Trimble Inc. · TRMB · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
Trimble’s growth and AI rollout support a positive trajectory, with transition risks
The current analysis supports the view that earnings growth and resilient demand can underpin Trimble’s next phase: results exceeded outlook, ARR growth remained strong, and AI plus OEM partnerships broaden the opportunity. The countercase is that subscription conversion, margin durability and government-related uncertainty could limit how quickly that growth translates into sustained operating gains.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter shows another guidance raise alongside stronger reported growth, broader AI productization and additional OEM and marketplace initiatives. The analysis also makes the Field Systems subscription-transition risk more explicit, with management expecting headwinds to continue through 2027.
Guidance delta
Management raised FY2025 guidance after revenue and ARR exceeded outlook; the analysis cites targets of $3.565 billion revenue and $3.08 EPS.
Key takeaways
- Revenue and ARR growth exceeded outlook, supporting a full-year guidance raise.
- AI is being embedded across hardware and software workflows, while AECO, Field Systems and Transportation remain key growth areas.
- Field Systems subscription conversion remains the principal execution concern despite strong ARR growth.
Management priorities
- Expand AI-enabled tools and workflow automation.
- Scale OEM collaborations and the Trimble Ready ecosystem.
- Advance subscription conversion, cross-sell opportunities and the freight marketplace.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 19, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 13, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Sector Weight | Upgrade | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 2, 2023 |
| Edward Jones | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 5, 2023 |
| Northcoast Research | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Mar 7, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Dec 13, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Perform | Peer Perform | Maintain | Aug 17, 2022 |
| Craig-Hallum | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 11, 2021 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 5, 2020 |
| Berenberg | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 17, 2018 |
| Dougherty & Co. | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 30, 2017 |
| Dougherty | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 30, 2017 |
| FBR Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 11, 2016 |
| Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 1, 2015 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 30, 2015 |
| MKM Partners | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 5, 2015 |
| Boenning & Scattergood | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 28, 2015 |
| Janney Montgomery Scott | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 2, 2014 |
| Janney Capital | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 2, 2014 |
| Lazard | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 27, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $57.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $56.99 | +38.5% | Aug 19, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Chad Dillard | $73 | $55.64 | +26.4% | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $52.29 | +5.6% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $63.42 | +38.5% | May 7, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Kristen Owen | $86 | $68.88 | +48.9% | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $101 | $80.61 | +74.9% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $99 | $80.13 | +71.4% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $77.02 | +62.8% | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Kristen Owen | $102 | $79.72 | +76.6% | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Barclays | Guy Hardwick | $100 | $79.3 | +73.2% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Berenberg Bank | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $80.21 | +64.5% | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Kristen Owen | $88 | $73.96 | +52.4% | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Clarke Jeffries | $84 | $61.3 | +45.5% | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Clarke Jeffries | $73 | $63.42 | +26.4% | Mar 12, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Clarke Jeffries | $68 | $54.69 | +17.7% | Feb 12, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Brian Gesuale | $65 | $53.93 | +12.6% | Sep 29, 2023 |
| Piper Sandler | Clarke Jeffries | $65 | $55.04 | +12.6% | Dec 13, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $55.18 | +12.6% | Dec 13, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Weston Twigg | $100 | $65.23 | +73.2% | May 20, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationTrimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company delivers a comprehensive array of digital tools for the construction sector. This includes software for route planning, 3D design, and data exchange, along with systems for guiding construction machinery and for monitoring and managing assets, personnel, and equipment. The segment also offers advanced Building Information Modeling (BIM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), and project management platforms. Furthermore, it provides integrated solutions for site layout, measurement, cost estimation, scheduling, and project control, alongside specialized applications tailored for subcontractors and various trades. The Geospatial segment focuses on advanced surveying products, geographic information systems (GIS), and related geospatial technologies.…
Historical context
All TRMB earningsTechnology peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNX TD Synnex Corp | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +20.9% | -9.9% | TD SYNNEX: AI-led growth accelerates, but mix and cash flow matter |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +0.8% | +1.4% | Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +10.3% | -1.7% | Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth |
| SAIL SailPoint, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | -1.2% | SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption |
| CIEN Ciena Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +22.0% | -10.4% | Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog |
| DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.4% | +3.7% | DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook |
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T14:26:10.588077+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T14:26:10.585208+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.