Wells Fargo & Company · WFC-PD · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Wells Fargo pairs growth initiatives with modestly higher 2026 NII outlook

The call supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: management sees continued loan, deposit, fee and wealth-management growth, with efficiency initiatives and the asset-cap removal providing support. The main counterweights are rate-sensitive NII, credit costs, regulation and the execution required to reach the ROTCE target.

Reported Session unavailableNYSEFinancial Services $209.63B market cap
75quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.62 Consensus $1.66
EPS surprise -2.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $21.29B Consensus $21.65B
Revenue surprise -1.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

unavailable
Stock move — Event window
SPY move — Same window
Abnormal move — Stock minus SPY
Volume — Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift — Up to 20 sessions
Price and volume data were unavailable at publication time.

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The asset cap was removed, management introduced the Overland Advantage direct-lending partnership, and 2026 NII guidance was described as modestly higher. Management also emphasized lower 2026 share repurchases, continued expense reductions and a 10–10.5% CET1 target.

Guidance delta

Management described 2026 NII guidance as modestly higher at approximately $50 billion, while noting that rate cuts remain a headwind.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted strong fourth-quarter and full-year profitability.
  • Credit-card accounts and auto-loan balances grew year over year, supporting interest and fee income.
  • The Federal Reserve asset-cap removal enables further balance-sheet expansion.
  • Management is targeting $2.4 billion of expense reductions in 2026.
  • The 17–18% ROTCE target remains a central objective.

Management priorities

  • Continue digital enhancements and branch refurbishments.
  • Expand markets financing while monitoring capital impact.
  • Grow wealth-management and investment-advisory assets.
  • Execute efficiency initiatives targeting $2.4 billion of expense reductions in 2026.
  • Maintain CET1 ratios at 10–10.5% and evaluate opportunistic M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WFC-PD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $1.28, None Q2 '24 actual $1.41, None Q2 '25 estimate $1.41 Q2 '25 actual $1.68, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.55 Q3 '25 actual $1.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.66 Q4 '25 actual $1.62, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.58 Q1 '26 actual $1.60, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.72 Q2 '26 actual $2.00, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.85 Q3 '26 actual $1.87, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.88 Q1 '27 estimate $1.76 Q2 '27 estimate $2.05 Q3 '27 estimate $2.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold41 ratings
Bullish2048.8%
Neutral1843.9%
Bearish37.3%

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 15, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2023
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2023
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2023
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 16, 2023
Show 36 more rating actions

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wells Fargo & Company, a diversified financial services company, provides banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending segment offers diversified financial products and services for consumers and small businesses. Its financial products and services include checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. The Commercial Banking segment provides financial solutions to private, family owned, and certain public companies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-15. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.