Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated · VRTX · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Vertex Q1: Revenue Up 8%, Renal Pipeline Advances, Guidance Reaffirmed

Vertex is executing a deliberate shift from a single-franchise CF company to a multi-pillar biotech. Q1 2026 revenue of $2.99 billion (up 8% YoY) was driven by both the core CF franchise and new non-CF launches KASJEVY and GERNAVICS, which together contributed roughly a quarter of growth. The interim Phase III IgAN data for Povi — 52% proteinuria reduction with a strong safety profile — and the record 27-day BLA submission position the renal franchise as Vertex's emerging fourth commercial pillar. Label expansions for AlifTrack and TRIKAFTA now cover approximately 95% of the CF population, extending the durability of the core franchise. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance of $12.95–$13.10 billion, signaling confidence in the trajectory despite the VX-522 mRNA CF program discontinuation. The stock traded with a -2.1% abnormal return in the reaction window on 1.8x baseline volume…

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $121.57B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.47 Consensus $4.24
EPS surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.99B Consensus $2.99B
Revenue surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.3% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.9% Up to 20 sessions
VRTXSPY benchmark

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What changed

Q1 2026 revenue rose 8% year-over-year to $2.99 billion, essentially in line with consensus. EPS of $4.47 beat estimates of $4.24 by 5.4%. New launches KASJEVY and GERNAVICS together accounted for approximately 25% of quarterly growth. Povi's interim Phase III data in IgA nephropathy demonstrated a 52% reduction in proteinuria with a strong safety profile, and Vertex submitted a BLA for the indication in 27 days — the fastest submission in company history. KASJEVY secured its first reimbursement agreement in Germany. The VX-522 mRNA CF program was discontinued due to lung inflammation caused by the lipid nanoparticle delivery system. Label expansions for AlifTrack and TRIKAFTA now cover roughly 95% of CF genotypes, adding approximately 800 newly eligible U.S. patients.

Guidance delta

Full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $12.95–$13.10 billion (8–9% growth) was reaffirmed, as was the expectation for non-CF revenue exceeding $500 million and non-GAAP operating expenses of $5.65–$5.75 billion. Guidance sentiment was maintained with no upward or downward revision.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue of $2.99B rose 8% YoY, with new launches KASJEVY and GERNAVICS driving roughly 25% of growth
  • Povi interim Phase III IgAN data showed 52% proteinuria reduction with strong safety, supporting near-term launch
  • CF label expansions for AlifTrack and TRIKAFTA now cover ~95% of eligible patients, adding ~800 newly eligible U.S. patients
  • BLA for Povi in IgAN submitted in 27 days, the fastest in Vertex history
  • VX-522 mRNA CF program discontinued due to delivery-related lung inflammation
  • KASJEVY secured its first reimbursement agreement in Germany

Management priorities

  • Submit AlifTrack for approval in 2–5-year-old patients and TRIKAFTA for 1–2-year-old patients
  • Complete Phase III interim analysis presentation for Povi IgAN and prepare for product launch pending approval
  • Advance Povi Phase III in primary membranous nephropathy and Phase II in myasthenia gravis
  • Deliver Phase III results for enaxaplin AMPLITUDE in early 2027 and analyze AMPLIFIED data later this year
  • Resume dosing in the zamylosel trial after manufacturing analysis and provide updated timelines
  • Continue development of next-gen CFTR programs (VX-828, VX-581, VX-2272) through Phase I/II studies in H2 2026

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VRTX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $4.06 Q1 '24 actual $4.76, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-11.63 Q2 '24 actual $-12.83, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4.14 Q3 '24 actual $4.38, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.29 Q2 '25 actual $4.52, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.57 Q3 '25 actual $4.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.11 Q4 '25 actual $5.03, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4.24 Q1 '26 actual $4.47, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.74 Q2 '26 actual $4.73, match Q3 '26 estimate $4.80 Q4 '26 estimate $4.91 Q1 '27 estimate $4.68
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy56 ratings
Bullish4885.7%
Neutral712.5%
Bearish11.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$515.3Current
$175Low
$476.98Average
$665High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 8, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Show 51 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $515.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$576$502.62 +11.8%Oct 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$615$528.04 +19.3%Sep 28, 2026
JefferiesAkash Tewari$640$514.99 +24.2%Sep 23, 2026
H.C. WainwrightAndrew Fein$641$519.67 +24.4%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyTerence Flynn$665$547.65 +29.1%Sep 1, 2026
See 105 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated is a leading biotechnology firm primarily focused on the discovery, advancement, and marketing of innovative treatments, particularly for cystic fibrosis (CF). The company offers a range of approved medications for CF patients, including SYMDEKO/SYMKEVI, ORKAMBI, and KALYDECO, which target specific mutations within the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator gene. Additionally, they provide TRIKAFTA for individuals with CF aged six years and older who possess at least one F508del mutation. Beyond its established CF therapies, Vertex maintains a robust and diverse clinical pipeline.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T00:14:37.730999+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T00:14:37.728258+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.