UDR, Inc. · UDR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
UDR Maintains 2026 Outlook as Retention and Supply Trends Support Demand
UDR's latest analysis supports a constructive but measured view: strong retention, limited new supply, and operational initiatives provide support for demand and cash-flow growth, while the 2026 outlook remains modest and exposed to labor, regulatory, concession, and expense risks.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, the outlook moved from a raised 2025 guidance narrative to maintained 2026 guidance. The current analysis adds detail on 2026 lease-rate and same-store revenue targets, AI deployment, the LaSalle joint venture expansion, the Northern Virginia acquisition, and approximately $120 million of share repurchases.
Guidance delta
Management maintained its 2026 outlook, targeting 1.5%–2% lease-rate growth and 0.25%–2.25% same-store revenue growth.
Key takeaways
- Management said 2025 FFOA was $2.54 per share and performance exceeded its prior guidance.
- The 2026 outlook calls for modest lease-rate and same-store revenue growth, supported by limited new apartment supply and data-driven pricing.
- Capital allocation remains focused on NOI-enhancing capital spending, net asset sales, and flexible share repurchases.
- Management is expanding resident services and AI initiatives across customer experience, capital allocation, and risk management.
- Key risks include muted job growth, regulatory uncertainty, concessions, and higher property-related expenses.
Management priorities
- Execute the 2026 operating outlook while managing lease rates and occupancy.
- Expand property-wide WiFi and other resident-income services.
- Advance AI pilots in customer experience, risk analysis, and capital planning.
- Pursue net asset sales and maintain flexible share repurchases.
- Direct capital toward NOI-enhancing projects while preserving balance-sheet flexibility.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 8, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Zelman & Assoc | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 12, 2024 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Dec 13, 2023 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 31, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | May 15, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 19, 2022 |
| Capital One | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Nov 16, 2021 |
| BTIG | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 13, 2021 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 8, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 2, 2020 |
| Capital One Financial | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Sep 16, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 25, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 8, 2018 |
| BTIG Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 30, 2017 |
| JMP Securities | Market Perform | Market Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 19, 2016 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 12, 2016 |
| Miller Tabak | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Nov 9, 2015 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Oct 27, 2015 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 18, 2013 |
| Compass Point | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 2, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $33.83. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $33.78 | +21.2% | Sep 21, 2026 |
| UBS | Ami Probandt | $41 | $35.37 | +21.2% | Sep 15, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $36.38 | +15.3% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $36.95 | +27.1% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Peter Abramowitz | $44 | $37.92 | +30.1% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $37.3 | +24.2% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $38.7 | +21.2% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Julien Blouin | $38 | $38.3 | +12.3% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $44 | $39.57 | +30.1% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Peter Abramowitz | $45 | $39.74 | +33.0% | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $46 | $40.18 | +36.0% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $41 | $39.79 | +21.2% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $39.37 | +21.2% | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $38 | $37.52 | +12.3% | May 14, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $36.91 | +21.2% | May 11, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Richard Anderson | $39 | $36.39 | +15.3% | May 4, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $34.25 | +3.5% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $38.09 | +21.2% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $38.17 | +15.3% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $39.38 | +24.2% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Brad Heffern | $39 | $39.38 | +15.3% | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Julien Blouin | $37.5 | $37.64 | +10.8% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $42 | $36.82 | +24.2% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $37 | $36.55 | +9.4% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $36.42 | +21.2% | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $44 | $35.63 | +30.1% | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $38 | $35.59 | +12.3% | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $33.79 | -2.5% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $33.69 | +15.3% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $44 | $35.71 | +30.1% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $35.71 | +21.2% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $37.26 | +18.2% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $36.94 | +33.0% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $45 | $38.37 | +33.0% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $44 | $38.39 | +30.1% | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Lewis | $43 | $38.95 | +27.1% | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Adam Kramer | $44.5 | $37.83 | +31.5% | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $46 | $40.8 | +36.0% | Jul 7, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Brad Heffern | $46 | $45.34 | +36.0% | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $43 | $44.05 | +27.1% | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Julien Blouin | $42 | $44.92 | +24.2% | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $42 | $43.64 | +24.2% | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $46 | $43.3 | +36.0% | Aug 26, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Juan Sanabria | $45 | $40.56 | +33.0% | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Amanda Sweitzer | $42 | $39.02 | +24.2% | May 24, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $42 | $39.28 | +24.2% | May 14, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | $39 | $38.08 | +15.3% | May 1, 2024 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $44 | $37.89 | +30.1% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $40 | $37.87 | +18.2% | Apr 10, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Lewis | $42 | $37.63 | +24.2% | Apr 9, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | James Feldman | $39 | $37.28 | +15.3% | Mar 4, 2024 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $43 | $38.04 | +27.1% | Sep 19, 2023 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $45 | $40.19 | +33.0% | Aug 30, 2023 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $58 | $46.48 | +71.4% | May 19, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $57 | $51.83 | +68.5% | May 4, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | Michael R Lewis | $59 | $56.75 | +74.4% | Dec 6, 2021 |
| Wells Fargo | Tammi Fique | $61 | $54.93 | +80.3% | Nov 22, 2021 |
| Capital One Financial | Neil Malkin | $64 | $55.43 | +89.2% | Nov 16, 2021 |
| Morgan Stanley | Richard Hill | $59.5 | $54.19 | +75.9% | Nov 8, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Chandni Luthra | $60 | $52.95 | +77.4% | Sep 23, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $58 | $54.23 | +71.4% | Sep 1, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationUDR, Inc. (NYSE: UDR), a distinguished S&P 500 company, stands as a premier multifamily real estate investment trust. The company boasts a proven history of generating exceptional and reliable returns for its investors, achieving this through the astute management, acquisition, disposition, development, and redevelopment of appealing real estate properties situated in key U.S. markets. As of September 30, 2020, UDR's extensive portfolio included ownership or partial ownership in 51,649 apartment homes, with an additional 1,031 units currently under development. With over 48 years in operation, UDR has consistently delivered long-term value to its shareholders, provided superior service to its residents, and fostered a high-quality experience for its associates.
Historical context
All UDR earningsLatest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T01:40:57.867385+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T01:40:57.864389+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.