Viper Energy, Inc. · VNOM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Viper Energy maintains growth outlook as dividend framework shifts

Management’s account of strong organic production growth and a flexible cash-return framework supports a constructive operating thesis for Viper Energy. The durability of that case depends on commodity conditions, operator activity and disciplined capital allocation.

Reported After market closeNASDAQEnergy $15.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.76 Consensus $0.76
EPS surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $677.0M Consensus $643.5M
Revenue surprise +5.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.1% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.2% Up to 20 sessions
VNOMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described moving from a variable dividend model to a $2-per-share base dividend and removing the 75% cash-payout rule, while retaining flexibility to use excess cash for buybacks, debt reduction or acquisitions. The supplied analysis says guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied transcript analysis reports no change to guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management characterized production growth as strong, citing high-single-digit organic growth in 2026 and a 15% annualized growth trajectory.
  • The higher base dividend is intended to provide a stable cash return while leaving excess cash available for other uses.
  • Share repurchases and mineral-asset acquisitions remain part of the capital-allocation toolkit.
  • New leasing activity in the Woodford and Delaware basins was highlighted as a potential source of future production upside.

Management priorities

  • Grow the base dividend and allocate excess cash among buybacks, debt reduction and acquisitions.
  • Pursue high-return mineral-asset M&A opportunities.
  • Expand leasing and bonus activity in the Woodford and Delaware basins.
  • Sustain organic growth through Diamondback and other third-party operators.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VNOM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.56 Q2 '24 actual $0.61, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.43 Q3 '24 actual $0.49, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.38 Q2 '25 actual $0.41, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.38 Q3 '25 actual $0.40, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.29 Q4 '25 actual $0.31, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.43 Q1 '26 actual $0.55, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.76 Q2 '26 actual $0.76, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.69 Q3 '26 actual $0.72, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.79 Q1 '27 estimate $0.73 Q2 '27 estimate $0.67 Q3 '27 estimate $0.67
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish3587.5%
Neutral512.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$44.17Current
$37Low
$55.2Average
$72High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 4, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 26, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 15, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 2, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 12, 2026
TD Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2025
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 4, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainMay 23, 2025
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 7, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainSep 6, 2023
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2022
ScotiaBank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2020
Seaport Global Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2020
Imperial Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 15, 2020
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJun 28, 2020
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 19, 2020
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainSep 25, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainAug 1, 2019
Capital One Financial Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 2, 2019
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 12, 2019
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 3, 2018
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainFeb 2, 2018
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainNov 29, 2017
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2017
Mizuho Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 6, 2016
Euro Pacific Capital Buy BuyMaintainSep 17, 2015
Northland Securities Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 17, 2014
Northland Capital Markets Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 16, 2014
Baird Outperform NeutralUpgradeOct 15, 2014
Wunderlich Buy BuyMaintainOct 3, 2014
Wunderlich Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2014
GMP Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 9, 2014
Tudor Pickering Buy AccumulateMaintainSep 3, 2014
Sterne Agee Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 14, 2014
Scotia Howard Weil Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 14, 2014
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $44.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$53$45.72 +20.0%Nov 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$47$43.52 +6.4%Oct 15, 2026
ScotiabankMark Lear$54$44.13 +22.3%Oct 14, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$53$44.36 +20.0%Oct 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$57$43.37 +29.0%Oct 13, 2026
RBC CapitalScott Hanold$57$43.26 +29.0%Oct 9, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$45$45.12 +1.9%Sep 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesWilliam Janela$56$42.68 +26.8%Aug 4, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$57$43.76 +29.0%Jul 31, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$52$43.03 +17.7%Jul 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$46$42.57 +4.1%Jun 29, 2026
RBC CapitalScott Hanold$58$45 +31.3%May 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesWilliam Janela$58$45.59 +31.3%May 27, 2026
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$61$46.89 +38.1%May 26, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$61$47.68 +38.1%May 15, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$58$48.4 +31.3%May 6, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$54$50.06 +22.3%May 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$58$50.95 +31.3%May 5, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$60$45.4 +35.8%Apr 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$49$47.85 +10.9%Mar 27, 2026
TD SecuritiesAaron Bilkoski$55$44.96 +24.5%Feb 24, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$53$44.96 +20.0%Feb 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$44$39.75 -0.4%Jan 23, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$54$38.75 +22.3%Jan 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$52$40.67 +17.7%Dec 12, 2025
BarclaysBetty Jiang$60$36.7 +35.8%Nov 5, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$45$36.7 +1.9%Oct 14, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$57$38.9 +29.0%Oct 7, 2025
TD SecuritiesAaron Bilkoski$54$38.21 +22.3%Sep 30, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$51$38.57 +15.5%Sep 15, 2025
Roth CapitalLeo Mariani$50$38.97 +13.2%Aug 26, 2025
Piper SandlerMark Lear$68$37.89 +54.0%Aug 14, 2025
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$49$39.97 +10.9%May 6, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$52$39.56 +17.7%Apr 21, 2025
KeyBancTim Rezvan$56$39.56 +26.8%Apr 21, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$72$45.36 +63.0%Mar 3, 2025
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$58$48.7 +31.3%Feb 4, 2025
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$70$54.11 +58.5%Dec 2, 2024
Roth CapitalLeo Mariani$53$50.29 +20.0%Oct 16, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$61$51.97 +38.1%Oct 15, 2024
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$45$43.35 +1.9%Sep 13, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$57$46.83 +29.0%Aug 15, 2024
Truist FinancialNela Dingmann$54$42.83 +22.3%Jul 22, 2024
BarclaysBetty Jiang$44$40.14 -0.4%Apr 9, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$36$35.18 -18.5%Mar 11, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsTim Rezvan$37$27.2 -16.2%May 3, 2023
Roth CapitalLeo Mariani$34$28.87 -23.0%Apr 20, 2023
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$38$29.07 -14.0%Jul 26, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$41$30.76 -7.2%May 26, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$36$28.73 -18.5%May 2, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$40$28.45 -9.4%Apr 25, 2022
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$24$16.89 -45.7%Aug 16, 2021
TD SecuritiesAaron Bilkoski$22$17.78 -50.2%Jun 29, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Viper Energy Partners LP is an entity dedicated to the ownership, acquisition, and development of oil and natural gas assets across North America. By the end of 2021, the company had established mineral interests encompassing 27,027 net royalty acres, primarily located within the prolific Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale formations. At that time, its proven hydrocarbon reserves were estimated to be 127,888 thousand barrels of crude oil equivalent. Viper Energy Partners GP LLC acts as the general partner responsible for managing the company's operations. Founded in 2013, Viper Energy Partners LP maintains its headquarters in Midland, Texas, and operates as a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T21:13:51.738299+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-04T02:10:46.836015+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-04T02:10:46.833219+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.