Trimble Inc. · TRMB · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Trimble exits 2025 with strong recurring-revenue and AI momentum

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: recurring-revenue expansion, AI adoption, cross-selling, and platform rollout provide growth support, while Field Systems conversion, macro sensitivity, and AI monetization remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $13.45B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.00 Consensus $0.96
EPS surprise +4.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $969.8M Consensus $950.0M
Revenue surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.9% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +3.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.9% Up to 20 sessions
TRMBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows Q4 and full-year 2025 momentum carrying into 2026, with recurring revenue at 65% of total and AI-enabled products generating more than $100 million in revenue. Management maintained 2026 guidance and emphasized agentic AI, global platform expansion, cross-selling, and tuck-in acquisitions.

Guidance delta

2026 guidance was maintained; the supplied analysis describes modest revenue growth and targeted EBITDA margin expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 revenue and ARR beat expectations, supporting momentum into 2026.
  • Recurring revenue reached 65% of total, while software and services reached 79%.
  • AI-enabled products now generate more than $100 million of company revenue, according to management's supplied analysis.
  • Management highlighted cross-sell, geographic expansion, agentic AI, and disciplined capital allocation as growth priorities.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate agentic AI capabilities across AECO and transportation and logistics.
  • Continue the global rollout of Trimble Construction One in Europe and Asia Pacific.
  • Expand cross-selling through the Connect & Scale platform.
  • Pursue tuck-in acquisitions in high-growth construction software.
  • Maintain share repurchases and focus capital on high-return projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TRMB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $913M Q1 '25 actual $953M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $863M Q2 '25 actual $871M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $947M Q3 '25 actual $876M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $835M Q2 '26 actual $876M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $871M Q3 '26 actual $901M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $950M Q4 '26 actual $970M, beat Q1 '27 estimate $906M Q1 '27 actual $940M, beat Q2 '27 estimate $952M Q2 '27 actual $972M, beat Q3 '27 estimate $966M Q4 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '28 estimate $1B Q2 '28 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1763.0%
Neutral933.3%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$57.69Current
$61Low
$82.33Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $57.69. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$80$56.99 +38.7%Aug 19, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$73$55.64 +26.5%Aug 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$61$52.29 +5.7%Jul 14, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$80$63.42 +38.7%May 7, 2026
OppenheimerKristen Owen$86$68.88 +49.1%Feb 10, 2026
See 14 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Trimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company delivers a comprehensive array of digital tools for the construction sector. This includes software for route planning, 3D design, and data exchange, along with systems for guiding construction machinery and for monitoring and managing assets, personnel, and equipment. The segment also offers advanced Building Information Modeling (BIM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), and project management platforms. Furthermore, it provides integrated solutions for site layout, measurement, cost estimation, scheduling, and project control, alongside specialized applications tailored for subcontractors and various trades. The Geospatial segment focuses on advanced surveying products, geographic information systems (GIS), and related geospatial technologies.…

Historical context

All TRMB earnings

Technology peers this season

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ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T02:20:59.893125+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T02:20:59.890273+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.