Weyerhaeuser Company · WY · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
Weyerhaeuser raises EBITDA outlook despite weak wood-products pricing
The call supports a mixed view: resilient real estate, natural climate solutions, timberland optimization, and long-term housing demand provide support, but near-term wood-products weakness and leverage limit the strength of the outlook.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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What changed
The latest quarter highlighted a wider gap between segments: real estate and natural climate solutions outperformed, while low lumber and OSB prices drove significant wood-products losses. Management also emphasized portfolio transactions, debt prepayment, and longer-term engineered-wood and carbon-capture projects.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance by $40 million, supported by real estate and natural climate solutions.
Key takeaways
- Wood products remained under pressure from historically low lumber and OSB prices.
- Real estate and natural climate solutions outperformed expectations and supported the guidance increase.
- Management is pursuing timberland portfolio optimization, engineered-wood expansion, exports, and carbon-capture development.
- Capital allocation included Q3 capital spending and debt prepayment, while leverage remained a key investor concern.
Management priorities
- Optimize the timberland portfolio through acquisitions and divestitures.
- Advance the Monticello engineered-wood facility and engineered-products growth.
- Expand export opportunities in Japan, India, and Southeast Asia.
- Progress the carbon-capture and pipeline project.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Outperform | Upgrade | Jul 10, 2026 |
| DA Davidson | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 30, 2026 |
| CIBC | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 12, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 17, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 20, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 23, 2022 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | May 3, 2021 |
| ScotiaBank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 9, 2020 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 23, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 2, 2019 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 20, 2018 |
| Dundee | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 12, 2016 |
| Vertical Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 3, 2016 |
| CLSA | Outperform | Underperform | Upgrade | Nov 13, 2015 |
| UBS | Sell | Sell | Maintain | May 4, 2015 |
| Longbow Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 20, 2013 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 24, 2013 |
| Buckingham Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 31, 2013 |
| McAdams Wright Ragen | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Oct 31, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $18.47. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | Buck Horne | $30 | $22.5 | +62.4% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| CIBC | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $25.01 | +51.6% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $29 | $25.92 | +57.0% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $24.26 | +51.6% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| New Street | Hamir Patel | $28 | $23.41 | +51.6% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $22.76 | +78.7% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Kurt Yinger | $31 | $23 | +67.8% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Matthew McKellar | $30 | $23 | +62.4% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Roxland | $27 | $23.94 | +46.2% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Roxland | $34 | $32.59 | +84.1% | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Susan Maklari | $38 | $32.45 | +105.7% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Anthony Pettinari | $36 | $31.27 | +94.9% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Matthew McKellar | $37 | $31.59 | +100.3% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| D.A. Davidson | Kurt Yinger | $36 | $31.5 | +94.9% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Roxland | $31 | $31.6 | +67.8% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Mark Wilde | $38 | $35.61 | +105.7% | Mar 22, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $34.34 | +94.9% | Feb 6, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $27.6 | +111.2% | Sep 29, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $34.62 | +143.6% | Sep 12, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $33.26 | +122.0% | Jun 23, 2022 |
| D.A. Davidson | Kurt Yinger | $30 | $39.9 | +62.4% | Apr 18, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Paul Quinn | $45 | $39.9 | +143.6% | Apr 14, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationEstablished in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. The company oversees or owns approximately 11 million acres of forested land in the United States, complemented by additional timberlands in Canada managed under long-term licenses. These extensive holdings are cultivated responsibly, in full compliance with internationally accepted sustainable forestry criteria. Beyond its land stewardship, Weyerhaeuser is also a leading producer of wood-based goods throughout North America. Operating as a real estate investment trust (REIT), the firm achieved net sales of $7.5 billion in 2020. Its approximately 9,400 employees cater to a worldwide customer base, and Weyerhaeuser's commitment to environmental, social, and governance principles is acknowledged by its inclusion in the Dow Jones Sustainability North America Index. The company's common stock is available for trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WY.
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T03:00:42.421768+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T03:00:42.418604+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.