Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. · AMG · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

AMG’s alternatives push gains traction, while equity outflows remain a counterweight

AMG’s Q1 2025 call analysis points to alternative strategies and wealth-channel expansion as the central growth engine, with affiliate investments and the Peppertree sale reshaping the platform. The case is tempered by long-only equity outflows, reliance on affiliate performance and execution demands.

What drove AMG's +3.4% move after FY2025 Q1 earnings?

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Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $10.38B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $5.10
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $497.6M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus
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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.4% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +2.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.6% Up to 20 sessions
AMGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The call analysis highlights $14 billion of net client cash inflows into alternative strategies and approximately $18 billion of AUM added by three partnership investments. Management also discussed the Peppertree sale, which it said would provide an expected 8% economic EPS accretion beginning in 2026. These developments extend the prior quarter’s emphasis on private markets, liquid alternatives and wealth-platform growth.

Guidance delta

The analysis describes guidance sentiment as maintained and reports Q2 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $210 million to $225 million, with lower performance-fee expectations noted. The supplied information does not provide a like-for-like prior Q2 guidance range for comparison.

Key takeaways

  • Alternative strategies generated a reported record $14 billion net client cash inflow in the quarter, offsetting outflows from long-only equities.
  • Northbridge, Verition and Qualitas Energy were described as adding approximately $18 billion of AUM, expanding product coverage and the affiliate platform.
  • Management tied the Peppertree sale to an expected 8% economic EPS accretion beginning in 2026; this is a forward-looking company expectation, not a reported result.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Verition, Northbridge and Qualitas Energy and realize expected earnings accretion.
  • Expand U.S. wealth distribution with three new evergreen products, two additional strategy filings, active ETFs and other alternative products.
  • Redeploy Peppertree sale proceeds toward growth investments and further share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $4.60 Q2 '24 actual $4.67, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4.82 Q3 '24 actual $4.82, match Q2 '25 estimate $5.26 Q2 '25 actual $5.39, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5.83 Q3 '25 actual $6.10, beat Q4 '25 estimate $8.75 Q4 '25 actual $9.48, beat Q1 '26 estimate $8.10 Q1 '26 actual $8.23, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7.90 Q2 '26 actual $8.29, beat Q3 '26 estimate $8.79 Q3 '26 actual $9.50, beat Q4 '26 estimate $12.04 Q1 '27 estimate $9.95 Q2 '27 estimate $9.70 Q3 '27 estimate $10.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy12 ratings
Bullish12100.0%
Neutral00.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$404.21Current
$192Low
$337Average
$425High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainNov 10, 2026
Barrington Research Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 27, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJan 6, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainFeb 10, 2025
Show 7 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $404.21. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarringtonAlexander Paris$425$366.73 +5.1%Jul 31, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$400$303.62 -1.0%May 4, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$405$291.07 +0.2%May 4, 2026
Deutsche BankBrian Bedell$408$321.91 +0.9%Feb 13, 2026
Goldman SachsAlexander Blostein$341$303.57 -15.6%Jan 6, 2026
See 14 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG) functions as an asset management firm, leveraging its network of affiliates to provide comprehensive investment management solutions. Its primary clientele in the United States includes mutual funds, institutional investors, and high-net-worth individuals. AMG additionally offers advisory and subadvisory services to mutual funds, which are distributed to retail and institutional clients through direct channels and a wide range of intermediaries. These intermediaries encompass independent financial advisors, retirement plan sponsors, broker-dealers, major fund marketplaces, and bank trust departments.…

Historical context

All AMG earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-02T22:30:12.104751+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-11T04:00:45.550276+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-11T04:00:45.547200+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.