Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · WSM · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Williams-Sonoma: Demand Resilient, Tariffs Remain the Test

The supplied analysis offers partial support for the hypothesis that resilient demand can support Williams-Sonoma over the next year: Q1 comparable-sales growth, market-share gains, and strength in emerging brands are positive evidence. The case remains conditional because tariffs, margin pressure, housing weakness, and inventory execution are material counterweights.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $28.31B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.76
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.67B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.5% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.6% Up to 20 sessions
WSMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the current quarter added evidence of resilient demand and market-share gains, while the operating outlook shifted from increasing to decreasing capex outlook and the tariff response became more operationally focused. Management continued to emphasize AI, B2B, collaborations, and emerging brands, but tariff costs, pricing, and inventory pull-forward became more prominent risks.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed FY25 guidance; no change was reported versus the prior analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported Q1 comparable-sales growth of 3.4% and said the company gained market share while the industry declined.
  • The current analysis highlights a 16.8% operating margin, EPS of $1.85, and reaffirmed FY25 guidance.
  • Management described a six-point tariff-mitigation plan and a strategic $60–70 million inventory pull-forward.
  • Emerging brands delivered double-digit comparable-sales growth, while AI-enabled design tools, B2B, and collaborations remain growth initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Execute the six-point tariff-mitigation plan and increase Made-in-USA assortment and domestic sourcing.
  • Expand AI-driven design tools, personalized digital experiences, and e-commerce capabilities.
  • Build B2B, emerging brands, strategic collaborations, and international brand distribution.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WSM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1.67 Q3 '24 actual $1.83, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.53 Q4 '24 actual $2.72, beat Q1 '25 estimate $2.74 Q1 '25 actual $2.04, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.60 Q2 '25 actual $1.74, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.81 Q2 '26 actual $2.00, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.88 Q3 '26 actual $1.96, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.90 Q4 '26 actual $3.04, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.81 Q1 '27 actual $1.93, beat Q2 '27 estimate $2.08 Q2 '27 actual $2.10, beat Q3 '27 estimate $2.14 Q4 '27 estimate $3.31
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold56 ratings
Bullish1832.2%
Neutral3257.1%
Bearish610.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$240.46Previous close
$54.5Low
$171.21Average
$275High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 9, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 2, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 27, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Show 51 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $240.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$250$224.15 +4.0%Sep 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$240$241.45 -0.2%Aug 27, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$245$237.43 +1.9%Aug 27, 2026
UBSMichael Lasser$247$237.43 +2.7%Aug 27, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$270$237.43 +12.3%Aug 27, 2026
See 79 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) functions as a specialized, multi-channel retailer offering a diverse array of products for the home. Its flagship Williams Sonoma brand is renowned for cooking, dining, and entertaining essentials, such as cookware, culinary tools, small appliances, flatware, dinnerware, barware, outdoor furnishings, and an extensive collection of cookbooks. This brand also provides home furnishings and decorative accents. The popular Pottery Barn brand features furniture, bedding, lighting, rugs, table linens, and decorative items. Targeting younger demographics, Pottery Barn Kids offers children's accessories, while Pottery Barn Teen caters to adolescents with products ranging from organic bedding to versatile, multi-purpose furniture. Furthermore, West Elm contributes a selection of stylish home decor to the company's portfolio.…

Historical context

All WSM earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-20T11:57:38.391233+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T11:00:44.598482+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T11:00:44.595660+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.