T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. · TROW · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

T. Rowe Price pairs record AUM with a broad product pipeline

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: record AUM, retirement and ETF expansion, and the Goldman Sachs collaboration broaden potential growth channels. The case is tempered by U.S. equity outflows, uncertain adoption and economics for new products, regulatory risk, and the absence of explicit guidance sentiment.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $22.42B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.81 Consensus $2.54
EPS surprise +10.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.89B Consensus $1.88B
Revenue surprise +0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.4% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.9% Up to 20 sessions
TROWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the company shifted from highlighting ETF and target-date momentum to emphasizing a Goldman Sachs collaboration, a larger ETF pipeline, managed accounts, multi-asset public-private offerings and a multi-token crypto ETF filing. Expense actions continued, including headcount reduction and planned real-estate transitions.

Guidance delta

No explicit guidance sentiment was provided in the supplied analysis; management outlined product rollouts through 2026 rather than issuing a quantified outlook.

Key takeaways

  • AUM reached a record $1.77 trillion, supported by retirement, fixed income and ETF inflows.
  • A Goldman Sachs collaboration expands planned retirement, model-portfolio, multi-asset and managed-account offerings.
  • ETF expansion, digital-asset initiatives and expense actions are growth and efficiency themes, while U.S. equity outflows remain a risk.

Management priorities

  • Execute the Goldman Sachs product rollout across retirement and wealth channels
  • Expand active ETFs, managed accounts and private-market solutions
  • Advance digital-asset products while managing expenses and real-estate restructuring

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TROW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.04 Q1 '24 actual $2.38, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.27 Q2 '24 actual $2.26, match Q3 '24 estimate $2.33 Q3 '24 actual $2.57, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.15 Q2 '25 actual $2.24, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.54 Q3 '25 actual $2.81, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.46 Q4 '25 actual $2.44, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2.33 Q1 '26 actual $2.52, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.51 Q2 '26 actual $2.57, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.67 Q4 '26 estimate $2.49 Q1 '27 estimate $2.65
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish821.6%
Neutral2362.2%
Bearish616.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$103.6Current
$87Low
$119Average
$215High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 25, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 9, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 31, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 3, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $103.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$110$104.27 +6.2%Sep 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$110$110.97 +6.2%Aug 31, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$118$113.79 +13.9%Aug 10, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$109$112.73 +5.2%Aug 3, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$120$111.75 +15.8%Aug 3, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. operates as a publicly traded entity specializing in investment management. The firm extends its financial expertise to a diverse range of clients, including individual investors, institutional organizations, retirement benefit plans, and financial intermediaries. It is responsible for the establishment and ongoing management of both equity and fixed income mutual funds. The company's investment activities encompass public stock and bond markets worldwide. Employing a bottom-up methodology, the firm integrates both fundamental and quantitative analysis, leveraging insights from both internal research capabilities and external sources for its investment decisions. A core tenet of its investment philosophy is socially responsible investing, with a significant emphasis on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. Furthermore, T.…

Historical context

All TROW earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T20:30:44.621441+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T20:30:44.618636+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.