Viper Energy, Inc. · VNOM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Viper Energy maintains growth outlook as dividend framework shifts

Management’s account of strong organic production growth and a flexible cash-return framework supports a constructive operating thesis for Viper Energy. The durability of that case depends on commodity conditions, operator activity and disciplined capital allocation.

Reported After market closeNASDAQEnergy $15.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.76 Consensus $0.76
EPS surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $677.0M Consensus $643.5M
Revenue surprise +5.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.1% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.2% Up to 20 sessions
VNOMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described moving from a variable dividend model to a $2-per-share base dividend and removing the 75% cash-payout rule, while retaining flexibility to use excess cash for buybacks, debt reduction or acquisitions. The supplied analysis says guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied transcript analysis reports no change to guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management characterized production growth as strong, citing high-single-digit organic growth in 2026 and a 15% annualized growth trajectory.
  • The higher base dividend is intended to provide a stable cash return while leaving excess cash available for other uses.
  • Share repurchases and mineral-asset acquisitions remain part of the capital-allocation toolkit.
  • New leasing activity in the Woodford and Delaware basins was highlighted as a potential source of future production upside.

Management priorities

  • Grow the base dividend and allocate excess cash among buybacks, debt reduction and acquisitions.
  • Pursue high-return mineral-asset M&A opportunities.
  • Expand leasing and bonus activity in the Woodford and Delaware basins.
  • Sustain organic growth through Diamondback and other third-party operators.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VNOM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $205M Q4 '23 actual $205M, match Q1 '24 estimate $220M Q1 '24 actual $205M, miss Q2 '24 estimate $216M Q2 '24 actual $215M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $225M Q3 '24 actual $-421M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $289M Q2 '25 actual $297M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $404M Q3 '25 actual $418M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $423M Q4 '25 actual $435M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $500M Q1 '26 actual $511M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $643M Q2 '26 actual $677M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $625M Q3 '26 actual $661M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $691M Q1 '27 estimate $649M Q2 '27 estimate $623M Q3 '27 estimate $624M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish3587.5%
Neutral512.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$44.17Current
$37Low
$55.2Average
$72High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $44.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$53$45.72 +20.0%Nov 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$47$43.52 +6.4%Oct 15, 2026
ScotiabankMark Lear$54$44.13 +22.3%Oct 14, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$53$44.36 +20.0%Oct 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$57$43.37 +29.0%Oct 13, 2026
See 48 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Viper Energy Partners LP is an entity dedicated to the ownership, acquisition, and development of oil and natural gas assets across North America. By the end of 2021, the company had established mineral interests encompassing 27,027 net royalty acres, primarily located within the prolific Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale formations. At that time, its proven hydrocarbon reserves were estimated to be 127,888 thousand barrels of crude oil equivalent. Viper Energy Partners GP LLC acts as the general partner responsible for managing the company's operations. Founded in 2013, Viper Energy Partners LP maintains its headquarters in Midland, Texas, and operates as a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Historical context

All VNOM earnings

Energy peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T21:13:51.738299+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-04T02:10:46.836015+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-04T02:10:46.833219+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.