UDR, Inc. · UDR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

UDR Maintains 2026 Outlook as Retention and Supply Trends Support Demand

UDR's latest analysis supports a constructive but measured view: strong retention, limited new supply, and operational initiatives provide support for demand and cash-flow growth, while the 2026 outlook remains modest and exposed to labor, regulatory, concession, and expense risks.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $10.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.64 Consensus $0.15
EPS surprise +324.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $428.8M Consensus $430.1M
Revenue surprise -0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.3% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +4.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.4% Up to 20 sessions
UDRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the outlook moved from a raised 2025 guidance narrative to maintained 2026 guidance. The current analysis adds detail on 2026 lease-rate and same-store revenue targets, AI deployment, the LaSalle joint venture expansion, the Northern Virginia acquisition, and approximately $120 million of share repurchases.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its 2026 outlook, targeting 1.5%–2% lease-rate growth and 0.25%–2.25% same-store revenue growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management said 2025 FFOA was $2.54 per share and performance exceeded its prior guidance.
  • The 2026 outlook calls for modest lease-rate and same-store revenue growth, supported by limited new apartment supply and data-driven pricing.
  • Capital allocation remains focused on NOI-enhancing capital spending, net asset sales, and flexible share repurchases.
  • Management is expanding resident services and AI initiatives across customer experience, capital allocation, and risk management.
  • Key risks include muted job growth, regulatory uncertainty, concessions, and higher property-related expenses.

Management priorities

  • Execute the 2026 operating outlook while managing lease rates and occupancy.
  • Expand property-wide WiFi and other resident-income services.
  • Advance AI pilots in customer experience, risk analysis, and capital planning.
  • Pursue net asset sales and maintain flexible share repurchases.
  • Direct capital toward NOI-enhancing projects while preserving balance-sheet flexibility.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
UDR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.63 Q4 '23 actual $0.63, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.61 Q1 '24 actual $0.61, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.61 Q2 '24 actual $0.62, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.62 Q3 '24 actual $0.62, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.62 Q2 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.63 Q3 '25 actual $0.65, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.15 Q4 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.12 Q1 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.13 Q2 '26 actual $0.21, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.15 Q4 '26 estimate $0.16 Q1 '27 estimate $0.13 Q2 '27 estimate $0.15
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish1746.0%
Neutral1745.9%
Bearish38.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$33.83Current
$35Low
$44.47Average
$64High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 1, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $33.83. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$41$33.78 +21.2%Sep 21, 2026
UBSAmi Probandt$41$35.37 +21.2%Sep 15, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$39$36.38 +15.3%Sep 8, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$43$36.95 +27.1%Sep 1, 2026
Deutsche BankPeter Abramowitz$44$37.92 +30.1%Aug 14, 2026
See 56 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

UDR, Inc. (NYSE: UDR), a distinguished S&P 500 company, stands as a premier multifamily real estate investment trust. The company boasts a proven history of generating exceptional and reliable returns for its investors, achieving this through the astute management, acquisition, disposition, development, and redevelopment of appealing real estate properties situated in key U.S. markets. As of September 30, 2020, UDR's extensive portfolio included ownership or partial ownership in 51,649 apartment homes, with an additional 1,031 units currently under development. With over 48 years in operation, UDR has consistently delivered long-term value to its shareholders, provided superior service to its residents, and fostered a high-quality experience for its associates.

Historical context

All UDR earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T01:40:57.867385+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T01:40:57.864389+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.