Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. · TMO · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Thermo Fisher raises outlook as bioproduction and diagnostics strengthen

The quarter supports a constructive view that earnings growth and resilient demand can extend over the next year: revenue and adjusted EPS grew, management raised guidance, and cited bioproduction, diagnostics, innovation, and onshoring as drivers. The case is not settled because China pricing, tariffs, FX, funding uncertainty, and acquisition integration could weaken that trajectory.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $242.11B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.79 Consensus $5.50
EPS surprise +5.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $11.12B Consensus $10.92B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.2% Up to 20 sessions
TMOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shows stronger Q3 growth, a further raised full-year outlook, increased capex, and expanded strategic initiatives around AI, U.S. capacity, and partnerships. The risk set broadened to include acquisition integration, potential government-shutdown effects, China pricing and reimbursement, and continued uncertainty in biotech and clinical research spending.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $44.1-$44.5 billion and adjusted EPS guidance to $22.60-$22.86, versus the prior quarter's $43.6-$44.2 billion revenue and $22.22-$22.84 adjusted EPS outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue grew 5% year over year to $11.12 billion, while adjusted EPS increased 10% to $5.79.
  • Bioproduction, electron microscopy, and transplant/immunodiagnostics were highlighted as areas of momentum.
  • Management raised full-year guidance and continued active capital deployment, including acquisitions and share repurchases.
  • Onshoring, new product launches, and AI integration are part of the growth agenda, but tariffs, FX, China pricing, and spending uncertainty remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand U.S. bioproduction and sterile-fill capacity.
  • Continue product innovation and AI integration across products, services, and operations.
  • Broaden the integrated CRO/CDMO Accelerator program and pursue aligned acquisitions.
  • Deepen collaboration with AstraZeneca and support U.S. supply-chain resilience.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TMO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $10B Q1 '24 actual $10B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $11B Q2 '24 actual $11B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $11B Q3 '24 actual $11B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $11B Q2 '25 actual $11B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $11B Q3 '25 actual $11B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $12B Q4 '25 actual $12B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '26 actual $11B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $12B Q2 '26 actual $12B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $12B Q4 '26 estimate $13B Q1 '27 estimate $12B Q2 '27 estimate $12B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish3583.3%
Neutral716.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$654.8Current
$460Low
$627.9Average
$750High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 27, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 6, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $654.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$720$665.25 +10.0%Sep 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$730$603.02 +11.5%Sep 8, 2026
CLSAMichael Luo$748$608.54 +14.2%Sep 3, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$650$564.75 -0.7%Aug 5, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$600$568.26 -8.4%Jul 27, 2026
See 74 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. is a global leader in scientific services, providing a comprehensive range of offerings that include life sciences solutions, advanced analytical instruments, specialized diagnostic products, and an extensive portfolio of laboratory supplies and biopharmaceutical services. The company's reach extends across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets. Its Life Sciences Solutions division furnishes researchers with essential reagents, state-of-the-art instruments, and consumables vital for biological and medical exploration, the development and manufacturing of therapeutics and vaccines, and the detection of infections and various diseases. This segment encompasses bioscience, genetic science, and bioproduction technologies, serving a broad spectrum of clients in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, agricultural, clinical, healthcare, academic, and governmental sectors.…

Historical context

All TMO earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T16:10:42.534936+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T16:10:42.532021+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.