State Street Corporation · STT · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

State Street raises growth outlook as fee revenue reaches a record

The Q3 evidence supports a constructive operating trajectory: record fee and servicing revenue, historic asset levels, raised growth guidance and early traction in strategic businesses. The case still depends on execution, regulatory approvals and delivery of the fourth-quarter NII outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $45.85B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.69 Consensus $3.68
EPS surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.00B Consensus $4.03B
Revenue surprise -0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.1% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.3% Up to 20 sessions
STTSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with Q2, management raised full-year fee-revenue and NII growth guidance, reported record $59 trillion of assets under custody, and announced the planned acquisition of Santander CACEIS's Latin American securities-services business. Digital-asset plans advanced toward a year-end tokenized fund-servicing launch.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year fee-revenue growth guidance to 13–14% and NII growth guidance to 15–16%, versus 12–13% and 14–15% previously.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 EPS rose 33% year over year, while fee revenue reached a record.
  • Assets under custody reached $59 trillion and AUM reached $6.3 trillion, both historic highs for the firm.
  • Alternatives, digital assets and wealth services showed early traction, alongside a planned Santander CACEIS Latin America acquisition.

Management priorities

  • Deliver double-digit growth across servicing, management and FX fees.
  • Launch tokenized fund servicing by year-end and expand on-chain liquidity solutions.
  • Advance AI and technology transformation, wealth services and the Latin America acquisition.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
STT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.03 Q2 '24 actual $2.15, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.12 Q3 '24 actual $2.26, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.35 Q2 '25 actual $2.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.64 Q3 '25 actual $2.78, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.84 Q4 '25 actual $2.97, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.64 Q1 '26 actual $2.84, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.34 Q2 '26 actual $3.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.68 Q3 '26 actual $3.69, match Q4 '26 estimate $3.60 Q1 '27 estimate $3.35 Q2 '27 estimate $3.94 Q3 '27 estimate $4.09
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold38 ratings
Bullish1950.0%
Neutral1539.5%
Bearish410.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$166Current
$70Low
$139.16Average
$200High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 15, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 6, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 2, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 33 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $166. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Capital One FinancialAnalyst unavailable$200$175.99 +20.5%Oct 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$190$176.37 +14.5%Oct 6, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$200$183.98 +20.5%Jul 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$191$183.22 +15.1%Jul 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyManan Gosalia$195$185.66 +17.5%Jul 17, 2026
See 67 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

State Street Corporation (STT) is a well-established global financial services firm that delivers a wide array of financial products and specialized services to institutional investors worldwide. The company's extensive offerings include core investment servicing functionalities such as secure asset custody, detailed product accounting, daily valuation, comprehensive administration, master trust and master custody arrangements, and specific depotbank services. It also manages record-keeping, cash, foreign exchange, brokerage, and various trading activities. Further services in this area encompass securities finance, advanced custody solutions, deposit and short-term investment facilities, as well as loan and lease financing. State Street additionally provides operational outsourcing for both traditional and alternative investment managers, complemented by sophisticated analytics for performance, risk, and compliance, along with financial data management.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-15T14:04:48.830902+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-15T01:23:12.167262+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-15T14:30:43.297402+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-15T14:30:43.294794+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-15. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.