VeriSign, Inc. · VRSN · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

VeriSign: AI traffic supports growth, but execution remains the test

The supplied analysis offers partial support for a durable-growth view: management points to AI-driven traffic, registrar programs, and new services as growth drivers, but the evidence still depends on conversion into domain growth and execution of the 2026 plan.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $25.50B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.23 Consensus $2.35
EPS surprise -5.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $425.3M Consensus $424.4M
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.6% Event window
SPY move +1.9% Same window
Abnormal move -9.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.1% Up to 20 sessions
VRSNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the focus toward AI-related DNS demand, higher 2026 capex, possible security offerings, and the ICANN new-gTLD process. Relative to the prior analysis, the domain base is described as reaching a record 173.5 million and management’s 2026 outlook calls for modest revenue growth with higher operating margin.

Guidance delta

Maintained in the supplied transcript analysis; 2026 revenue guidance is described as $1.715–$1.735 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Management identified AI-driven internet traffic and DNS queries as an important growth driver.
  • The domain base reached a record 173.5 million, while 2026 guidance calls for modest revenue growth and higher operating margin.
  • Higher capex is planned for capacity expansion and replacement of end-of-life equipment.
  • The supplied scorecard shows EPS below consensus while revenue was approximately in line; the analysis does not attribute the variance to a specific cause.

Management priorities

  • Expand capacity and replace end-of-life equipment in 2026.
  • Develop potential security and functionality services.
  • Use registrar marketing programs to support registrations and renewal categories.
  • Evaluate opportunities in the upcoming ICANN new-gTLD round.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VRSN REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $382M Q1 '24 actual $384M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $386M Q2 '24 actual $387M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $394M Q3 '24 actual $391M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $411M Q2 '25 actual $410M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $417M Q3 '25 actual $419M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $424M Q4 '25 actual $425M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $424M Q1 '26 actual $429M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $433M Q2 '26 actual $435M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $440M Q4 '26 estimate $449M Q1 '27 estimate $465M Q2 '27 estimate $479M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy15 ratings
Bullish960.0%
Neutral533.3%
Bearish16.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$277.68Current
$215Low
$280.8Average
$355High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 1, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainApr 24, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 24, 2026
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainApr 27, 2020
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $277.68. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$341$288.28 +22.8%Sep 1, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$324$261.58 +16.7%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$355$276.95 +27.8%Apr 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$325$233.01 +17.0%Oct 24, 2025
Robert W. BairdRob Oliver$250$191.14 -10.0%Dec 9, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

VeriSign, Inc., along with its affiliates, provides fundamental internet infrastructure and domain name registration services, which enable global web navigation across numerous recognized online addresses. The company plays a crucial role in upholding the security, stability, and resilience of internet systems and services. This includes its function as the root zone maintainer, operating two of the thirteen internet root servers globally, and delivering essential registration and authoritative lookup services for the widely used .com and .net domains, which are vital for worldwide online commerce. Beyond these, VeriSign also manages the underlying technical systems for several other top-level domains, such as .cc, .gov, .edu, and .name. Its operational scope further encompasses distributed server management, network infrastructure, cybersecurity, and ensuring data integrity. Established in 1995, VeriSign, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Reston, Virginia.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T13:21:00.214590+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T13:21:00.211123+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.