Walmart Inc. · WMT · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Walmart Q1 FY27: Sales Beat on eCommerce Strength, but Stock Sold Off 7%

Walmart delivered a solid Q1 FY27 with constant-currency sales growth of roughly 6% that beat the top end of guidance, powered by 26% eCommerce growth, ~50% U.S. marketplace growth, and a 37% increase in advertising revenue. High-margin businesses -- advertising, membership, and fulfillment services -- now account for about a third of operating income, and AI-driven initiatives like the Sparky shopping agent are measurably lifting basket sizes. Despite these positives, the market reacted sharply, sending shares down 7.3% on heavy volume with a further 3.4% drift, suggesting investors are focused on margin sustainability amid fuel cost headwinds, tariff refund uncertainty, and the ability to expand incremental margins. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance and signaled increasing capital investment, maintaining a confident tone. The sharp divergence between the operational beat and…

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Defensive $889.24B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Walmart Inc., established in 1945 and based in Bentonville, Arkansas, operates as a global retail powerhouse, having officially adopted its current name in February 2018, formerly Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. The company's diverse operations, encompassing retail, wholesale, and e-commerce, are managed across three primary divisions: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. Its extensive physical presence includes a variety of store formats such as supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, membership-only warehouse clubs (like Sam's Club), cash-and-carry outlets, and discount stores, primarily operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market banners. Digitally, the company engages customers through numerous e-commerce platforms, including walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, and PhonePe, as well as via dedicated mobile applications. Walmart offers an exceptionally broad range of products and services.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.66 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $177.75B Consensus $174.84B
Revenue surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WMT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.51 Q3 '24 actual $0.51, match Q4 '24 estimate $0.55 Q4 '24 actual $0.60, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.52 Q1 '25 actual $0.60, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.65 Q2 '25 actual $0.67, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.73 Q2 '26 actual $0.68, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.60 Q3 '26 actual $0.62, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.73 Q4 '26 actual $0.74, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.66 Q1 '27 actual $0.66, match Q2 '27 estimate $0.74 Q3 '27 estimate $0.68 Q4 '27 estimate $0.81 Q1 '28 estimate $0.74

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy65 ratings
Bullish4772.3%
Neutral1523.1%
Bearish34.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$113.26Current
$44.29Low
$107.14Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Aug 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJun 8, 2026
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainMay 29, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMay 22, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 22, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold SellUpgradeMay 21, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 15, 2026
Show 57 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $113.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$142$111.1 +25.4%Jul 31, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesDavid Bellinger$130$109.47 +14.8%Jul 27, 2026
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$155$115.19 +36.9%May 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$141$119.49 +24.5%May 22, 2026
RBC CapitalSteven Shemesh$137$121.34 +21.0%May 22, 2026
Truist FinancialScot Ciccarelli$140$121.34 +23.6%May 21, 2026
Piper SandlerPeter Keith$137$132.46 +21.0%May 15, 2026
BernsteinZhihan Ma$145$127.59 +28.0%May 12, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$137$127.2 +21.0%May 11, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$145$130.79 +28.0%May 6, 2026
See 202 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.3% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -7.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.4% Up to 20 sessions
WMTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue of $177.75B beat the $174.84B consensus by 1.66%, and EPS of $0.66 was essentially in line with the $0.659 estimate. Constant-currency sales growth of ~6% surpassed the top end of guidance. eCommerce grew 26% and U.S. marketplace sales rose ~50%. Advertising revenue increased 37% globally, representing roughly one-third of operating income alongside membership fees. Sparky weekly active users more than doubled quarter-over-quarter with a 40% AI capability boost, generating 35% higher average order values. Walmart completed its 1 millionth drone delivery, with 40% occurring in Q1 alone. 30-minute delivery now reaches roughly 60% of the U.S. population. Management deployed approximately 7,200 rollbacks to offset fuel price headwinds. Capex outlook shifted from stable to increasing, reflecting continued investment in automation and fulfillment. Compared to the prior quarter, eCommerce growth accelerated from 24% to 26%, Sparky adoption continued scaling, and the cross-border marketplace launched in Canada and Mexico.

Guidance delta

Full-year FY27 guidance was reaffirmed: 3.5-4.5% sales growth and 6-8% operating income growth. Q2 operating income is expected to grow 7-10%. Capex outlook shifted from stable in the prior quarter to increasing, reflecting continued investment in automation and fulfillment infrastructure. Guidance sentiment was maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Constant-currency sales grew ~6%, beating the top end of guidance, with eCommerce up 26% and U.S. marketplace sales up ~50%.
  • Advertising revenue rose 37% globally and now represents about one-third of operating income alongside membership fees.
  • Sparky weekly active users more than doubled, driving 35% higher average order values and deeper customer engagement.
  • Full-year guidance reaffirmed at 3.5-4.5% sales growth and 6-8% operating income growth; Q2 operating income expected to grow 7-10%.
  • The stock fell 7.3% on the report with volume 3.2x baseline, followed by a further 3.4% drift, despite the top-line beat.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI capabilities and further integrate Sparky across app, web, and in-store experiences.
  • Accelerate rollout of 30-minute and under-1-hour delivery to additional U.S. markets.
  • Expand Marketplace cross-border presence and increase seller assortment.
  • Continue automation retrofits of regional distribution centers and fulfillment centers.
  • Enhance membership value proposition with new benefits such as Dynamic Express Delivery.

Related earnings events

Consumer Defensive

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-21T17:22:22.696747+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T06:01:05.429332+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T06:01:05.426421+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.