Trimble Inc. · TRMB · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Trimble’s growth and AI rollout support a positive trajectory, with transition risks

The current analysis supports the view that earnings growth and resilient demand can underpin Trimble’s next phase: results exceeded outlook, ARR growth remained strong, and AI plus OEM partnerships broaden the opportunity. The countercase is that subscription conversion, margin durability and government-related uncertainty could limit how quickly that growth translates into sustained operating gains.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $13.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.81 Consensus $0.72
EPS surprise +12.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $901.2M Consensus $870.6M
Revenue surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.1% Up to 20 sessions
TRMBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter shows another guidance raise alongside stronger reported growth, broader AI productization and additional OEM and marketplace initiatives. The analysis also makes the Field Systems subscription-transition risk more explicit, with management expecting headwinds to continue through 2027.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2025 guidance after revenue and ARR exceeded outlook; the analysis cites targets of $3.565 billion revenue and $3.08 EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and ARR growth exceeded outlook, supporting a full-year guidance raise.
  • AI is being embedded across hardware and software workflows, while AECO, Field Systems and Transportation remain key growth areas.
  • Field Systems subscription conversion remains the principal execution concern despite strong ARR growth.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI-enabled tools and workflow automation.
  • Scale OEM collaborations and the Trimble Ready ecosystem.
  • Advance subscription conversion, cross-sell opportunities and the freight marketplace.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TRMB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $0.62 Q1 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.58 Q2 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.62 Q3 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.62 Q2 '26 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.72 Q3 '26 actual $0.81, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.96 Q4 '26 actual $1.00, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.72 Q1 '27 actual $0.79, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.80 Q2 '27 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '27 estimate $0.86 Q4 '27 estimate $1.16 Q1 '28 estimate $0.87 Q2 '28 estimate $0.97
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1763.0%
Neutral933.3%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$57.87Current
$61Low
$82.33Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 7, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 30, 2026
Keybanc Overweight Sector WeightUpgradeDec 16, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainNov 2, 2023
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeApr 5, 2023
Northcoast Research Sell NeutralDowngradeMar 7, 2023
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainDec 13, 2022
Wolfe Research Perform Peer PerformMaintainAug 17, 2022
Craig-Hallum Hold HoldMaintainFeb 11, 2021
Needham Buy BuyMaintainNov 5, 2020
Berenberg Buy HoldUpgradeApr 17, 2018
Dougherty & Co. Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 30, 2017
Dougherty Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 30, 2017
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 11, 2016
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 1, 2015
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2015
MKM Partners Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 5, 2015
Boenning & Scattergood Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 28, 2015
Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 2, 2014
Janney Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 2, 2014
Lazard Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 27, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $57.87. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$80$56.99 +38.2%Aug 19, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$73$55.64 +26.1%Aug 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$61$52.29 +5.4%Jul 14, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$80$63.42 +38.2%May 7, 2026
OppenheimerKristen Owen$86$68.88 +48.6%Feb 10, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$101$80.61 +74.5%Jan 12, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$99$80.13 +71.1%Dec 15, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$94$77.02 +62.4%Nov 13, 2025
OppenheimerKristen Owen$102$79.72 +76.3%Nov 6, 2025
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$100$79.3 +72.8%Oct 7, 2025
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$95$80.21 +64.2%Oct 3, 2025
OppenheimerKristen Owen$88$73.96 +52.1%Dec 11, 2024
Piper SandlerClarke Jeffries$84$61.3 +45.2%Nov 7, 2024
Piper SandlerClarke Jeffries$73$63.42 +26.1%Mar 12, 2024
Piper SandlerClarke Jeffries$68$54.69 +17.5%Feb 12, 2024
Raymond JamesBrian Gesuale$65$53.93 +12.3%Sep 29, 2023
Piper SandlerClarke Jeffries$65$55.04 +12.3%Dec 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$65$55.18 +12.3%Dec 13, 2022
Piper SandlerWeston Twigg$100$65.23 +72.8%May 20, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Trimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company delivers a comprehensive array of digital tools for the construction sector. This includes software for route planning, 3D design, and data exchange, along with systems for guiding construction machinery and for monitoring and managing assets, personnel, and equipment. The segment also offers advanced Building Information Modeling (BIM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), and project management platforms. Furthermore, it provides integrated solutions for site layout, measurement, cost estimation, scheduling, and project control, alongside specialized applications tailored for subcontractors and various trades. The Geospatial segment focuses on advanced surveying products, geographic information systems (GIS), and related geospatial technologies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T14:26:10.588077+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T14:26:10.585208+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.