Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company · WTW · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

WTW Maintains Growth Outlook Despite Tariff and Market Risks

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of WTW's operating trajectory: resilient recurring revenue, specialty-line growth, technology investments, and disciplined expansion underpin the outlook, but tariff exposure, market volatility, cash-flow timing, and execution on M&A remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $27.72B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $3.23
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.29B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.7% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move -7.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.3% Up to 20 sessions
WTWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of continued organic growth and margin expansion, while management highlighted Tariff Guard, the Global Commercial Credit acquisition, broader Neuron adoption, and ongoing geographic and technology expansion. Free cash flow was a near-term headwind because of TRANZACT-related timing, although management expected a full-year tailwind.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook for mid-single-digit organic growth, continued margin expansion, and full-year free-cash-flow improvement.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q1 organic growth and margin expansion as meeting internal targets.
  • Health, Wealth & Career remained resilient, while Risk & Broking benefited from specialty lines and the specialization strategy.
  • Technology platforms, strategic M&A, and geographic expansion remain central to the growth plan.
  • Free cash flow was negative in the quarter because of transaction timing, with improvement expected over the full year.

Management priorities

  • Scale Neuron digital trading and expand WeDo automation and AI tools
  • Advance the reinsurance joint venture and pursue specialty-broker acquisitions
  • Expand recurring benefits-related revenue and the specialization strategy geographically

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WTW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.25 Q1 '24 actual $3.29, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.34 Q2 '24 actual $2.55, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.72 Q3 '24 actual $2.93, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.63 Q2 '25 actual $2.86, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.05 Q3 '25 actual $3.07, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7.96 Q4 '25 actual $8.12, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.66 Q1 '26 actual $3.72, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.11 Q2 '26 actual $3.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.59 Q4 '26 estimate $9.15 Q1 '27 estimate $4.15
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish1862.1%
Neutral1034.5%
Bearish13.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$298.43Previous close
$247Low
$341.75Average
$405High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 7, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 6, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $298.43. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$364$296.26 +22.0%Oct 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$349$291.98 +16.9%Oct 7, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$332$291.98 +11.2%Oct 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$310$290.98 +3.9%Oct 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$380$321.97 +27.3%Sep 16, 2026
See 60 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (WTW) functions as a global provider of comprehensive consulting, brokerage, and solutions services. Its operations are structured across two primary divisions: Health, Wealth and Career, and Risk and Broking. Within the Health, Wealth and Career segment, WTW furnishes actuarial guidance, plan development, and administrative assistance for conventional pension and retirement savings schemes. It also delivers consulting, brokerage, and management services for health and group employee benefit programs, along with outsourced benefits administration. Furthermore, the company offers strategic counsel, analytical data, specialized software, and various products designed to help clients effectively manage their overall compensation and human capital challenges. The Risk and Broking division extends expertise in risk management, insurance placement, and advisory services, covering sectors such as property and casualty, aerospace, construction, and marine.…

Historical context

All WTW earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T05:40:43.043862+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T05:40:43.041050+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.