T-Mobile US, Inc. · TMUS · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

T-Mobile raises guidance as network-led growth broadens

The quarter supports the view that resilient demand and network-led execution can sustain T-Mobile growth over the next year: account additions, customer perception, and raised full-year guidance were positive. The main test is whether broadband, fiber, and AI initiatives can scale without eroding returns or increasing integration and competitive risk.

Reported After market closeNASDAQCommunication Services $177.70B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.27 Consensus $2.01
EPS surprise +12.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $23.11B Consensus $22.98B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.1% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +6.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.6% Up to 20 sessions
TMUSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current call showed raised full-year guidance, a 45 NPS, 217,000 postpaid net account additions, and new emphasis on fiber acquisitions, live translation, AI edge partnerships, and Super Broadband. Capital allocation also shifted toward $6 billion of Q1 shareholder returns and a $3.6 billion higher buyback authorization.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance for postpaid additions to 950,000–1.05 million, service revenue to approximately $77 billion, and core adjusted EBITDA to $37.1–$37.5 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Postpaid net account additions rose 6% year over year to 217,000, while management cited network quality and value as key drivers.
  • Management highlighted a 45 NPS and continued 5G Advanced and broadband expansion as supports for the growth strategy.
  • Fiber joint ventures, live translation, AI edge initiatives, and Super Broadband broaden the product roadmap but add execution questions.
  • Shareholder returns totaled $6 billion in Q1, alongside an increased buyback authorization of $3.6 billion.

Management priorities

  • Extend the 5G Advanced network and support future 6G development.
  • Expand 5G broadband and fiber joint ventures, including integration of new assets.
  • Roll out live translation and develop AI edge partnerships and use cases.
  • Scale Super Broadband, combining 5G fixed wireless access with Starlink satellite backup.
  • Continue digital ecosystem initiatives across T-Life, T-Ads, and financial services.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TMUS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $20B Q1 '24 actual $20B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $20B Q2 '24 actual $20B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $20B Q3 '24 actual $20B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $21B Q2 '25 actual $21B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $22B Q3 '25 actual $22B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $24B Q4 '25 actual $24B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $23B Q1 '26 actual $23B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $23B Q2 '26 actual $23B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $23B Q4 '26 estimate $25B Q1 '27 estimate $24B Q2 '27 estimate $24B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish4178.9%
Neutral1019.2%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$165.22Current
$100Low
$215.79Average
$310High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 21, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 24, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $165.22. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$232$178.92 +40.4%Jul 24, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$250$178.6 +51.3%Jul 24, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$235$177.29 +42.2%Jul 24, 2026
Williams TradingGreg Williams$260$176.92 +57.4%Jul 24, 2026
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$250$170.42 +51.3%Jul 24, 2026
See 90 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

T-Mobile US, Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, offers mobile telecommunications services across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Catering to approximately 108.7 million subscribers, the company delivers essential voice, messaging, and data connectivity to customers in postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale segments. Beyond services, T-Mobile also supplies a broad array of wireless devices, such as smartphones, wearables, tablets, and other mobile communication gadgets, along with associated accessories.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T16:10:59.348981+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T16:10:59.346245+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.