APA Corporation · APA · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

APA Q3: Higher Cash Flow, More Capital and Portfolio Shift

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional view: operating execution and Callon synergies improved cash flow, while higher capital needs, commodity exposure and North Sea liabilities temper the case.

Reported After market closeNASDAQEnergy $18.18B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.00 Consensus $1.01
EPS surprise -1.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.53B Consensus $2.26B
Revenue surprise +11.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.2% Up to 20 sessions
APASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the outlook shifted from decreasing to increasing capital spending. The current analysis adds the Egypt gas-price framework, Suriname development progress, a planned North Sea exit and an Alaska exploration restart as the main portfolio changes.

Guidance delta

Management raised the full-year capital budget and free-cash-flow outlook, while outlining a 2025 program centered on Permian and Egypt activity, Suriname development and Alaska exploration.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 performance exceeded production guidance and generated higher cash flow despite weaker oil and Waha gas prices.
  • Callon integration synergies and lower lease operating costs were presented as supports for free cash flow.
  • The Egypt gas-price framework, Suriname development and planned North Sea exit changed the portfolio outlook.
  • The next test is whether operating improvements offset higher capital needs, commodity exposure and North Sea abandonment obligations.

Management priorities

  • Maintain the Permian drilling program and expand Egypt activity.
  • Advance Suriname development while funding it from operating cash flow until production starts.
  • Resume Alaska exploration and wind down North Sea production with limited capital spending.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.90 Q1 '24 actual $0.78, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.94 Q2 '24 actual $1.17, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.01 Q3 '24 actual $1.00, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.45 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.79 Q3 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.64 Q4 '25 actual $0.91, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.11 Q1 '26 actual $1.38, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.90 Q2 '26 actual $1.89, match Q3 '26 estimate $1.57 Q4 '26 estimate $1.09 Q1 '27 estimate $1.01
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold51 ratings
Bullish2039.2%
Neutral2651.0%
Bearish59.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$51.9Current
$20Low
$38.92Average
$62High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainOct 20, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Mizuho Underperform UnderperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 14, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $51.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$58$49.76 +11.8%Oct 20, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesWilliam Janela$44$47.37 -15.2%Oct 15, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$44$47.37 -15.2%Oct 14, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$51$48.01 -1.7%Oct 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$52$46.7 +0.2%Oct 12, 2026
See 103 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

APA Corporation operates in the upstream segment of the oil and natural gas industry, utilizing its various subsidiaries to explore for, develop, and produce hydrocarbon assets. The company maintains significant operational presences in the United States, Egypt, and the United Kingdom, while also conducting exploration activities offshore Suriname. Furthermore, APA Corporation manages critical gathering, processing, and transmission infrastructure within West Texas and holds ownership interests in four major pipelines connecting the Permian Basin to the Gulf Coast. Established in 1954, the company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Historical context

All APA earnings

Energy peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
SLB Slb N.V. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.7% +7.1% SLB Q3 2026: Growth Broadens Beyond Core Oilfield
E Eni S.p.A. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +13.9% +4.3% Eni pairs upstream growth with record shareholder returns and transition progress
VLO Valero Energy Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.9% -2.4% Valero Q3: Record Profitability, Strong Cash Generation and Execution Risks

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T15:20:41.651453+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T15:20:41.648647+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.