Wintrust Financial Corporation · WTFC · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Wintrust maintains growth plan as margins and credit quality hold

Wintrust's record profitability, stable margins, solid credit quality and Midwest loan and deposit growth support its growth plan, but the outlook depends on mortgage activity, expense discipline, rate conditions and CRE performance.

Reported After market closeNASDAQFinancial Services $10.10B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.15 Consensus $2.93
EPS surprise +7.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $714.3M Consensus $701.9M
Revenue surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.7% Event window
SPY move +1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.3% Up to 20 sessions
WTFCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds a 2025 record net income figure, a $200 million authorized buyback plan, and continued 2026 growth and margin priorities; management also highlighted technology, talent and selective expansion.

Guidance delta

Maintained: 2026 mid- to high-single-digit loan growth and continued net interest margin stability.

Key takeaways

  • 2025 record profitability was supported by loan and deposit growth across the Midwest footprint.
  • Net interest margin remained around 3.5%, while credit quality stayed strong and CRE non-performing loans remained low.
  • Management continues to emphasize organic expansion, technology and talent investment, and selective small acquisitions.

Management priorities

  • Support growth with investment in tools, technology and people
  • Expand into additional Midwest MSAs and open new branches
  • Grow wealth management and fee-based services while maintaining disciplined capital allocation

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WTFC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.49 Q4 '23 actual $1.87, miss Q1 '24 estimate $2.42 Q1 '24 actual $2.89, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.42 Q2 '24 actual $2.32, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.51 Q3 '24 actual $2.47, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.60 Q2 '25 actual $2.78, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.63 Q3 '25 actual $3.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.93 Q4 '25 actual $3.15, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.96 Q1 '26 actual $3.22, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.14 Q2 '26 actual $3.30, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.31 Q3 '26 actual $3.37, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.43 Q1 '27 estimate $3.39 Q2 '27 estimate $3.45 Q3 '27 estimate $3.62
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy22 ratings
Bullish1568.2%
Neutral731.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$150.77Current
$120Low
$164.67Average
$195High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2026
Show 17 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $150.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$165$147.56 +9.4%Oct 21, 2026
D.A. DavidsonJeff Rulis$180$146.15 +19.4%Oct 20, 2026
Deutsche BankBernard Von Gizycki$175$144.2 +16.1%Oct 12, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$195$145.02 +29.3%Oct 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$190$145.02 +26.0%Oct 5, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) functions as a diversified financial holding company, structuring its operations across three primary business segments: Community Banking, Specialty Finance, and Wealth Management. The Community Banking segment offers a comprehensive array of financial products and services. This includes various deposit accounts, such as non-interest-bearing, interest-bearing transaction, savings, and domestic time deposits. On the lending side, it provides home equity loans, consumer loans, and real estate financing. Customers also have access to essential banking services like safe deposit facilities, ATMs, online banking, and mobile banking. Beyond standard offerings, this segment is actively involved in originating and acquiring residential mortgages for sale in the secondary market. It extends specialized lending, deposit, and treasury management solutions to condominium, homeowner, and community associations, alongside offering asset-based financing for middle-market enterprises.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T01:10:43.635301+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T01:10:43.632593+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.