%Sep 7, 2026
Wells FargoNoah Hungness$50$44.3 +20.4%Sep 2, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

APA Corporation operates in the upstream segment of the oil and natural gas industry, utilizing its various subsidiaries to explore for, develop, and produce hydrocarbon assets. The company maintains significant operational presences in the United States, Egypt, and the United Kingdom, while also conducting exploration activities offshore Suriname. Furthermore, APA Corporation manages critical gathering, processing, and transmission infrastructure within West Texas and holds ownership interests in four major pipelines connecting the Permian Basin to the Gulf Coast. Established in 1954, the company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Historical context

All APA earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T02:16:06.275561+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T02:16:06.272571+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.