Trimble Inc. · TRMB · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Trimble’s growth and AI rollout support a positive trajectory, with transition risks

The current analysis supports the view that earnings growth and resilient demand can underpin Trimble’s next phase: results exceeded outlook, ARR growth remained strong, and AI plus OEM partnerships broaden the opportunity. The countercase is that subscription conversion, margin durability and government-related uncertainty could limit how quickly that growth translates into sustained operating gains.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $13.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.81 Consensus $0.72
EPS surprise +12.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $901.2M Consensus $870.6M
Revenue surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.1% Up to 20 sessions
TRMBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter shows another guidance raise alongside stronger reported growth, broader AI productization and additional OEM and marketplace initiatives. The analysis also makes the Field Systems subscription-transition risk more explicit, with management expecting headwinds to continue through 2027.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2025 guidance after revenue and ARR exceeded outlook; the analysis cites targets of $3.565 billion revenue and $3.08 EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and ARR growth exceeded outlook, supporting a full-year guidance raise.
  • AI is being embedded across hardware and software workflows, while AECO, Field Systems and Transportation remain key growth areas.
  • Field Systems subscription conversion remains the principal execution concern despite strong ARR growth.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI-enabled tools and workflow automation.
  • Scale OEM collaborations and the Trimble Ready ecosystem.
  • Advance subscription conversion, cross-sell opportunities and the freight marketplace.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TRMB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $913M Q1 '25 actual $953M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $863M Q2 '25 actual $871M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $947M Q3 '25 actual $876M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $835M Q2 '26 actual $876M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $871M Q3 '26 actual $901M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $950M Q4 '26 actual $970M, beat Q1 '27 estimate $906M Q1 '27 actual $940M, beat Q2 '27 estimate $952M Q2 '27 actual $972M, beat Q3 '27 estimate $966M Q4 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '28 estimate $1B Q2 '28 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1763.0%
Neutral933.3%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$57.87Current
$61Low
$82.33Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $57.87. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$80$56.99 +38.2%Aug 19, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$73$55.64 +26.1%Aug 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$61$52.29 +5.4%Jul 14, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$80$63.42 +38.2%May 7, 2026
OppenheimerKristen Owen$86$68.88 +48.6%Feb 10, 2026
See 14 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Trimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company delivers a comprehensive array of digital tools for the construction sector. This includes software for route planning, 3D design, and data exchange, along with systems for guiding construction machinery and for monitoring and managing assets, personnel, and equipment. The segment also offers advanced Building Information Modeling (BIM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), and project management platforms. Furthermore, it provides integrated solutions for site layout, measurement, cost estimation, scheduling, and project control, alongside specialized applications tailored for subcontractors and various trades. The Geospatial segment focuses on advanced surveying products, geographic information systems (GIS), and related geospatial technologies.…

Historical context

All TRMB earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T14:26:10.588077+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T14:26:10.585208+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.