Wells Fargo & Company · WFC-PD · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Wells Fargo pairs growth initiatives with modestly higher 2026 NII outlook

The call supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: management sees continued loan, deposit, fee and wealth-management growth, with efficiency initiatives and the asset-cap removal providing support. The main counterweights are rate-sensitive NII, credit costs, regulation and the execution required to reach the ROTCE target.

Reported Session unavailableNYSEFinancial Services $209.63B market cap
75quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.62 Consensus $1.66
EPS surprise -2.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $21.29B Consensus $21.65B
Revenue surprise -1.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

unavailable
Stock move — Event window
SPY move — Same window
Abnormal move — Stock minus SPY
Volume — Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift — Up to 20 sessions
Price and volume data were unavailable at publication time.

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What changed

The asset cap was removed, management introduced the Overland Advantage direct-lending partnership, and 2026 NII guidance was described as modestly higher. Management also emphasized lower 2026 share repurchases, continued expense reductions and a 10–10.5% CET1 target.

Guidance delta

Management described 2026 NII guidance as modestly higher at approximately $50 billion, while noting that rate cuts remain a headwind.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted strong fourth-quarter and full-year profitability.
  • Credit-card accounts and auto-loan balances grew year over year, supporting interest and fee income.
  • The Federal Reserve asset-cap removal enables further balance-sheet expansion.
  • Management is targeting $2.4 billion of expense reductions in 2026.
  • The 17–18% ROTCE target remains a central objective.

Management priorities

  • Continue digital enhancements and branch refurbishments.
  • Expand markets financing while monitoring capital impact.
  • Grow wealth-management and investment-advisory assets.
  • Execute efficiency initiatives targeting $2.4 billion of expense reductions in 2026.
  • Maintain CET1 ratios at 10–10.5% and evaluate opportunistic M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WFC-PD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $1.28, None Q2 '24 actual $1.41, None Q2 '25 estimate $1.41 Q2 '25 actual $1.68, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.55 Q3 '25 actual $1.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.66 Q4 '25 actual $1.62, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.58 Q1 '26 actual $1.60, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.72 Q2 '26 actual $2.00, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.85 Q3 '26 actual $1.87, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.88 Q1 '27 estimate $1.76 Q2 '27 estimate $2.05 Q3 '27 estimate $2.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold41 ratings
Bullish2048.8%
Neutral1843.9%
Bearish37.3%

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 15, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2023
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2023
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2023
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 16, 2023
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2023
Odeon Capital Hold BuyDowngradeJul 16, 2023
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2023
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 10, 2023
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 6, 2023
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 26, 2023
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJun 13, 2023
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 16, 2023
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 13, 2023
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 11, 2023
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 4, 2023
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 16, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2022
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJan 17, 2022
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 3, 2021
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 18, 2021
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 18, 2021
Compass Point Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 12, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainApr 6, 2020
CFRA Hold SellUpgradeMar 3, 2020
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2019
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeOct 14, 2018
Bernstein Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 2, 2018
Berenberg Sell HoldDowngradeJul 20, 2017
Guggenheim Neutral SellUpgradeApr 24, 2017
Rafferty Capital Sell HoldDowngradeApr 11, 2017
Susquehanna Neutral PositiveDowngradeNov 30, 2016
FBR Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 18, 2016
Keefe, Bruyette& Woods Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 16, 2016
Societe Generale Sell HoldDowngradeMar 8, 2015
Miller Tabak Buy HoldUpgradeMar 8, 2015
S&P Capital IQ Hold BuyDowngradeJan 13, 2014
Sterne Agee Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 13, 2013
Stifel Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 10, 2013
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 13, 2013
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainJul 12, 2012
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wells Fargo & Company, a diversified financial services company, provides banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending segment offers diversified financial products and services for consumers and small businesses. Its financial products and services include checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. The Commercial Banking segment provides financial solutions to private, family owned, and certain public companies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-15. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.