Twilio Inc. · TWLO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Twilio raises outlook as AI and multiproduct adoption accelerate

Twilio's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: AI-enabled communications, multiproduct adoption and channel momentum are supporting growth, while carrier fees, competition and the durability of AI demand remain the key tests.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $31.49B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.47 Consensus $1.32
EPS surprise +11.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.50B Consensus $1.43B
Revenue surprise +4.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +24.9% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +24.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.4% Up to 20 sessions
TWLOSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter adds the general availability of the next-generation Conversations Layer, a new Twilio Console with reported conversion improvement, direct connections with major U.S. carriers for specified messaging, and additional large enterprise wins. Management's tone remained confident and guidance sentiment remained raised.

Guidance delta

The current analysis says full-year revenue and organic growth guidance were raised, with organic revenue growth outlook at 13–13.5%.

Key takeaways

  • AI-driven conversational products and multiproduct adoption were identified as primary growth engines.
  • Management highlighted record revenue, accelerated non-GAAP gross profit, and a 116% dollar-based net expansion rate.
  • The new Conversations Layer and Twilio Console are intended to increase adoption, cross-sell and upsell.

Management priorities

  • Scale the Conversations Layer and its AI integrations.
  • Use the Twilio Console to reduce conversion friction and expand cross-sell and upsell.
  • Continue improving messaging efficiency through direct carrier connections while investing in Voice AI, Conversation Intelligence and Verify.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TWLO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.73 Q2 '24 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.87 Q3 '24 actual $1.02, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.05 Q2 '25 actual $1.19, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.07 Q3 '25 actual $1.25, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.23 Q4 '25 actual $1.33, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.27 Q1 '26 actual $1.50, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.32 Q2 '26 actual $1.47, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.47 Q3 '26 actual $1.65, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.49 Q1 '27 estimate $1.58 Q2 '27 estimate $1.64 Q3 '27 estimate $1.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy50 ratings
Bullish3978.0%
Neutral918.0%
Bearish24.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$205.03Current
$50Low
$218.38Average
$450High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 21, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 8, 2026
HSBC Reduce HoldDowngradeSep 25, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 22, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 22, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 7, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Stifel Buy HoldUpgradeJul 10, 2026
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainJun 11, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeApr 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 15, 2026
RBC Capital Underperform UnderperformMaintainJan 5, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainMay 2, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainMay 2, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainMay 2, 2025
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 30, 2025
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainFeb 14, 2025
Monness, Crespi, Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 15, 2024
Northland Capital Markets Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 31, 2024
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 28, 2024
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 8, 2024
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainMay 8, 2024
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeAug 11, 2023
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 16, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 23, 2022
Atlantic Equities Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 5, 2022
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 12, 2021
Daiwa Capital Buy BuyMaintainJul 1, 2021
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainFeb 6, 2020
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2019
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2019
FBN Securities Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 9, 2019
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMar 12, 2019
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJan 4, 2019
Argus Buy BuyMaintainNov 8, 2018
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 25, 2018
Monness Crespi Hardt Buy BuyMaintainApr 11, 2018
Dougherty Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 10, 2018
Mitsubishi UFJ Overweight NeutralUpgradeAug 8, 2017
Pacific Crest Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeMay 3, 2017
Northland Securities Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMar 6, 2017
Summit Redstone Partners Buy BuyMaintainJan 12, 2017
Drexel Hamilton Buy BuyMaintainDec 19, 2016
William Blair Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 18, 2016
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $205.03. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
NeedhamJoshua Reilly$240$241.9 +17.1%Oct 30, 2026
UBSTaylor McGinnis$255$241.9 +24.4%Oct 30, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$325$258.69 +58.5%Oct 21, 2026
BTIGNick Altmann$315$273.4 +53.6%Oct 16, 2026
Stifel NicolausParker Lane$325$281.59 +58.5%Oct 14, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$211$299.66 +2.9%Sep 24, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$270$255.95 +31.7%Aug 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$261$251.82 +27.3%Aug 7, 2026
Goldman SachsCallie Valenti$330$247.94 +61.0%Aug 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$285$251.47 +39.0%Aug 7, 2026
Rosenblatt SecuritiesCatherine Trebnick$275$241.38 +34.1%Aug 7, 2026
NeedhamJoshua Reilly$280$193.2 +36.6%Aug 7, 2026
Wells FargoRyan MacWilliams$275$193.2 +34.1%Aug 7, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$240$193.2 +17.1%Aug 7, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$250$193.2 +21.9%Aug 7, 2026
Stifel NicolausParker Lane$275$193.2 +34.1%Aug 7, 2026
BTIGNick Altmann$245$194.47 +19.5%Jul 28, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$240$206.7 +17.1%Jul 17, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$260$218.6 +26.8%Jul 9, 2026
KGI SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$250$210.64 +21.9%Jul 2, 2026
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$255$203.28 +24.4%Jun 11, 2026
OppenheimerIttai Kidron$235$198.29 +14.6%May 18, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$250$201.7 +21.9%May 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$200$174.34 -2.5%May 1, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$200$175.92 -2.5%May 1, 2026
OppenheimerIttai Kidron$200$148.06 -2.5%May 1, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$200$148.06 -2.5%May 1, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$215$148.06 +4.9%May 1, 2026
NeedhamJoshua Reilly$200$148.06 -2.5%May 1, 2026
Stifel NicolausParker Lane$175$148.06 -14.6%May 1, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$192$148.06 -6.4%May 1, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$195$148.06 -4.9%May 1, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$175$142.59 -14.6%Apr 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$180$143.39 -12.2%Apr 24, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$165$148.68 -19.5%Apr 21, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$155$113 -24.4%Feb 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$153$114.96 -25.4%Feb 13, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$130$110.41 -36.6%Feb 13, 2026
JefferiesSamad Samana$125$110.41 -39.0%Feb 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$169$123.03 -17.6%Jan 15, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$170$137.24 -17.1%Jan 5, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$100$138.36 -51.2%Jan 5, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$148$138.36 -27.8%Jan 5, 2026
BTIGNick Altmann$165$137.5 -19.5%Dec 16, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$150$134.51 -26.8%Dec 15, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$156$131.1 -23.9%Oct 31, 2025
Stifel NicolausParker Lane$120$132.34 -41.5%Oct 31, 2025
OppenheimerIttai Kidron$145$131.92 -29.3%Oct 31, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$147$112.86 -28.3%Oct 31, 2025
Morgan StanleyElizabeth Porter$154$112.86 -24.9%Oct 31, 2025
NeedhamJoshua Reilly$145$112.86 -29.3%Oct 31, 2025
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$150$112.86 -26.8%Oct 31, 2025
Morgan StanleyElizabeth Porter$152$109.02 -25.9%Oct 21, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$130$100.09 -36.6%Sep 30, 2025
Piper SandlerJames Fish$140$118.48 -31.7%Jul 14, 2025
JefferiesSamad Samana$132$113.39 -35.6%Jun 15, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$108$95.07 -47.3%Apr 28, 2025
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$111$85.77 -45.9%Apr 16, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$125$86.86 -39.0%Apr 15, 2025
UBSTaylor McGinnis$145$113.4 -29.3%Jan 24, 2025
Robert W. BairdWilliam Power$160$113.4 -22.0%Jan 24, 2025
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$135$102.97 -34.2%Nov 27, 2024
MonnessBrian White$135$96.72 -34.2%Nov 15, 2024
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$120$88.85 -41.5%Nov 12, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$70$82.7 -65.9%Oct 31, 2024
OppenheimerIttai Kidron$90$70.57 -56.1%Oct 31, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$94$70.57 -54.2%Oct 31, 2024
BernsteinPeter Weed$70$61.85 -65.9%Aug 27, 2024
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$85$60.67 -58.5%Aug 23, 2024
BarclaysRyan MacWilliams$65$62.86 -68.3%Aug 5, 2024
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$75$56.81 -63.4%Jun 28, 2024
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$60$55.69 -70.7%Jun 14, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$79$61.14 -61.5%May 22, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$78$61.27 -62.0%Apr 9, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$82$73.21 -60.0%Jan 12, 2024
Stifel NicolausParker Lane$60$56 -70.7%Nov 9, 2023
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$50$59.82 -75.6%Aug 9, 2023
Piper SandlerJames Fish$71$65.96 -65.4%Jul 17, 2023
Robert W. BairdBaird Ratings$135$45.83 -34.2%May 15, 2023
Piper SandlerJames Fish$58$48.93 -71.7%May 10, 2023
NeedhamRyan Koontz$65$48.1 -68.3%May 10, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$69.43$70.67 -66.1%Feb 21, 2023
Loop Capital MarketsThomas Blakey$89$75.45 -56.6%Feb 16, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$64$50.69 -68.8%Dec 14, 2022
JefferiesSamad Samana$50$48.56 -75.6%Nov 27, 2022
NeedhamRyan Koontz$60$41.74 -70.7%Nov 4, 2022
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$60$65.36 -70.7%Nov 4, 2022
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$60$42.74 -70.7%Nov 4, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$75$42.74 -63.4%Nov 4, 2022
BTIGMatthew VanVliet$105$42.74 -48.8%Nov 4, 2022
Stifel NicolausJ. Parker Lane$50$42.74 -75.6%Nov 4, 2022
JMP SecuritiesPatrick Walravens$110$42.74 -46.3%Nov 4, 2022
Stifel NicolausParker Lane$90$76.04 -56.1%Aug 22, 2022
OppenheimerIttai Kidron$84.92$84.92 -58.6%Aug 7, 2022
JefferiesSamad Samana$110$84.8 -46.3%Jul 30, 2022
ScotiabankNick Altmann$215$83.42 +4.9%Jun 14, 2022
Robert W. BairdWilliam Power$120$110.79 -41.5%May 16, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$200$100.75 -2.5%May 10, 2022
JMP SecuritiesPatrick Walravens$250$118.48 +21.9%May 5, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$225$117.8 +9.7%May 3, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$200$119.86 -2.5%May 3, 2022
Piper SandlerBrad Milsaps$117$118.03 -42.9%May 3, 2022
JefferiesSamad Samana$360$169.5 +75.6%Apr 3, 2022
Stifel NicolausParker Lane$300$160.74 +46.3%Mar 28, 2022
DaiwaStephen Bersey$264$158.33 +28.8%Feb 21, 2022
NeedhamRyan Koontz$350$190.88 +70.7%Feb 11, 2022
J.P. MorganMark Murphy$290$205.91 +41.4%Feb 10, 2022
FBN SecuritiesShebly Seyrafi$275$205.91 +34.1%Feb 10, 2022
Colliers SecuritiesCatharine Trebnick$325$205.91 +58.5%Feb 10, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesMichael Funk$290$205.91 +41.4%Feb 10, 2022
KeyBancSteve Enders$320$205.91 +56.1%Feb 10, 2022
BTIGMatthew VanVliet$270$205.91 +31.7%Feb 10, 2022
JMP SecuritiesPatrick Walravens$510$205.91 +148.7%Feb 10, 2022
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$300$205.91 +46.3%Feb 10, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$300$202.01 +46.3%Feb 9, 2022
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$400$195.78 +95.1%Feb 7, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$250$192 +21.9%Feb 6, 2022
Atlantic EquitiesPeter Sazel$240$185.84 +17.1%Jan 25, 2022
UBSTaylor McGinnis$290$192.06 +41.4%Jan 21, 2022
Cowen & Co.Derrick Wood$350$201.49 +70.7%Jan 20, 2022
Piper SandlerBrent Bracelin$400$215.16 +95.1%Jan 15, 2022
BarclaysRyan MacWilliams$375$268.29 +82.9%Dec 9, 2021
Summit Redstone PartnersSrini Nandury$450$300.6 +119.5%Nov 1, 2021
Northland SecuritiesMichael Latimore$450$298.37 +119.5%May 19, 2021
Show less

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Twilio Inc. offers a comprehensive cloud-based communications platform, empowering developers to build, scale, and manage customer engagement features directly within their software applications across both U.S. and international markets. Central to its customer engagement solution is a robust suite of application programming interfaces (APIs). These APIs streamline the complex communication logic required for various customer interactions and enable developers to seamlessly integrate voice, messaging, video, and email functionalities into their applications. Established in 2008, Twilio's corporate headquarters are located in San Francisco, California.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-09T01:14:31.060402+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T02:40:42.475484+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T02:40:42.472326+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.