Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish821.6%
Neutral2362.2%
Bearish616.2%
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. · TROW · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025
T. Rowe Price: ETF and retirement growth offset net outflows
The supplied analysis supports a mixed but improving operating picture: ETF, retirement, fixed-income, and international initiatives provide growth avenues, but net outflows, fee pressure, market sensitivity, and slower private-credit deployment limit the strength of the case.
Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services
$21.72B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $2.09
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $1.78B
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
+4.0%
Event window
SPY move
+1.5%
Same window
Abnormal move
+2.5%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.3×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+0.5%
Up to 20 sessions
TROWSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about TROW FY2025 Q1
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove TROW's +4.0% move after FY2025 Q1 earnings?What changed in TROW's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q1?Give me the bull and bear case for TROW after FY2025 Q1 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis emphasizes continued ETF expansion, international retirement rollouts, and private-market capabilities, while net outflows were partly offset by inflows into retirement, fixed-income, and ETFs. Guidance sentiment remained maintained, but fee-rate pressure and the weak M&A backdrop remain material concerns.
Guidance delta
Maintained; the supplied analysis does not identify a guidance increase or reduction.
Key takeaways
- More than 60% of funds outperformed peer groups, with strength in value and target-date strategies.
- Net outflows were $8.6 billion, while retirement, fixed-income, and ETF inflows provided offsets.
- The ETF platform reached 19 products and $12.5 billion of assets under management, with additional transparent-equity launches planned.
Management priorities
- Expand the ETF lineup, including sector and fixed-income offerings, and explore ETF share classes.
- Roll out international retirement products with local partners.
- Pursue private-market capabilities while maintaining cost control and disciplined capital allocation.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$101.39Previous close
$87Low
$118.71Average
$215High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Apr 7, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Nov 11, 2024 |
| UBS | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Apr 12, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 10, 2023 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 5, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Oct 5, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 30, 2023 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 10, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Strong Buy | Downgrade | Mar 31, 2020 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Nov 15, 2019 |
| Bernstein | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Nov 13, 2018 |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 21, 2018 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 8, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 30, 2017 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 26, 2017 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 14, 2016 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Sep 3, 2015 |
| PiperJaffray | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 3, 2015 |
| Evercore Partners | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Jul 10, 2014 |
| KeyBanc | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 18, 2014 |
| Sandler O'Neill | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 25, 2014 |
| Piper Sandler | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 25, 2014 |
| S&P Capital IQ | Buy | Strong Buy | Downgrade | Dec 18, 2013 |
| Edward Jones | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Dec 14, 2012 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 24, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 25, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $101.39. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $109 | $104.94 | +7.5% | Oct 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $107 | $103.16 | +5.5% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $104.27 | +8.5% | Sep 25, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $110.97 | +8.5% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $118 | $113.79 | +16.4% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $109 | $112.73 | +7.5% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $111.75 | +18.4% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $116 | $120.39 | +14.4% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $108 | $113.65 | +6.5% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $121 | $119.04 | +19.3% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $109 | $109.08 | +7.5% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $111 | $106.29 | +9.5% | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $104 | $103.71 | +2.6% | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $89 | $102.88 | -12.2% | May 1, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $105 | $99.38 | +3.6% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $87 | $95.75 | -14.2% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $96 | $91.97 | -5.3% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $98 | $91.97 | -3.3% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $97.27 | +13.4% | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $106 | $92.94 | +4.5% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| KBW | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $93.43 | +8.5% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $97.02 | -7.3% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $123 | $105.98 | +21.3% | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $128 | $105.9 | +26.2% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $102 | $104.96 | +0.6% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $101 | $102.53 | -0.4% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $126 | $105.34 | +24.3% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $103 | $104.24 | +1.6% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $103.28 | +23.3% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $108.16 | +13.4% | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $90 | $91.43 | -11.2% | May 5, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Chris Allen | $125 | $115.49 | +23.3% | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Alexander Blostein | $113 | $118.39 | +11.5% | Jun 12, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $116 | $114.49 | +14.4% | Jun 12, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $107 | $112.08 | +5.5% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $113 | $116.26 | +11.5% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $108 | $117.85 | +6.5% | Mar 12, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | James Fotheringham | $115 | $127.77 | +13.4% | Aug 9, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | James Fotheringham | $135 | $114.85 | +33.1% | Jun 13, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $125.28 | +52.9% | May 2, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $122.98 | +57.8% | May 2, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $127.3 | -11.2% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $135.36 | +67.7% | Apr 25, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $178 | $143.07 | +75.6% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $159 | $143.47 | +56.8% | Feb 20, 2022 |
| Barclays | Jeremy Campbell | $160 | $170.01 | +57.8% | Apr 19, 2021 |
| Wells Fargo | Christopher Harris | $215 | $167.98 | +112.1% | Apr 14, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. operates as a publicly traded entity specializing in investment management. The firm extends its financial expertise to a diverse range of clients, including individual investors, institutional organizations, retirement benefit plans, and financial intermediaries. It is responsible for the establishment and ongoing management of both equity and fixed income mutual funds. The company's investment activities encompass public stock and bond markets worldwide. Employing a bottom-up methodology, the firm integrates both fundamental and quantitative analysis, leveraging insights from both internal research capabilities and external sources for its investment decisions. A core tenet of its investment philosophy is socially responsible investing, with a significant emphasis on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. Furthermore, T.…
Historical context
All TROW earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS-PA The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +32.3% | — | Goldman’s financing and wealth engines strengthen as AI demand persists |
| GS-PD The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +32.3% | — | Goldman Sachs posts record Q3 as financing and wealth remain strong |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +32.3% | -0.2% | Goldman Sachs posts record Q3 as financing and advisory stay strong |
| C Citigroup Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +7.5% | -5.6% | Citi lifts ROTCE outlook after strong Q3, keeps investing |
| JPM-PK JPMorgan Chase & Co. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -6.1% | — | JPMorgan posts strong Q3 as deposits, markets and AWM support growth |
| JPM-PD JPMorgan Chase & Co. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -6.1% | — | JPMorgan Q3: Strong Results, Cautious on Rates and Credit |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
Missed on EPS
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-18T00:01:48.469141+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T08:00:43.482623+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T08:00:43.479846+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.