XP Inc. · XP · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

XP reports record Q2 results as inflows and margins strengthen

The quarter provides evidence for a constructive earnings-growth case: record results, strong net new money, operating leverage, and adviser-network expansion improved the trajectory. The thesis remains dependent on sustained inflows, margin durability, and execution of the XP Bank restructuring.

Reported After market closeNASDAQFinancial Services $16.86B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.39 Consensus $0.35
EPS surprise +11.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $778.6M Consensus $736.5M
Revenue surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.2% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +5.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.1% Up to 20 sessions
XPSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis emphasizes stronger operating momentum: net new money reached BRL32bn, efficiency improved to 36.1%, and management added detail on loan-book securitization, the XP Bank restructuring, and new corporate services.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance, reaffirmed its 2026 outlook, and expects second-half revenue acceleration.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue, EBITDA, and net income reached all-time highs, supporting the margin-expansion trajectory.
  • Net new money reached BRL32bn, with retail inflows nearly doubling quarter over quarter.
  • Cost discipline improved the efficiency ratio to 36.1%.
  • XP Bank restructuring is intended to lower capital costs and increase debt-issuance capacity.

Management priorities

  • Complete the XP Bank restructuring
  • Launch Corporate Digital Account and Trade Finance services
  • Improve the credit-card offering and expand eligibility
  • Scale the adviser network and multi-channel distribution
  • Continue share buybacks and dividend returns within the capital-return plan

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
XP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $164M Q4 '23 actual $837M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $809M Q1 '24 actual $809M, match Q2 '24 estimate $736M Q2 '24 actual $779M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $832M Q2 '25 actual $807M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $876M Q3 '25 actual $847M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $866M Q4 '25 actual $902M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $926M Q1 '26 actual $910M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $935M Q2 '26 actual $942M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $979M Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy10 ratings
Bullish880.0%
Neutral220.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$32.22Current
$19Low
$26.78Average
$37High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Itau BBA Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 6, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 29, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 4, 2025
Show 5 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $32.22. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$37$30.44 +14.8%Oct 8, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$22$17.4 -31.7%Jan 19, 2026
UBSThiago Batista$25$17.58 -22.4%Dec 16, 2025
UBSThiago Batista$23$16.53 -28.6%Oct 16, 2025
UBSThiago Batista$21$18.25 -34.8%Jul 11, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

XP Inc. provides financial products and services in Brazil. The company operates XP Platform, an open product platform that provides clients to access investment products in the market comprising brokerage securities, fixed income securities, mutual, hedge, and private equity funds; derivatives and synthetic instruments; credit cards; loan operations/collateralized credit products; pension and social security funds, and life and travel insurance products; and other investment products comprising real estate funds, and equity and debt capital markets solutions, as well as wealth management services. It offers brokerage and issuer services to institutional and corporate clients.…

Historical context

All XP earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T10:50:42.807936+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T10:50:42.805203+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.