Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated · VRTX · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Vertex lifts 2026 outlook as CF franchise and newer products support growth

The Q3 analysis points to a broadening growth profile beyond cystic fibrosis, while near-term execution depends on renal regulatory progress, launch adoption and Crinetics integration.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $140.20B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.76 Consensus $4.82
EPS surprise -1.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.44B Consensus $3.42B
Revenue surprise +0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -1.0% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
VRTXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The analysis describes year-over-year revenue growth led by the CF franchise, newer launches and the addition of PALSONIFY following the completed Crinetics acquisition. Management raised its 2026 revenue outlook and indicated higher operating expenses, including integration costs and continued commercial investment.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2026 revenue guidance to $13.15–$13.25 billion, from the prior quarter's $13.1–$13.2 billion range. Higher operating expenses are expected alongside integration and commercial investment.

Key takeaways

  • Growth drivers are broadening beyond CF, with CASGEVY, JOURNAVX and PALSONIFY contributing to the portfolio.
  • ALYFTREK growth and expansion into younger patient groups are among the commercial priorities highlighted in the analysis.
  • Povitacept and other renal programs remain important prospective growth drivers, with regulatory and clinical milestones ahead.

Management priorities

  • Advance povitacept toward regulatory review and potential launch, including the planned Saudi filing.
  • Expand commercial reach for ALYFTREK, CASGEVY, JOURNAVX and PALSONIFY.
  • Progress late-stage pipeline programs and scale development of VX-1017.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VRTX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.83 Q4 '23 actual $3.92, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4.06 Q1 '24 actual $4.76, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-11.63 Q2 '24 actual $-12.83, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4.14 Q3 '24 actual $4.38, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.29 Q2 '25 actual $4.52, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.57 Q3 '25 actual $4.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.11 Q4 '25 actual $5.03, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4.24 Q1 '26 actual $4.47, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.74 Q2 '26 actual $4.73, match Q3 '26 estimate $4.82 Q3 '26 actual $4.76, miss Q4 '26 estimate $4.91 Q1 '27 estimate $4.68
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy56 ratings
Bullish4885.7%
Neutral712.5%
Bearish11.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$553.15Previous close
$175Low
$476.98Average
$665High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 8, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Show 51 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $553.15. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$576$502.62 +4.1%Oct 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$615$528.04 +11.2%Sep 28, 2026
JefferiesAkash Tewari$640$514.99 +15.7%Sep 23, 2026
H.C. WainwrightAndrew Fein$641$519.67 +15.9%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyTerence Flynn$665$547.65 +20.2%Sep 1, 2026
See 105 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated is a leading biotechnology firm primarily focused on the discovery, advancement, and marketing of innovative treatments, particularly for cystic fibrosis (CF). The company offers a range of approved medications for CF patients, including SYMDEKO/SYMKEVI, ORKAMBI, and KALYDECO, which target specific mutations within the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator gene. Additionally, they provide TRIKAFTA for individuals with CF aged six years and older who possess at least one F508del mutation. Beyond its established CF therapies, Vertex maintains a robust and diverse clinical pipeline.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-03T04:04:48.928981+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-03T01:23:13.143323+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T07:50:47.281144+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T07:50:47.278453+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.