Walmart Inc. · WMT · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Walmart raises FY25 outlook as e-commerce and membership accelerate

The quarter supports the view that resilient demand and earnings growth can extend Walmart's trajectory, but the next test is whether e-commerce, marketplace, membership and advertising growth can scale without undue margin pressure.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Defensive $954.09B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.67 Consensus $0.65
EPS surprise +3.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $169.34B Consensus $168.56B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.6% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move +4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.1% Up to 20 sessions
WMTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management moved from maintained guidance in the prior quarter to raised full-year guidance. The latest analysis also highlights faster e-commerce and marketplace growth, greater fulfillment automation, and expanded use of generative AI.

Guidance delta

Raised full-year FY25 sales and operating-income guidance after sales and profit exceeded expectations.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 sales and operating income exceeded guidance, supporting a higher full-year outlook.
  • Global e-commerce grew about 21%; marketplace sales rose 32%, while fulfillment automation expanded.
  • Membership and advertising contributed over half of operating-income growth, alongside continued AI investment.

Management priorities

  • Expand e-commerce, marketplace and delivery capabilities.
  • Scale generative AI across catalog, search, shopping and seller tools.
  • Increase fulfillment and distribution automation while expanding international operations.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WMT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $0.55 Q4 '24 actual $0.60, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.52 Q1 '25 actual $0.60, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.65 Q2 '25 actual $0.67, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.73 Q2 '26 actual $0.68, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.60 Q3 '26 actual $0.62, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.73 Q4 '26 actual $0.74, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.66 Q1 '27 actual $0.66, match Q2 '27 estimate $0.74 Q2 '27 actual $0.81, beat Q3 '27 estimate $0.64 Q4 '27 estimate $0.78
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy65 ratings
Bullish4670.8%
Neutral1624.6%
Bearish34.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$119.89Current
$44.29Low
$107.75Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 20, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeOct 15, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 29, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 60 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $119.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankKrisztina Katai$136$116.16 +13.4%Oct 15, 2026
JefferiesCorey Tarlowe$120$103.7 +0.1%Aug 21, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$113$102.79 -5.7%Aug 21, 2026
Raymond JamesBobby Griffin$130$102.71 +8.4%Aug 21, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$125$102.64 +4.3%Aug 21, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Walmart Inc., established in 1945 and based in Bentonville, Arkansas, operates as a global retail powerhouse, having officially adopted its current name in February 2018, formerly Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. The company's diverse operations, encompassing retail, wholesale, and e-commerce, are managed across three primary divisions: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. Its extensive physical presence includes a variety of store formats such as supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, membership-only warehouse clubs (like Sam's Club), cash-and-carry outlets, and discount stores, primarily operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market banners. Digitally, the company engages customers through numerous e-commerce platforms, including walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, and PhonePe, as well as via dedicated mobile applications. Walmart offers an exceptionally broad range of products and services.…

Historical context

All WMT earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T05:10:41.805816+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T05:10:41.802980+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.